27 Biltmore Ter · Swansea, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 2 bath brick home. Home sold as is and is a bank repo. Bring this home back to its beauty of hardwood floors and open kitchen. Full walk out basement. Proof of funds or preapproval will all offers
Key facts
- Hardwood floors
- Open kitchen
- 0.46 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1954; Facing unspecified
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Paved road access; Sloped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in bedrooms and main living areas; Tile flooring in dining area and kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: One fireplace; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 1.9% in Swansea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#105 in IL, #1,705 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.08%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Englewood Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,080 (+0%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $106 | 76 |
| 1 Schae Fries Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,974 (-5%) | 8mo | $274,900 | $139 | 62 |
| 1900 N 17th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 2,131 (+3%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $56 | 58 |
| 1413 N 2nd St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 2,334 (+12%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $43 | 53 |
| 1615 15th St N | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,900 (-8%) | 13mo | $235,000 | $124 | 52 |
| 6 Saint Clair Lake Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,892 (-9%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $40 | 50 |
| 123 Pawnee Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,256 (+9%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $86 | 49 |
| 1707 Jay Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,978 (-5%) | 14mo | $255,000 | $129 | 48 |
| 22 Kingsbury Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,159 (+4%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 1615 N 17th St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 2,384 (+15%) | 5mo | $178,000 | $75 | 42 |
| 610 Bond Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,817 (-12%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $127 | 42 |
| 8 Lindenwood Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,970 (-5%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $89 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $9,493
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $46,800
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 N 17th St Swansea, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1 Rosehaven Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,325 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 109 S 13th St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,325 | $0.74 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1528 Lebanon Ave Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-05-01$90,000 Active
-
2005-08-29soldstatus $134,500
-
1999-11-23soldstatus $95,000
-
1993-02-09soldstatus $83,500
-
1993-02-09soldstatus $83,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,107 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,107 · $342/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$4,107
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,445
- − Management
- −$1,445
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,961
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$711
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Swansea
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #1705
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Swansea, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 28,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+7.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $90,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $134,500 Public Records
- 1999-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1993-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 1993-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2024): $4,107 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…