5190 Durrett Rd · Commercial Point, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Single family home on nearly a full acre in Orient! This four-bedroom residence offers a major rehab ready opportunity.
Key facts
- 0.88 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached and detached garage space; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Private water source; Private sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1966; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Other foundation
- Exterior features: Private sewer; Private water
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (1.5 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Oil heating
- Interior features: One fireplace; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.3% in Commercial Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#388 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Teays Valley Local (town): math 66% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #166 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 312 units permitted in Pickaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pickaway County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.51%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $499,619
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -55.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5190 Durrett Rd | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 | 1,946 (0%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $103 | 95 |
| 9360 Magnolia Way | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,942 (-0%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $191 | 72 |
| 9375 Wingate Pl | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 1,944 (-0%) | 10mo | $370,000 | $190 | 70 |
| 297 Mahogany Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,850 (-5%) | 3mo | $420,000 | $227 | 69 |
| 302 Shady Hollow Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,786 (-8%) | 3mo | $399,900 | $224 | 65 |
| 5035 Dietrich Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 | 1,866 (-4%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $188 | 65 |
| 282 Shady Hollow Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 | 2,132 (+10%) | 9mo | $400,000 | $188 | 61 |
| 313 Creek View Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,192 (+13%) | 12mo | $449,900 | $205 | 53 |
| 5261 Dietrich Ave | 0.38mi | 4/3.5 | 1,682 (-14%) | 4mo | $338,500 | $201 | 52 |
| 5550 Stevens Dr | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,780 (-8%) | 8mo | $338,900 | $190 | 43 |
| 5700 Boucher Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,206 (+13%) | 10mo | $380,000 | $172 | 38 |
| 5155 Horseshoe Dr S | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,709 (-12%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $205 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,259
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $43,225
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43146
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,571 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$247 /mo · $2,963/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $539
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $664 | -5% $602 | +0% $539 | +5% $477 | +10% $415 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $336 | -5% $438 | +0% $539 | +5% $641 | +10% $742 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $650 | -0.5pp $595 | base $539 | +0.5pp $482 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5584 Lanterns Way Orient, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1928 | $2,571 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15price $219,900 119-char remark
-
2026-05-07$249,990 Active 119-char remark
-
1994-06-13soldstatus $79,900
-
1992-02-25soldstatus $139,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,963 · $247/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,197 · $266/mo
- Expected delta
- +$234/yr (+$19/mo · 7.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$2,963
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,468
- − Management
- −$2,468
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $3,138
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$753
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Teays Valley Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904909
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,637
- Composite
- 58.28/100
- National rank
- #1019
- State rank
- #166 of 656 in OH
Livability — Commercial Point
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #388
- US rank
- #6304
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pickaway · 57,589 people
- City population
- 2,764
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,325
- Household income
- $73,904
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Pickaway County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,488 people
- By 2030
- 60,400 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 61,498 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 61,478 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 59,696 · +0.3%
- By 2100
- 51,458 · -13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pickaway
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.3% · R 73.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.8pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -48.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+42.6 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.05%
- Current HPI
- 271.1768
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+43.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $200,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-26 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $219,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $249,990 CBRMLS
- 1994-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 1992-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,963 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…