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338 W 4th St
C- Composite 51.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

338 W 4th St · Russellville, KY 42276
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,808 sqft · Other public records · 549 Days on market
Built 1920 8,276 sqft lot $61/sqft · 33% below area Est $252k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. . This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. .. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. .. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville Ky, don't let it get away.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 549 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.8% in Russellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#273 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Russellville Independent (town): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #143 of 165 in KY (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 549 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,021 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 549 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.79%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,042
List price
$169,900
Delta
-32.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-20,534
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-9,019
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42276

Home prices YoY
-9.9%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,470 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,068/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,330
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1210 Nashville St Russellville, KY 4.0 1.0 2068 $1,600 $0.77 19d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 549 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 548 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 547 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 546 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 544 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 543 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,900 Active 541 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 540 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 539 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 538 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 535 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 534 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 533 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 532 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 531 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 530 DOM
  17. 2026-02-24
    price $169,900 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville KY, don't let it get away.

  18. 2026-02-24
    price $169,900 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville KY, don't let it get away.

  19. 2025-07-25
    status Active 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. . This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. .. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. .. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville Ky, don't let it get away.

  20. 2025-07-24
    status Active 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville KY, don't let it get away.

  21. 2025-06-16
    historical Active Under Contract 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville KY, don't let it get away.

  22. 2024-12-16
    listed $179,900 Active 379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville KY, don't let it get away.

  23. 2024-12-16
    listed $179,900 Active 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLERS! This property has unlimited possibilities. This could be a beautiful Single Family Residence. It can be a duplex to live in one side and rent the others. It can be a commercial property for offices, retail, etc as well as business on one side and live in the other side. This is a sweet find in Downtown Historic Russellville KY, don't let it get away.

  24. 2024-07-12
    listed $139,900 Active
  25. 2023-09-01
    soldstatus $160,000
  26. 2023-01-09
    soldstatus $100,100
  27. 1998-08-01
    soldstatus $71,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,068 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,461 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$393/yr (+$33/mo · 36.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,643
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,068
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,411
− Management
−$1,411
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$1,557
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$374
After-tax cash flow
$1,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Russellville Independent
NCES district ID
2105190
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$28,861
Composite
21.24/100
National rank
#8402
State rank
#143 of 165 in KY

Livability — Russellville

Score
65/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#13256

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Russellville, KY
County
Logan County · 16,044 people
City population
16,044
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
16,044
Household income
$57,144
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
330.0

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,133 people
By 2030
25,572 · -2.1%
By 2040
24,247 · -7.2%
By 2050
22,849 · -12.6%
By 2075
19,587 · -25.0%
By 2100
15,927 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.1) · D 21.9% · R 76.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-26.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.6pp · 2024: -55.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.1 2020: R+48.4 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.71%
Current HPI
269.3374
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+139.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $169,900 RASKMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $169,900 RASKMLS
  • 2025-07-25 Relisted RASKMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Relisted RASKMLS
  • 2025-06-16 Contingent RASKMLS
  • 2024-12-16 Listed $179,900 RASKMLS
  • 2024-12-16 Listed $179,900 RASKMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Listed $139,900 RASKMLS
  • 2023-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $100,100 Public Records
  • 1998-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,068 · -47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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