1807 Mcarthur Ave · Bryan, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unlock the Potential of This Fixer-Upper on McArthur Ave! Are you ready to roll up your sleeves and transform a property into your dream home? This charming duplex offers incredible potential with a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout on one side and a cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath on the other. With plenty of room for cosmetic and functional upgrades, this property is ideal for investors or anyone eager to create a personalized space that truly reflects their style. While needing a good deal of cosmetic work this house has great bones and plenty of room to make it your own. Priced to sell, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss. Schedule your visit today and start envisioning the possibilities!
Key facts
- 8,006 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 620 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($382/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (8.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities C-.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 621 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 621 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.83%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,708
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 Holt | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,306 (-12%) | 12mo | $89,000 | $68 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-27,016
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-30,080
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77803
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 288
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,663/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $125 | -5% $79 | +0% $32 | +5% $-15 | +10% $-62 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $-28 | +0% $32 | +5% $91 | +10% $151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $74 | base $32 | +0.5pp $-11 | +1.0pp $-54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 S Sims Ave Bryan, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,150 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3301 Providence Ave Bryan, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $849 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 601 W 24th St Unit 112 Bryan, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 104 W 33rd St Bryan, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 106 W 33rd St Bryan, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 505 N Logan Ave Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,895 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 306 W 23rd St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 317 W Martin Luther King Junior St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1112 Baker Ave Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 514 E 30th St Unit B1 Bryan, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 879 | $875 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 621 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 618 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 617 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 616 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 615 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 613 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 612 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 610 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 609 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 608 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 607 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 603 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 602 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 601 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 600 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 599 DOM
-
2026-02-04soldstatus
-
2024-12-03price $165,000 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Unlock the Potential of This Fixer-Upper on McArthur Ave! Are you ready to roll up your sleeves and transform a property into your dream home? This charming duplex offers incredible potential with a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout on one side and a cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath on the other. With plenty of room for cosmetic and functional upgrades, this property is ideal for investors or anyone eager to create a personalized space that truly reflects their style. While needing a good deal of cosmetic work this house has great bones and plenty of room to make it your own. Priced to sell, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss. Schedule your visit today and start envisioning the possibilities!
-
2024-10-09$170,000 Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Unlock the Potential of This Fixer-Upper on McArthur Ave! Are you ready to roll up your sleeves and transform a property into your dream home? This charming duplex offers incredible potential with a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath layout on one side and a cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath on the other. With plenty of room for cosmetic and functional upgrades, this property is ideal for investors or anyone eager to create a personalized space that truly reflects their style. While needing a good deal of cosmetic work this house has great bones and plenty of room to make it your own. Priced to sell, this home is a fantastic opportunity you won’t want to miss. Schedule your visit today and start envisioning the possibilities!
-
2023-06-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,663 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,020 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$357/yr (+$30/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,663
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$2,375
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$570
- After-tax cash flow
- $952/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 233,400 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,525
- Household income
- $52,274
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1094.0
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Black 21% Two or more races 18% White 17%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 56%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 47%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.84%
- Current HPI
- 257.2885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.43%
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-12-03 Price Changed $165,000 BCSRMLS
- 2024-10-09 Listed $170,000 BCSRMLS
- 2023-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,663 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…