13121 Sioux Valley Cv · Bauxite, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Spacious Manufactured family home comes with 5 bedrooms and 3 baths. Sitting on 1.32 partially fenced acres in Saline County within the Bryant School District. This home is located on a cul de sac in a small quiet country subdivision, lot sits adjacent to timberland so no neighbors behind you! Only minutes away from I 30-4 30 and BassPro shop, convenient to Little Rock and Bryant.
Key facts
- Ensuite
- Large living room
- Plenty of cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing available: FHA loan, Conventional loan, or Cash
Exterior
- Parking: Road access via gravel and paved surfaces
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric service via cooperative
- Home design: Double wide (mobile) home; 1.32 acres lot; Located in Sioux Trail Phase III subdivision
- Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a double wide mobile home
- Exterior features: Porch; Partially fenced yard; Level lot in a cul-de-sac within a subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Microwave; Surface range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Includes den/family room and laundry (other rooms listed)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Washer connection; Dryer connection (electric); Electric water heater; Walk-in shower; Wood-burning site-built fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area with washer and dryer connections
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.3% in Bauxite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#187 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Bryant School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 238 in AR (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $146k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.94%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $17
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $35,270
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72002
- Home prices YoY
- -11.0%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $486/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $169,900
-
2026-04-27$174,900 New Listing
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2026-04-26historical
-
2026-03-09price $174,900
-
2026-01-01$185,000 New Listing
-
2023-04-04soldstatus $145,500
-
2023-03-31soldstatus $145,000 Sold 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This Spacious Manufactured family home comes with 5 bedrooms and 3 baths. Sitting on 1.32 partially fenced acres in Saline County within the Bryant School District. This home is located on a cul de sac in a small quiet country subdivision, lot sits adjacent to timberland so no neighbors behind you! Only minutes away from I 30-4 30 and BassPro shop, convenient to Little Rock and Bryant.
-
2023-02-20status Under Contract 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This Spacious Manufactured family home comes with 5 bedrooms and 3 baths. Sitting on 1.32 partially fenced acres in Saline County within the Bryant School District. This home is located on a cul de sac in a small quiet country subdivision, lot sits adjacent to timberland so no neighbors behind you! Only minutes away from I 30-4 30 and BassPro shop, convenient to Little Rock and Bryant.
-
2022-11-10status Back on Market 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This Spacious Manufactured family home comes with 5 bedrooms and 3 baths. Sitting on 1.32 partially fenced acres in Saline County within the Bryant School District. This home is located on a cul de sac in a small quiet country subdivision, lot sits adjacent to timberland so no neighbors behind you! Only minutes away from I 30-4 30 and BassPro shop, convenient to Little Rock and Bryant.
-
2022-11-09status Under Contract 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This Spacious Manufactured family home comes with 5 bedrooms and 3 baths. Sitting on 1.32 partially fenced acres in Saline County within the Bryant School District. This home is located on a cul de sac in a small quiet country subdivision, lot sits adjacent to timberland so no neighbors behind you! Only minutes away from I 30-4 30 and BassPro shop, convenient to Little Rock and Bryant.
-
2022-10-25price $164,900 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This Spacious Manufactured family home comes with 5 bedrooms and 3 baths. Sitting on 1.32 partially fenced acres in Saline County within the Bryant School District. This home is located on a cul de sac in a small quiet country subdivision, lot sits adjacent to timberland so no neighbors behind you! Only minutes away from I 30-4 30 and BassPro shop, convenient to Little Rock and Bryant.
-
2022-09-30$169,000 New Listing 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
This Spacious Manufactured family home comes with 5 bedrooms and 3 baths. Sitting on 1.32 partially fenced acres in Saline County within the Bryant School District. This home is located on a cul de sac in a small quiet country subdivision, lot sits adjacent to timberland so no neighbors behind you! Only minutes away from I 30-4 30 and BassPro shop, convenient to Little Rock and Bryant.
-
2013-03-28soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $486 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,087 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$601/yr (+$50/mo · 123.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$486
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,745
- − Management
- −$1,745
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $2,528
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$607
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryant School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503690
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,578
- Composite
- 42.28/100
- National rank
- #3266
- State rank
- #16 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bauxite
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #15013
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,386
Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,141 people
- By 2030
- 151,233 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 173,100 · +23.5%
- By 2050
- 194,368 · +38.7%
- By 2075
- 245,295 · +75.0%
- By 2100
- 279,117 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Saline
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.1) · D 28.8% · R 69.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -41.0pp · 2024: -40.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.1 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+41.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.89%
- Current HPI
- 226.2889
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+961.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $169,900 CARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $174,900 CARMLS
- 2026-04-26 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $174,900 CARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listed $185,000 CARMLS
- 2023-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $145,500 Public Records
- 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $145,000 CARMLS
- 2023-02-20 Pending — CARMLS
- 2022-11-10 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2022-11-09 Pending — CARMLS
- 2022-10-25 Price Changed $164,900 CARMLS
- 2022-09-30 Listed $169,000 CARMLS
- 2013-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $486 · -17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…