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734 Cleophus Pkwy
C+ Composite 61.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

734 Cleophus Pkwy · Lincoln Park, MI 48146
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1918 3,049 sqft lot Est $155k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CLEAN 4 BEDROOM BUNGALOW! MOVE IN READY! 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE! CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS! AS IS SALE! LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE! ALL DATA IS APPROXIMATE. BUYERS AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1918

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 30 x 100 (0.07 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.4% in Lincoln Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 13 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $140k implies a 748% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
7.99%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
864 Cleophus Pkwy 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,414 (+2%) 2mo $230,000 $163 88
730 Cleophus Pkwy 0.01mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,500 (+8%) 4mo $162,000 $108 74
1719 Ferris Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,360 (-2%) 4mo $170,000 $125 70
869 Lincoln Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,342 (-3%) 4mo $132,000 $98 69
782 Cleveland Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,298 (-6%) 3mo $160,000 $123 65
926 Mill St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,270 (-8%) 5mo $165,000 $130 55
853 Mill St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,531 (+10%) 7mo $143,500 $94 51
1133 Mill St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,512 (+9%) 1mo $170,000 $112 48
850 Montie Rd 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,536 (+11%) 2mo $94,000 $61 46
1214 Lincoln Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,230 (-11%) 1mo $188,000 $153 45
1519 Fort Park Blvd 0.72mi 4/2.5 1,587 (+14%) 2mo $137,000 $86 38
1060 Capitol Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,548 (+12%) 1mo $95,000 $61 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,278
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$30,345
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48146

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,618 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$226 /mo · $2,710/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,288
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $340 -5% $300 +0% $261 +5% $221 +10% $182
Rent -10% $133 -5% $197 +0% $261 +5% $325 +10% $389
Rate -1.0pp $331 -0.5pp $296 base $261 +0.5pp $224 +1.0pp $188

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1473 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,700 $1.27 2d 1 0.28mi
4282 7th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,250 $1.09 24d 1 0.73mi
4015 16th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.5 1170 $1,300 $1.11 24d 1 0.88mi
3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,350 $1.51 18d 1 0.94mi
357 Emmons Blvd Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1268 $1,695 $1.34 2d 1 0.95mi
3801 18th St Ecorse, MI 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,150 $0.96 18d 1 1.30mi
168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,295 $1.20 5d 1 1.42mi
170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,399 $1.30 3d 1 1.42mi
1774 College Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 944 $1,525 $1.62 2d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 202-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $139,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,710 · $226/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,710 · $226/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,421
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,710
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,554
− Management
−$1,554
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$239
After-tax cash flow
$2,889/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Park School District
NCES district ID
2621600
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,486
Composite
19.93/100
National rank
#8678
State rank
#440 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lincoln Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1720

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
39,257
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,257
Household income
$58,616
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1142.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
222.8545
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.1% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-20 Listed $885 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-10-17 Sold (MLS) $16,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-13 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-06 Listed $42,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-06 Listed $42,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-12-06 Listed $42,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-10-25 Listed $66,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-10-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-06 Listed $76,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-05-30 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1999-09-10 Sold (MLS) $72,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-09-10 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-05-03 Listed $72,500 REALCOMP
  • 1999-05-03 Listed $72,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-11-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1998-04-15 Listed $76,000 REALCOMP
  • 1996-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 1996-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,710 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…