734 Cleophus Pkwy · Lincoln Park, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CLEAN 4 BEDROOM BUNGALOW! MOVE IN READY! 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE! CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS! AS IS SALE! LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE! ALL DATA IS APPROXIMATE. BUYERS AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1918
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 30 x 100 (0.07 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 6 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.4% in Lincoln Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $140k implies a 748% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.99%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,232
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 864 Cleophus Pkwy | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,414 (+2%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $163 | 88 |
| 730 Cleophus Pkwy | 0.01mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+8%) | 4mo | $162,000 | $108 | 74 |
| 1719 Ferris Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,360 (-2%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $125 | 70 |
| 869 Lincoln Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,342 (-3%) | 4mo | $132,000 | $98 | 69 |
| 782 Cleveland Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,298 (-6%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $123 | 65 |
| 926 Mill St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,270 (-8%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $130 | 55 |
| 853 Mill St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,531 (+10%) | 7mo | $143,500 | $94 | 51 |
| 1133 Mill St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,512 (+9%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $112 | 48 |
| 850 Montie Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (+11%) | 2mo | $94,000 | $61 | 46 |
| 1214 Lincoln Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,230 (-11%) | 1mo | $188,000 | $153 | 45 |
| 1519 Fort Park Blvd | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 1,587 (+14%) | 2mo | $137,000 | $86 | 38 |
| 1060 Capitol Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,548 (+12%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $61 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,278
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $30,345
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48146
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,710/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $340 | -5% $300 | +0% $261 | +5% $221 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $133 | -5% $197 | +0% $261 | +5% $325 | +10% $389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $296 | base $261 | +0.5pp $224 | +1.0pp $188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1473 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4282 7th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4015 16th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 357 Emmons Blvd Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3801 18th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,399 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1774 College Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,525 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 202-char remark
-
2026-06-19$139,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,710 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,710 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,421
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,710
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,554
- − Management
- −$1,554
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$239
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Park School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621600
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,486
- Composite
- 19.93/100
- National rank
- #8678
- State rank
- #440 of 540 in MI
Livability — Lincoln Park
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln Park, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 39,257
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,257
- Household income
- $58,616
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1142.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.25%
- Current HPI
- 222.8545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+122.1% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-18 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-20 Listed $885 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-10-17 Sold (MLS) $16,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-08-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-07-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-07-13 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-12-06 Listed $42,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-12-06 Listed $42,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-12-06 Listed $42,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-11-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-25 Listed $66,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-09-06 Listed $76,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-08-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-05-30 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1999-09-10 Sold (MLS) $72,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-09-10 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-05-03 Listed $72,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-05-03 Listed $72,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-11-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-04-15 Listed $76,000 REALCOMP
- 1996-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 1996-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,710 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…