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1030 4th
B- Composite 65.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

1030 4th · Stuart, OK 74570
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,504 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 1955 5.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Motivated seller Looking for the property that needs some TLC siting on some acreage look no more

Key facts

  • 5 acre lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 131 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#478 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Stuart (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #242 of 513 in OK (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Hughes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $100k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.61%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$300,800
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
615 Grand Ave 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-0%) 2mo $299,900 $200 71
429 5th St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+4%) 22mo $150,000 $96 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$29,233
Equity at exit
$44,919
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$79,881
Equity at exit
$69,226

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74570

Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $481/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $767
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-02-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-12
    price $99,900
  3. 2025-09-23
    listed $114,900 Active
  4. 2023-02-24
    soldstatus $60,000
  5. 2007-02-09
    soldstatus $84,000
  6. 1998-11-17
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$481 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$899 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$418/yr (+$35/mo · 86.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,309
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$481
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,065
− Management
−$1,065
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$407
After-tax cash flow
$2,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stuart
NCES district ID
4029100
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,280
Composite
28.97/100
National rank
#11937
State rank
#242 of 513 in OK

Livability — Stuart

Score
57/100
State rank
#478
US rank
#22113

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stuart, OK
Population (ZIP)
1,212

Population outlook (Hughes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,323 people
By 2030
13,172 · -1.1%
By 2040
13,060 · -2.0%
By 2050
13,130 · -1.4%
By 2075
13,932 · +4.6%
By 2100
14,649 · +10.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Native American 15% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Russian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hughes

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.5) · D 17.8% · R 80.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-33.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.4pp · 2024: -62.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.5 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+316.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $99,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $114,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 1998-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $481 · -21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…