604 E Sinton St · Sinton, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the heart of Sinton, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of character and opportunity! Featuring tall ceilings and an oversized TV room perfect for gathering and entertaining, this property offers a spacious layout with plenty of potential. The home is livable but does need significant repairs and updates — making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers ready to roll up their sleeves and build sweat equity. With vision and effort, this could be transformed into a charming starter home or rental property. Being sold AS-IS and priced accordingly. If you’re looking for potential in a growing community, this could be the one!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Sinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sinton ISD (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #601 of 826 in TX (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 344 units permitted in San Patricio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Patricio County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.69%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,084
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -21.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 E Market St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,020 (+2%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 1100 Adeline St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,968 (-1%) | 5mo | $249,900 | $127 | 66 |
| 912 E Fulton St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,852 (-7%) | 4mo | $139,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 1024 E Sinton St | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,840 (-7%) | 6mo | $178,000 | $97 | 55 |
| 1121 Adeline St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,038 (+3%) | 22mo | $255,000 | $125 | 46 |
| 112 Lamplite Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,691 (-15%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $103 | 45 |
| 1029 Adeline St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,270 (+14%) | 19mo | $245,000 | $108 | 35 |
| 400 W Merriman St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,748 (-12%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $86 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-16,952
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-7,045
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78387
- Active inventory
- 159
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,548 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$344 /mo · $4,123/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $88
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1005 E Fulton St Sinton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 12137 County Road 1232 Sinton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1472 | $1,050 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-02-27$139,900 Active 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
Located in the heart of Sinton, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of character and opportunity! Featuring tall ceilings and an oversized TV room perfect for gathering and entertaining, this property offers a spacious layout with plenty of potential. The home is livable but does need significant repairs and updates — making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers ready to roll up their sleeves and build sweat equity. With vision and effort, this could be transformed into a charming starter home or rental property. Being sold AS-IS and priced accordingly. If you’re looking for potential in a growing community, this could be the one!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,123 · $344/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,123 · $344/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$4,123
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,487
- − Management
- −$1,487
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$1,120
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$269
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,322/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sinton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840350
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,618
- Composite
- 26.49/100
- National rank
- #7208
- State rank
- #601 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sinton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #667
- US rank
- #12510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sinton, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,604
Population outlook (San Patricio County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,538 people
- By 2030
- 79,575 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 87,670 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 96,107 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 117,984 · +56.2%
- By 2100
- 130,010 · +72.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 33% White 25% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 64%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 38%
Political lean MEDSL · San Patricio
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.4% · R 67.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -36.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.32%
- Current HPI
- 149.9517
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listed $139,900 CBMLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,123 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…