🏗️ New Construction
Parker Plan · Wimauma, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
$332,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to the Parker by Highland Homes! A homeowner-favorite, this popular plan is designed with a Craftsman-style front porch, a fully open living area, and a luxurious owner's suite! The Parker features: A sunny, open living area and kitchen with a counter-height island, walk-in pantry, and adjacent dining cafe, all under an airy volume ceiling. A spacious owner's suite with a spa-like en-suite bath including dual vanities, a garden tub, a tiled shower, a closeted toilet, and a walk-in wardrobe Do not prefer a tub? Select the optional bath layout with an enlarged shower and linen closet in lieu of the garden tub. . . Laundry room with drop zone at the garage entry. Covered lanai with access from the cafe (optional sliding glass door in the owner's suite). Multiple exterior elevations to choose from. Base price includes a standard homesite and included features, per community. Homesite premiums and elevation, plan, and design upgrade options may be additional.
Key facts
- Sunny dining cafe
- Large gathering room
- Airy volume ceiling
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $333k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-176 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $322k (3.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $282k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.5% in Wimauma — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#699 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A, cost of living A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, employment D-, health & safety F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wimauma Elementary School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 543 students, 81% FRL); Shields Middle School (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 1,867 students, 68% FRL); Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 60d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 546 days — a 12% lower offer ($293k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 546 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.17%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,870
- List price
- $332,900
- Delta
- -4.30%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6039 Dropwort Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (0%) | 1mo | $332,900 | $194 | 78 |
| 6035 Mangrove Creek Rd | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (0%) | 7mo | $346,345 | $202 | 77 |
| 6012 Mangrove Creek Rd | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (0%) | 9mo | $342,900 | $200 | 76 |
| 6030 Mangrove Creek Rd | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (0%) | 12mo | $357,670 | $209 | 74 |
| 5933 Ballast Dr | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (0%) | 2mo | $352,340 | $205 | 72 |
| 6023 Ballast Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (0%) | 7mo | $353,145 | $206 | 70 |
| 6051 Dropwort Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,819 (+6%) | 1mo | $342,900 | $189 | 69 |
| 5936 Ballast Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,819 (+6%) | 0mo | $346,180 | $190 | 64 |
| 6058 Mangrove Creek Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,545 (-10%) | 0mo | $323,900 | $210 | 63 |
| 5960 Ballast Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,545 (-10%) | 0mo | $321,450 | $208 | 54 |
| 5977 Ballast Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,479 (-14%) | 0mo | $305,900 | $207 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.35% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-66,203
- Equity at exit
- $62,085
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-95,444
- Equity at exit
- $47,924
Cash invested: $97,404 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 34 active · 27 under contract
- Months of supply
- 25.5 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $325,990 ($187/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 47 d
- This list price
- 59% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33598
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 858
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,820 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,824
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$435 /mo · $5,218/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$592
- Net cashflow
- $-176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $64 | -5% $-56 | +0% $-176 | +5% $-296 | +10% $-416 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-399 | -5% $-287 | +0% $-176 | +5% $-65 | +10% $47 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1 | -0.5pp $-88 | base $-176 | +0.5pp $-266 | +1.0pp $-358 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,967
- Closing costs
- $10,436
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2467 White Ladyfish Rd Wimauma, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 73d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2215 Red Crossbill St Wimauma, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $2,650 | $1.20 | 38d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5771 Red Kite Dr Wimauma, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $2,650 | $1.20 | 73d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5757 Red Kite Dr Wimauma, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $2,630 | $1.20 | 60d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5615 Red Kite Dr Wimauma, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2112 | $3,000 | $1.42 | 52d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2255 Blue Grosbeak Pl Wimauma, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $2,600 | $1.39 | 11d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $332,900 Active 546 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $332,900 Active 544 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $332,900 Active 543 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $332,900 Active 542 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $332,900 Active 541 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $332,900 Active 538 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $332,900 Active 536 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $332,900 Active 535 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $332,900 Active 533 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $332,900 Active 531 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $332,900 Active 530 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $332,900 Active 529 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $332,900 Active 528 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $332,900 Active 527 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $332,900 Active 524 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $332,900 Active 523 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $332,900 Active 522 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $332,900 Active 520 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $332,900 Active 519 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $332,900 Active 518 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $332,900 Active 517 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $332,900 Active 516 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $332,900 Active 514 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $332,900 Active 513 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $332,900 Active 512 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $332,900 Active 510 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $332,900 Active 509 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $332,900 Active 508 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $332,900 Active 507 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $332,900 Active 506 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $332,900 Active 505 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $332,900 Active 504 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $332,900 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $332,900 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $332,900 Active 499 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $332,900 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $332,900 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $332,900 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $332,900 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $332,900 Active 492 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $332,900 Active 490 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $332,900 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $332,900 Active 486 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $332,900 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $332,900 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $332,900 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $332,900 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $332,900 Active 479 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $332,900 Active 478 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $332,900 Active 477 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,486
- − Property taxes
- −$5,218
- − Insurance
- −$1,739
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,707
- − Management
- −$2,707
- − Depreciation
- −$10,120
- Taxable loss
- −$8,136
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,953
- After-tax cash flow
- $-160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This Parker Plan by Highland Homes is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern kitchen, clean bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. Painting the exterior and landscaping the front yard can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wimauma
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #699
- US rank
- #14659
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wimauma, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
- City population
- 32,820
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,820
- Household income
- $97,520
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.35%
- Current HPI
- 271.8552
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.50%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $332,900 Zillow
- 2025-02-08 Listed $342,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…