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14555 Marine Rd #328
B- Composite 68.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$76,000

14555 Marine Rd #328 · Montrose, CO 81403
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 714 sqft · Manufactured public records · 261 Days on market
Built 1976 ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home offering comfort, convenience, and affordability in a friendly community setting. Featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this home boasts an open floor plan with a bright living area, a functional kitchen with ample storage, and cozy bedrooms designed for everyday living. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Recent updates include new flooring, paint, cabinets, countertops and more; ensuring move-in readiness and peace of mind. Located in River Meadows, residents benefit from the community playground and the convenience of being near schools, shopping, medical centers, town parks, the river walk, res

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Near schools
  • Open floor plan

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANCOVERED PORCHRECENT UPDATESCOMMUNITY PLAYGROUNDNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (Northbrook); Community playground

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Cellular phone reception; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-wide mobile home; Single-story
  • Construction:
  • Exterior features: Shed; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Main level primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 2.0% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#109 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Montrose County School District Re-1J (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 86 in CO (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Montrose County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montrose County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $66,880 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.59%
Cash-on-cash
26.07%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$37,128
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
325 W Main St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 672 (-6%) 20mo $35,000 $52 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$17,151
Equity at exit
$11,332
10-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$52,929
Equity at exit
$6,571

Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81403

Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$399
Tax est. 1.5%
$95 /mo · $1,140/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $665
Max offer price $76,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,000
Closing costs
$2,280
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $76,000 Active 261 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $76,000 Active 260 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $76,000 Active 259 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $76,000 Active 258 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $76,000 Active 257 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $76,000 Active 255 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $76,000 Active 254 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $76,000 Active 251 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $76,000 Active 250 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $76,000 Active 249 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $76,000 Active 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $76,000 Active 243 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $76,000 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $76,000 Active 241 DOM
  15. 2025-12-03
    price $76,000
  16. 2025-10-01
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,001
− Mortgage interest
−$4,257
− Property taxes
−$1,140
− Insurance
−$380
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$2,211
Taxable income
$4,613
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,107
After-tax cash flow
$4,441/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montrose County School District Re-1J
NCES district ID
0805790
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,650
Composite
24.9/100
National rank
#7577
State rank
#55 of 86 in CO

Livability — Montrose

Score
68/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#9310

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
24,228
Population (ZIP)
11,955

Population outlook (Montrose County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,229 people
By 2030
37,791 · -3.7%
By 2040
33,829 · -13.8%
By 2050
29,530 · -24.7%
By 2075
20,559 · -47.6%
By 2100
12,144 · -69.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 17% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Montrose

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.6% · R 65.2% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -191.12%
Current HPI
349.0781
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $76,000 cren
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $80,000 cren

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2021): $38 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…