CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
22 Johnny Ln
D Composite 44.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

22 Johnny Ln · Sherwood, AR 72120
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,470 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1978 9,583 sqft lot Est $204k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained home tucked away on a quiet street with limited traffic. This property features fresh paint in the kitchen, a new dishwasher, a new electric stove, and a new roof installed in June 2025. The living room features a gas fireplace, creating a comfortable gathering space year-round. Outside, you’ll find a large backyard, a storage shed, and a deck already in place and ready for an above-ground pool! Whether you’re searching for your next home or an investment opportunity, this home offers practical updates, functional space, and plenty of potential! Agents see remarks. * fire in the fireplace is AI generated *

Key facts

  • New electric stove
  • Large backyard
  • Gas fireplace

Tags

FRESH PAINT IN THE KITCHENNEW DISHWASHERNEW ELECTRIC STOVENEW ROOFGAS FIREPLACELARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing options include VA, FHA, conventional loans, or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Metal/vinyl siding with stone accents
  • Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Fully fenced yard (chain link and wood fence); Paved road access; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Dryer connection (electric); Gas water heater; Wood-burning fireplace with gas starter; Low-E windows
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer connection (electric)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($112/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (18.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Sherwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $185k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,198 (18.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,330
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22 Johnny Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,470 (0%) 0mo $185,000 $126 100
17 Johnny Ln 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,548 (+5%) 10mo $217,000 $140 81
8508 Easy St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,635 (+11%) 3mo $175,000 $107 71
922 W Kiehl Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,355 (-8%) 2mo $156,000 $115 65
331 Apple Valley Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+4%) 7mo $215,000 $140 64
59 Wesley Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-3%) 4mo $150,000 $105 62
3233 Alpine Cv 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-3%) 4mo $251,000 $177 58
2613 Ozark Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,626 (+11%) 10mo $249,900 $154 52
1816 Osceola Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,523 (+4%) 9mo $200,000 $131 52
8320 B Holiday Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,378 (-6%) 5mo $220,000 $160 50
112 Robin Glen Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,551 (+6%) 9mo $215,000 $139 50
1904 Osceola Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,614 (+10%) 7mo $183,000 $113 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-26,638
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-10,734
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72120

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,502 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,560/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,490
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $62 +0% $9 +5% $-43 +10% $-95
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-50 +0% $9 +5% $69 +10% $128
Rate -1.0pp $103 -0.5pp $56 base $9 +0.5pp $-39 +1.0pp $-87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 Apple Valley Dr Sherwood, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,195 $1.09 15d 1 0.37mi
250 Apple Valley Dr Unit 226 Sherwood, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,195 $1.09 15d 1 0.40mi
250 Apple Valley Dr Unit 281 Sherwood, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,195 $1.09 24d 1 0.40mi
250 Apple Valley Dr Sherwood, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 0.40mi
351 Club Rd Unit 2 Sherwood, AR 2.0 2.5 1275 $1,095 $0.86 24d 1 0.47mi
321 Club Rd Unit 1 Sherwood, AR 2.0 2.5 1275 $1,095 $0.86 24d 1 0.48mi
371 Club Rd Sherwood, AR 2.0 1.5 1088 $975 $0.90 24d 1 0.50mi
371 Club Rd Sherwood, AR 2.0 1.5 1088 $975 $0.90 44d 1 0.50mi
13 Wesley Dr Sherwood, AR 4.0 2.0 1721 $1,625 $0.94 44d 1 0.59mi
8606 Holiday Dr Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,525 $1.05 44d 1 0.74mi
8707 Oakhaven Dr Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1543 $1,611 $1.04 15d 1 0.78mi
8702 Oakhaven Dr Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,695 $1.24 22d 1 0.80mi
3160 Shady Side Dr Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1792 $1,900 $1.06 20d 1 0.84mi
1201 Brice Rd Unit C Sherwood, AR 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 24d 1 0.87mi
23 Pamela Ln Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,000 $1.43 24d 1 0.91mi
1816 Osage Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1396 $2,800 $2.01 44d 1 1.02mi
8812 Claremont Ave Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1191 $1,350 $1.13 24d 1 1.07mi
7014 Ponderosa Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1394 $1,545 $1.11 24d 1 1.09mi
7818 Pinto Trl Sherwood, AR 3.0 1.5 1014 $1,250 $1.23 44d 1 1.15mi
6530 Corsica Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1820 $1,495 $0.82 44d 1 1.23mi
8214 Bronco Ln Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,495 $0.89 44d 1 1.30mi
1004 Country Club Rd Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,400 $1.71 15d 1 1.33mi
1301 Stafford Rd Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1721 $1,625 $0.94 44d 1 1.35mi
617 Brierly Dr Sherwood, AR 3.0 1.5 1242 $1,075 $0.87 24d 1 1.44mi
10710 Windridge Dr Sherwood, AR 3.0 2.0 1644 $1,695 $1.03 22d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    status $185,000 Under Contract 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Take Backups 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Take Backups 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Take Backups 14 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Take Backups 13 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Take Backups 12 DOM
  7. 2026-05-20
    historical Take Backups
  8. 2026-05-18
    listed $185,000 New Listing
  9. 2003-08-01
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,560 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,560 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,024
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,560
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,442
− Management
−$1,442
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$3,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$741
After-tax cash flow
$854/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pulaski County Spec. School District
NCES district ID
0511850
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,218
Composite
25.67/100
National rank
#7394
State rank
#150 of 238 in AR

Livability — Sherwood

Score
73/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#5246

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sherwood, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
34,365
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
34,365
Household income
$76,598
Rent vs Own
28.5% rent · 71.5% own
Severe rent burden
774.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.93%
Current HPI
198.9456
Rent YoY
▲ 4.81%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+94.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $185,000 CARMLS
  • 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,560 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…