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B- Composite 66.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

343 Bellmead St · Shreveport, LA 71105
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,099 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1956 0.28 ac lot Est $243k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property (not attached)
  • Construction: Built in 1956; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Lot smaller than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.284 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings; One living area; One dining area; Two total main rooms (per room count)
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $110k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.00%
Cash-on-cash
9.68%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$243,484
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6313 Kathy Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 2,125 (+1%) 2mo $235,000 $111 79
256 Wedgewood Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 2,067 (-2%) 2mo $285,000 $138 77
6210 Kathy Ln 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,959 (-7%) 1mo $129,900 $66 74
6121 Fern Ave #18 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,067 (-2%) 1mo $449,000 $217 71
4625 Fern Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 2,057 (-2%) 1mo $187,500 $91 68
371 Arthur Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,976 (-6%) 1mo $100,000 $51 68
176 Chelsea Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,193 (+4%) 1mo $255,000 $116 67
237 Pierremont Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 2,279 (+9%) 1mo $272,900 $120 67
4437 Norway Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 2,239 (+7%) 1mo $260,000 $116 61
4503 Fern Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 2,229 (+6%) 3mo $150,000 $67 54
325 Berkshire Pl 0.70mi 3/2.0 2,262 (+8%) 2mo $200,000 $88 53
135 Carroll St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,875 (-11%) 1mo $232,500 $124 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-10,810
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$16,458
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71105

Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
149
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,869 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,043/yr
Insurance
$69
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,590
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $314 -5% $267 +0% $221 +5% $174 +10% $127
Rent -10% $73 -5% $147 +0% $221 +5% $294 +10% $368
Rate -1.0pp $304 -0.5pp $262 base $221 +0.5pp $178 +1.0pp $134

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
119 Charles Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1518 $1,800 $1.19 44d 1 0.94mi
204 Leo Ave Shreveport, LA 4.0 2.0 1846 $2,000 $1.08 14d 1 1.01mi
6122 Burgundy Dr Shreveport, LA 4.0 2.0 2222 $2,500 $1.13 44d 1 1.05mi
2011 Audubon Pl Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1932 $1,800 $0.93 44d 1 1.19mi
7416 Camelback Dr Shreveport, LA 4.0 2.5 2377 $2,000 $0.84 22d 1 1.26mi
2033 Horton Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1681 $1,750 $1.04 22d 1 1.28mi
720 Delaware St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 14d 1 1.32mi
1519 Audubon Pl Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 2596 $1,850 $0.71 22d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $164,900 Active
  3. 2020-10-16
    soldstatus $110,000
  4. 2012-06-25
    soldstatus $129,900
  5. 2008-08-15
    soldstatus
  6. 2005-12-23
    soldstatus
  7. 2004-01-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,043 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,043 · $170/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,425
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$2,043
− Insurance
−$2,649
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,794
− Management
−$1,794
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable income
$111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$27
After-tax cash flow
$2,620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
20,179
Household income
$67,968
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1007.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.75%
Current HPI
129.572
Rent YoY
▲ 3.93%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $164,900 NTREIS
  • 2020-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2012-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2008-08-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-12-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-01-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,043 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…