22 Johnny Ln · Sherwood, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained home tucked away on a quiet street with limited traffic. This property features fresh paint in the kitchen, a new dishwasher, a new electric stove, and a new roof installed in June 2025. The living room features a gas fireplace, creating a comfortable gathering space year-round. Outside, you’ll find a large backyard, a storage shed, and a deck already in place and ready for an above-ground pool! Whether you’re searching for your next home or an investment opportunity, this home offers practical updates, functional space, and plenty of potential! Agents see remarks. * fire in the fireplace is AI generated *
Key facts
- New electric stove
- Large backyard
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing options include VA, FHA, conventional loans, or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Metal/vinyl siding with stone accents
- Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Fully fenced yard (chain link and wood fence); Paved road access; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Dryer connection (electric); Gas water heater; Wood-burning fireplace with gas starter; Low-E windows
- Laundry & utility: Dryer connection (electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($112/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (18.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Sherwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $185k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.22%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,330
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Johnny Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (0%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $126 | 100 |
| 17 Johnny Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+5%) | 10mo | $217,000 | $140 | 81 |
| 8508 Easy St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,635 (+11%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $107 | 71 |
| 922 W Kiehl Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,355 (-8%) | 2mo | $156,000 | $115 | 65 |
| 331 Apple Valley Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+4%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 59 Wesley Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-3%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $105 | 62 |
| 3233 Alpine Cv | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-3%) | 4mo | $251,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 2613 Ozark Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,626 (+11%) | 10mo | $249,900 | $154 | 52 |
| 1816 Osceola Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (+4%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $131 | 52 |
| 8320 B Holiday Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,378 (-6%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $160 | 50 |
| 112 Robin Glen Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,551 (+6%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $139 | 50 |
| 1904 Osceola Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,614 (+10%) | 7mo | $183,000 | $113 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-26,638
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-10,734
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72120
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,502 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,560/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $62 | +0% $9 | +5% $-43 | +10% $-95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-109 | -5% $-50 | +0% $9 | +5% $69 | +10% $128 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $56 | base $9 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Apple Valley Dr Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 250 Apple Valley Dr Unit 226 Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 250 Apple Valley Dr Unit 281 Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 250 Apple Valley Dr Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 351 Club Rd Unit 2 Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1275 | $1,095 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 321 Club Rd Unit 1 Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1275 | $1,095 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 371 Club Rd Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $975 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 371 Club Rd Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1088 | $975 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 13 Wesley Dr Sherwood, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $1,625 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8606 Holiday Dr Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,525 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 8707 Oakhaven Dr Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $1,611 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8702 Oakhaven Dr Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3160 Shady Side Dr Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1201 Brice Rd Unit C Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 23 Pamela Ln Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1816 Osage Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1396 | $2,800 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8812 Claremont Ave Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7014 Ponderosa Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,545 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7818 Pinto Trl Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1014 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6530 Corsica Dr North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,495 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8214 Bronco Ln Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,495 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1004 Country Club Rd Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1301 Stafford Rd Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $1,625 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 617 Brierly Dr Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $1,075 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10710 Windridge Dr Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $1,695 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-05status $185,000 Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Take Backups 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Take Backups 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Take Backups 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Take Backups 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Take Backups 12 DOM
-
2026-05-20historical Take Backups
-
2026-05-18$185,000 New Listing
-
2003-08-01soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,560 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,560 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,560
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,442
- − Management
- −$1,442
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,090
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$741
- After-tax cash flow
- $854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Spec. School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,218
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7394
- State rank
- #150 of 238 in AR
Livability — Sherwood
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #5246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sherwood, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 34,365
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,365
- Household income
- $76,598
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.93%
- Current HPI
- 198.9456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+94.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $185,000 CARMLS
- 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,560 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…