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130 S Barat Ave
D- Composite 39.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

130 S Barat Ave · Ferguson, MO 63135
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,530 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1951 9,300 sqft lot Est $147k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully renovated all-brick home in the heart of Ferguson! This move-in ready property blends classic charm with modern updates throughout. Step inside to find refinished hardwood floors, fresh paint, updated lighting, and a spacious living room featuring a cozy fireplace and built-in shelving. The fully updated kitchen offers modern cabinetry, sleek finishes, and plenty of space for everyday living and entertaining. Updated bathrooms on multiple levels add convenience and style, while the versatile upper-level bedroom provides the perfect private retreat, office, or flex space. The full basement offers tons of storage and additional potential. Outside, enjoy a large fenced backyard, en

Key facts

  • Cozy fireplace
  • Updated lighting
  • Built-in shelving

Tags

RENOVATED ALL-BRICK HOMEREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED LIGHTINGCOZY FIREPLACEBUILT-IN SHELVINGFULLY UPDATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 car space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220-volt electric; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Entry and living area above grade per assessor
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Two bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Two half bathrooms; Main level has one full bathroom; Upper level has one half bathroom; Lower level has one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Basement with block construction; Fireplace in the family room; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($998/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 8.9% in Ferguson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Griffith Elementary (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,069 of 1,115 statewide, top 96%, 282 students, 99% FRL); Ferguson Middle (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #376 of 391 statewide, top 96%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $160k implies a 540% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $143,197 (10.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.23%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
135 S Barat Ave 0.04mi 2/1.0 1,440 (-6%) 6mo $96,900 $67 83
38 Bayview Ct 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,472 (-4%) 4mo $124,900 $85 71
274 Dashwood Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,454 (-5%) 5mo $139,900 $96 67
332 Argent Ave 0.69mi 2/1.5 1,558 (+2%) 0mo $185,000 $119 63
237 S Barat Ave 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,310 (-14%) 4mo $85,000 $65 62
1325 Kappel Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,414 (-8%) 2mo $139,000 $98 49
509 Royal Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,375 (-10%) 3mo $110,000 $80 48
406 Teston Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,320 (-14%) 4mo $89,900 $68 41
410 Argent Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,634 (+7%) 6mo $210,000 $129 40
1330 Chambers Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,339 (-12%) 3mo $139,900 $104 37
425 S Clark Ave 0.74mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,734 (+13%) 2mo $190,000 $110 34
536 Ames Pl 0.66mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,304 (-15%) 5mo $69,900 $54 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-13,058
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$29,842
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63135

Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,715/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,327
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $174 -5% $128 +0% $83 +5% $38 +10% $-7
Rent -10% $-30 -5% $27 +0% $83 +5% $140 +10% $196
Rate -1.0pp $164 -0.5pp $124 base $83 +0.5pp $42 +1.0pp $0

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13 N Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,400 $1.23 12d 1 0.19mi
1006 Highmont Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1920 $1,550 $0.81 45d 1 0.21mi
945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,575 $1.42 45d 1 0.27mi
299 Dashwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1920 $1,575 $0.82 25d 1 0.39mi
338 Saint Louis Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 0.41mi
419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.61mi
25 S Dellwood Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1944 $1,600 $0.82 45d 1 0.62mi
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,500 $1.17 16d 1 0.73mi
6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,425 $1.11 3d 1 0.73mi
324 Emmett Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,650 $1.22 25d 1 0.83mi
9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1251 $1,200 $0.96 0d 1 0.98mi
9717 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,323 $1.25 45d 1 1.00mi
265 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,350 $1.09 45d 1 1.10mi
541 Hentschel Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1305 $1,500 $1.15 6d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    status $159,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $159,900 Pending 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-05-20
    listed $159,900 Active
  13. 2011-07-06
    soldstatus $25,000
  14. 2004-11-16
    soldstatus $88,700
  15. 1989-08-01
    soldstatus
  16. 1987-08-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,715 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,715 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,184
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,715
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,689
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$405
After-tax cash flow
$1,404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Ferguson

Score
58/100
State rank
#586
US rank
#20809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ferguson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
18,381
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
18,381
Household income
$52,328
Rent vs Own
45.8% rent · 54.2% own
Severe rent burden
957.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.56%
Current HPI
138.6781
Rent YoY
▲ 9.03%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2004-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $88,700 Public Records
  • 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1987-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,715 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…