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308 Connie Ln
D+ Composite 45.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,500

308 Connie Ln · Eagle Lake, MN 56024
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1977 0.26 ac lot $115/sqft · 12% below area Est $375k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just a short drive from Mankato. Close to a beautiful city park. Beautiful landscaped yard and storage shed - large deck. 3BR on one level, ceramic and wood floors. Finished walk out family room. Oversized 1 stall garage.

Key facts

  • Natural light
  • Large yard
  • Elevated lot

Tags

SPLIT-LEVEL DESIGNNATURAL LIGHTAMPLE ROOM FOR DININGLARGE YARDMATURE TREESELEVATED LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Tuck-under garage; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Entry levels on upper and lower (split living between levels)
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Foundation described as other; Foundation dimensions approximately 26x38x42x28; Above- and below-grade finished areas totaling 2,872 sq ft (1,436 per level)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Vinyl siding; Storage shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on upper level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full baths; 1 half bath; Primary bathroom (upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room in lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-898/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (18.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#450 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Mankato Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 269 units permitted in Blue Earth County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blue Earth County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $200k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $163,506 (18.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.61%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$374,802
List price
$199,500
Delta
-46.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
221 Blace Ave 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,794 (+3%) 11mo $340,950 $190 79
220 Connie Ln 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,807 (+4%) 6mo $307,000 $170 77
414 Linda Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,728 (-0%) 20mo $250,000 $145 75
309 Blace Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,706 (-2%) 21mo $298,000 $175 75
212 Blace Ave 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,816 (+5%) 7mo $278,500 $153 71
105 Gray Fox Path 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,796 (+4%) 1mo $425,000 $237 66
104 Blace Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,589 (-8%) 8mo $273,000 $172 63
105 White Fox Path 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,766 (+2%) 12mo $451,975 $256 61
212 Ann Dr 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,750 (+1%) 22mo $290,000 $166 61
106 E Connie Ln 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,529 (-12%) 5mo $377,500 $247 57
104 E Connie Ln 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,532 (-12%) 11mo $374,281 $244 52
212 Oak Dr 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,936 (+12%) 11mo $340,000 $176 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-37,074
Equity at exit
$29,746
10-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-38,348
Equity at exit
$17,249

Cash invested: $55,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56024

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,635 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,046
Tax from tax record
$237 /mo · $2,846/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$-75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,730
Max offer price $186,287
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,875
Closing costs
$5,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
217 Thomas Dr E Eagle Lake, MN 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1232 $1,750 $1.42 43d 5 0.44mi
630 Maple Ln Eagle Lake, MN 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,588 $1.32 43d 5 0.57mi
656 Maple Ln Eagle Lake, MN 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,525 $1.27 43d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,500 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,500 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,500 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,500 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,500 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,500 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,500 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,500 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,500 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,500 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,500 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,500 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $199,500 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    status $210,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Inspection 38 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Inspection 37 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Inspection 36 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $210,000 Contingent - Inspection 35 DOM
  19. 2026-05-14
    historical Contingent - Inspection 971-char remark
  20. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 971-char remark
  21. 2026-04-22
    listed $210,000 Active 971-char remark
  22. 2009-02-27
    soldstatus $120,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This home is just a short drive from Mankato and is close to a beautiful city park. The yard has been landscaped and there is a lovely deck on the back of the house. Also on the property is a storage shed. There are 3 bedrooms on one level. The floors hav

  23. 2009-02-27
    soldstatus $120,000
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This home is just a short drive from Mankato and is close to a beautiful city park. The yard has been landscaped and there is a lovely deck on the back of the house. Also on the property is a storage shed. There are 3 bedrooms on one level. The floors hav

  24. 2009-02-16
    historical 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Just a short drive from Mankato. Close to a beautiful city park. Beautiful landscaped yard and storage shed - large deck. 3BR on one level, ceramic and wood floors. Finished walk out family room. Oversized 1 stall garage.

  25. 2008-08-17
    listed $129,900 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Just a short drive from Mankato. Close to a beautiful city park. Beautiful landscaped yard and storage shed - large deck. 3BR on one level, ceramic and wood floors. Finished walk out family room. Oversized 1 stall garage.

  26. 2008-08-06
    listed $129,900
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This home is just a short drive from Mankato and is close to a beautiful city park. The yard has been landscaped and there is a lovely deck on the back of the house. Also on the property is a storage shed. There are 3 bedrooms on one level. The floors hav

  27. 2008-07-30
    historical
  28. 2007-08-30
    listed $140,000
  29. 2004-05-24
    soldstatus $127,000
  30. 2004-05-24
    soldstatus $127,000
  31. 2004-04-15
    historical
  32. 2004-03-15
    listed $129,500
  33. 1994-01-28
    soldstatus $72,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,846 · $237/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,846 · $237/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,621
− Mortgage interest
−$11,175
− Property taxes
−$2,846
− Insurance
−$998
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− Depreciation
−$5,804
Taxable loss
−$4,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,042
After-tax cash flow
$144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mankato Public School District
NCES district ID
2718780
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$49,469
Composite
44.36/100
National rank
#2819
State rank
#98 of 301 in MN

Livability — Eagle Lake

Score
67/100
State rank
#450
US rank
#10712

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eagle Lake, MN
Population (ZIP)
3,595

Population outlook (Blue Earth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,208 people
By 2030
72,708 · +3.6%
By 2040
77,481 · +10.4%
By 2050
82,842 · +18.0%
By 2075
99,990 · +42.4%
By 2100
116,795 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blue Earth

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -1.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.2 2020: D+4.4 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.5 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.00%
Current HPI
202.5905
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+175.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $199,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-02 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $210,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-27 Sold (MLS) $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-27 Sold (MLS) $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-02-16 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-08-17 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-08-06 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-07-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-08-30 Listed $140,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-24 Sold (MLS) $127,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-15 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-03-15 Listed $129,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,846 · -9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…