4940 Sunnyside Rd SE Unit K-13 · Salem, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great open floor plan , in 55+ Sunnyside Mobile Park, Rent is $815, Walk into large living room, formal dining room. Large kitchen with lots of cabinets, Mudroom off back door, / Utility room with built in Sewing /desk, bathroom walk thru to the guest bedroom, FR off the kitchen, Primary bedroom in back with large bathroom. Sliding door to the covered porch, off back door is the shed, Two driveways and extra parking spaces.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Formal dining room
- Utility room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $969 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.19%
- DSCR
- 3.06
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,000
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 40.47%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4940 Sunnyside Rd SE Unit H5 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 4mo | $64,000 | $48 | 73 |
| 4940 SE Sunnyside Rd Unit B-5 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $56 | 63 |
| 4940 Sunnyside #G2 Rd SE Unit G-2 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-11%) | 19mo | $50,000 | $37 | 62 |
| 1010 Barnes Ave SE | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+6%) | 22mo | $372,000 | $230 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $44,850
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 47.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $109,329
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97302
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,013 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $969
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,031 | -5% $1,000 | +0% $969 | +5% $938 | +10% $907 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $810 | -5% $889 | +0% $969 | +5% $1,048 | +10% $1,128 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,014 | -0.5pp $992 | base $969 | +0.5pp $946 | +1.0pp $922 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5205 9th Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $2,195 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5131 Sycan Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,250 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5248 Baxter Ct SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1105 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5290 Baxter Ct SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,900 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5455 Norma Ave SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1669 | $2,595 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5031 Big Rock Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,700 | $2.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1250 Baxter Rd SE Unit 1276 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1289 | $2,395 | $1.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 450 Lori Ave SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $2,395 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5162 Lone Oak Rd SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,095 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5787 Sunstone St SE Unit 5787 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1192 | $1,645 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5512 Murray St SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,645 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1543 Wiltsey Rd SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $1,475 | $1.41 | 14d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 190 Boone Rd SE Salem, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1030 | $1,550 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4752 Liberty Rd S Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1011 | $1,745 | $1.73 | 14d | 6 | 1.18mi |
| 1410 Jonmart Ave SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,995 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5815 Reed Ln SE Unit 133 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1198 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4021 Village Center Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $3,200 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1544 Fircrest Ct SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,850 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5823 Reed Ln SE Unit 112 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1198 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 522 Inverness Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $2,900 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3955 Outward Rd SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,824 | $1.88 | 14d | 20 | 1.30mi |
| 636 Browning Ave S Unit 636 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6150 Fircrest St SE Unit 6160 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $2,050 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6150 Fircrest St SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $2,050 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1097 Hermitage Way S Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5943 Blue River Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,395 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1073 Hermitage Way S Unit 42 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3758 Mica View Ct SE Unit 3729 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,599 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3758 Mica View Ct SE Unit 3750 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,565 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3758 Mica View Ct SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 995 | $1,595 | $1.60 | 14d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 1370 Boone Rd S Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,725 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1951 Madras St SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1465 | $1,975 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1691 Waln Dr SE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $1,725 | $1.81 | 14d | 6 | 1.44mi |
| 3668 Liberty Rd S Unit 22 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2315 Strong Heights Ln SE Salem, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1087 | $1,850 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 6127 Blue River Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1531 | $2,450 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2087 Audubon Ave SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $3,725 | $2.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5423 Monterey Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $2,295 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3650 Liberty Rd S Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $89,900 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Great open floor plan , in 55+ Sunnyside Mobile Park, Rent is $815, Walk into large living room, formal dining room. Large kitchen with lots of cabinets, Mudroom off back door, / Utility room with built in Sewing /desk, bathroom walk thru to the guest bedroom, FR off the kitchen, Primary bedroom in back with large bathroom. Sliding door to the covered porch, off back door is the shed, Two driveways and extra parking spaces.
-
2026-02-26$99,500 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Great open floor plan , in 55+ Sunnyside Mobile Park, Rent is $815, Walk into large living room, formal dining room. Large kitchen with lots of cabinets, Mudroom off back door, / Utility room with built in Sewing /desk, bathroom walk thru to the guest bedroom, FR off the kitchen, Primary bedroom in back with large bathroom. Sliding door to the covered porch, off back door is the shed, Two driveways and extra parking spaces.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,932
- − Management
- −$1,932
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $10,841
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,602
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home has average condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics, increasing both resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Appears dated
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Appears dated
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpeted floors — Hardwood or tile flooring would increase both resale and rental value
- Both Update kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern cabinets and countertops would significantly boost both resale and rental value
- Both Update bathroom fixtures and tile — Modern fixtures and tile would enhance both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Weathered appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Appears dated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Appears dated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpeted floors — Hardwood or tile flooring would increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Update kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern cabinets and countertops would significantly boost both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Update bathroom fixtures and tile — Modern fixtures and tile would enhance both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J
- NCES district ID
- 4110820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,632
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #9017
- State rank
- #103 of 183 in OR
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #2084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, OR
- County
- Marion County · 258,219 people
- City population
- 193,601
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,799
- Household income
- $85,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1754.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -382.78%
- Current HPI
- 296.7837
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-9.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $89,900 WVMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $99,500 WVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…