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27 Biltmore Ter
B- Composite 69.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

27 Biltmore Ter · Swansea, IL 62226
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,076 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1954 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 2 bath brick home. Home sold as is and is a bank repo. Bring this home back to its beauty of hardwood floors and open kitchen. Full walk out basement. Proof of funds or preapproval will all offers

Key facts

  • Hardwood floors
  • Open kitchen
  • 0.46 acre lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSOPEN KITCHENFULL WALK OUT BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1954; Facing unspecified
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Shed(s); Paved road access; Sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in bedrooms and main living areas; Tile flooring in dining area and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 1.9% in Swansea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#105 in IL, #1,705 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
10.80%
Cash-on-cash
16.08%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$207,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Englewood Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 2,080 (+0%) 6mo $220,000 $106 76
1 Schae Fries Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,974 (-5%) 8mo $274,900 $139 62
1900 N 17th St 0.57mi 3/1.0 2,131 (+3%) 3mo $119,900 $56 58
1413 N 2nd St 0.50mi 3/2.5 2,334 (+12%) 1mo $100,000 $43 53
1615 15th St N 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,900 (-8%) 13mo $235,000 $124 52
6 Saint Clair Lake Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,892 (-9%) 2mo $75,000 $40 50
123 Pawnee Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 2,256 (+9%) 5mo $195,000 $86 49
1707 Jay Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,978 (-5%) 14mo $255,000 $129 48
22 Kingsbury Dr 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,159 (+4%) 10mo $215,000 $100 47
1615 N 17th St 0.55mi 3/2.0 2,384 (+15%) 5mo $178,000 $75 42
610 Bond Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,817 (-12%) 8mo $230,000 $127 42
8 Lindenwood Dr 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,970 (-5%) 11mo $175,000 $89 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$9,493
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$46,800
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62226

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,506 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,107/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,078
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1912 N 17th St Swansea, IL 2.0 1.0 1414 $1,500 $1.06 17d 1 0.62mi
1 Rosehaven Dr Belleville, IL 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,325 $0.88 23d 1 1.16mi
109 S 13th St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.5 1800 $1,325 $0.74 17d 1 1.47mi
1528 Lebanon Ave Belleville, IL 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,950 $1.22 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $90,000 Active
  3. 2005-08-29
    soldstatus $134,500
  4. 1999-11-23
    soldstatus $95,000
  5. 1993-02-09
    soldstatus $83,500
  6. 1993-02-09
    soldstatus $83,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,107 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,107 · $342/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,068
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$4,107
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,445
− Management
−$1,445
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$2,961
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$711
After-tax cash flow
$3,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Swansea

Score
80/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#1705

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Swansea, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
28,543
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
28,255
Household income
$70,797
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.57%
Current HPI
133.9028
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $90,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $134,500 Public Records
  • 1999-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 1993-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
  • 1993-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,107 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…