5457 Byrom St · Milton, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THREE bedroom, TWO FULL bathroom all-brick home with a living room space, BONUS room with a fireplace, OFFICE/STUDY, and DINING AREA. Classic brick construction and a manageable lot size make this a practical choice in a GREAT location! The eat-in kitchen has laminate flooring, ready for your updates. Flooring throughout the home includes hardwood, carpet, and laminate in the kitchen, providing a base for renovations. Original hardwood flooring, in great condition, in the dining room, office, hallway, and primary bedroom. Roof: about 13 years old; Electrical System: Updated in 2012, Copper Wiring, Circuit Breaker; HVAC: 2002, in good working condition; Water Heater: 23 years old; Plumbing: Original copper piping This property is ideal for buyers looking to remodel and customize their living space.
Key facts
- Large dining room
- Eat in kitchen
- Deep sink
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Total 3 parking spaces; Covered parking for 1 vehicle; Carport for 1 vehicle; Front entrance parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electric with copper wiring; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story brick home; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Off-grade foundation; Composition gable roof
- Exterior features: Patio and porch; Backyard with full chain-link fencing; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen with pantry and eating area; New quartz counters and backsplash; Stainless steel appliances; Cabinets refinished with new hardware; Open to dining area
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11.25 x 13.25); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10 x 12.08); Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11.5 x 12.17)
- Flooring: Tile; Luxury vinyl plank in kitchen area
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Both bathrooms recently updated (paint, new mirrors, lights, faucets)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Insulated doors; Storage; Bookcases; Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Bonus room; Double-pane windows with blinds; Tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($163/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.6% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#166 in FL, #2,480 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: W. H. Rhodes Elementary School (math 55% / reading 47%, grade C-, #1,043 of 2,144 statewide, top 49%, 812 students, 79% FRL); Hobbs Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 700 students, 63% FRL); Milton High School (math 44% / reading 42%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,085 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 36% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Santa Rosa average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $260k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.22%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6617 Ravine St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,994 (+0%) | 7mo | $270,000 | $135 | 80 |
| 5385 Park Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,971 (-1%) | 13mo | $235,000 | $119 | 79 |
| 6534 Berryhill Rd | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,051 (+3%) | 3mo | $287,500 | $140 | 64 |
| 6578 Lakeshore Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,804 (-9%) | 8mo | $204,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 6413 Sanders St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (-8%) | 3mo | $329,700 | $181 | 58 |
| 5293 Conecuh St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,824 (-8%) | 0mo | $371,900 | $204 | 54 |
| 6445 Berryhill Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,881 (-6%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $88 | 52 |
| 6463 Barnes St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (-8%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $123 | 49 |
| 5385 Azimuth Way Lot 11B | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,891 (-5%) | 9mo | $309,990 | $164 | 42 |
| 5572 Andromeda Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,862 (-6%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $129 | 40 |
| 7758 Moonrise Way Lot 6E | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,707 (-14%) | 10mo | $269,990 | $158 | 28 |
| 5394 Azimuth Way Lot 10E | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,707 (-14%) | 10mo | $269,990 | $158 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-41,954
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-38,293
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32570
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,039 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,508/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $87 | +0% $14 | +5% $-60 | +10% $-134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-147 | -5% $-67 | +0% $14 | +5% $94 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $144 | -0.5pp $80 | base $14 | +0.5pp $-54 | +1.0pp $-122 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5733 Orange St Milton, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1640 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5723 Maggie Rose Cir Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5723 Maggie Rose Cir Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5555 Hannah St Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2010 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6716 Barnwood Dr Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1753 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5431 Munson Hwy Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2412 | $2,100 | $0.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6747 Weathered Dr Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $1,800 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6218 Cottage Woods Dr Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2035 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6707 Cedar Ridge Cir Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1669 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $259,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-10$259,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,508 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,157 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$649/yr (+$54/mo · 43.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$1,508
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,957
- − Management
- −$1,957
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$4,378
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Milton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #2480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milton, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 69,025
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,197
- Household income
- $77,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 590.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.06%
- Current HPI
- 287.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.70%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+300.5% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $259,900 PARMLS
- 2025-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2025-07-07 Sold (MLS) $120,000 PARMLS
- 2025-06-30 Pending — PARMLS
- 2025-06-19 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $150,000 PARMLS
- 2025-04-27 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-04-17 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $160,000 PARMLS
- 2025-02-28 Price Changed $165,900 PARMLS
- 2025-02-15 Price Changed $169,900 PARMLS
- 2025-01-25 Price Changed $172,900 PARMLS
- 2024-12-29 Price Changed $174,900 PARMLS
- 2024-12-03 Listed $179,500 PARMLS
- 2014-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-08 Sold (MLS) $50,000 PARMLS
- 2014-03-04 Listed $53,000 PARMLS
- 2012-08-24 Sold (MLS) $14,900 NAMLS
- 2012-08-24 Sold (MLS) $14,900 ECAR
- 2012-04-24 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2012-04-18 Listed $14,900 NAMLS
- 2012-04-18 Listed $14,900 ECAR
- 2012-04-03 Listed $38,100 PARMLS
- 2006-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-08 Sold (MLS) $35,000 PARMLS
- 2005-02-03 Listed $45,000 PARMLS
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,800 Public Records
- 2001-07-30 Sold (MLS) $66,800 PARMLS
- 2000-08-08 Listed $64,900 PARMLS
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,508 · +650.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…