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771 Kentucky Rd
C- Composite 50.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$221,000

771 Kentucky Rd · Ozark, MO 65721
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,725 sqft · Other public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1985 0.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable 5 bed, room 2 bath home in Ozark. This home has had many updates throughout their ownership. Two bedrooms and a bathroom were added as well as a sliding back door, deck and a second water heater was added, They are finishing the most recent renovations (as you will see in the photos and upon your visit) within the next week. It is a quiet country feel, with no houses behind you but you are able to enjoy the view of the neighbor's pond behind the home and yet, still you are just a short drive to B & B Theaters, Walmart, Finley Farms and Lambert's Cafe. Beautiful area on a quiet road. Move in ready! Come take a look, you will not be disappointed!

Key facts

  • Brand new roof
  • New gutters
  • Top-rated schools

Tags

BRAND NEW ROOFNEW GUTTERSQUIET COUNTRY-LIKE SETTINGTOP-RATED SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Private driveway; Gravel parking
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Private sewer (septic tank); Propane utility
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Subdivision: Allens Acre
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Permanent foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Rear porch; Front porch; Shed(s); Has a view; Rain gutters

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Ice maker; Garbage disposal; Laminate counters; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s) in bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Propane heating; Forced air; Central heating
  • Interior features: Pantry; Laminate counters; Walk-in closet(s); Insulated windows; Window coverings and blinds; Double-pane windows; Rain gutters
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $221k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.8% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#94 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Ozark R-VI (rural): math 60% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #10 of 324 in MO (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: South Elem. (math 59% / reading 63%, grade B, #114 of 1,115 statewide, top 10%, 524 students, 44% FRL); Ozark Jr. High (math 54% / reading 59%, grade B, #38 of 391 statewide, top 10%, 946 students, 37% FRL); Ozark High (math 47% / reading 64%, grade C, #64 of 521 statewide, top 12%, 1,838 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 374 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 537 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Christian County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,706 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.68%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-19,136
Equity at exit
$32,952
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$18,653
Equity at exit
$19,108

Cash invested: $61,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65721

Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
374
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,937 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,159
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,072/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,697
Max offer price $221,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $315 -5% $252 +0% $190 +5% $127 +10% $65
Rent -10% $37 -5% $113 +0% $190 +5% $266 +10% $343
Rate -1.0pp $301 -0.5pp $246 base $190 +0.5pp $133 +1.0pp $74

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,250
Closing costs
$6,630
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $221,000 Active
  3. 2022-10-31
    soldstatus
  4. 2022-10-28
    soldstatus Closed 665-char remark
    Show marketing remark (665 chars)

    Adorable 5 bed, room 2 bath home in Ozark. This home has had many updates throughout their ownership. Two bedrooms and a bathroom were added as well as a sliding back door, deck and a second water heater was added, They are finishing the most recent renovations (as you will see in the photos and upon your visit) within the next week. It is a quiet country feel, with no houses behind you but you are able to enjoy the view of the neighbor's pond behind the home and yet, still you are just a short drive to B & B Theaters, Walmart, Finley Farms and Lambert's Cafe. Beautiful area on a quiet road. Move in ready! Come take a look, you will not be disappointed!

  5. 2022-09-24
    status Pending 665-char remark
    Show marketing remark (665 chars)

    Adorable 5 bed, room 2 bath home in Ozark. This home has had many updates throughout their ownership. Two bedrooms and a bathroom were added as well as a sliding back door, deck and a second water heater was added, They are finishing the most recent renovations (as you will see in the photos and upon your visit) within the next week. It is a quiet country feel, with no houses behind you but you are able to enjoy the view of the neighbor's pond behind the home and yet, still you are just a short drive to B & B Theaters, Walmart, Finley Farms and Lambert's Cafe. Beautiful area on a quiet road. Move in ready! Come take a look, you will not be disappointed!

  6. 2022-09-24
    price $181,900 665-char remark
    Show marketing remark (665 chars)

    Adorable 5 bed, room 2 bath home in Ozark. This home has had many updates throughout their ownership. Two bedrooms and a bathroom were added as well as a sliding back door, deck and a second water heater was added, They are finishing the most recent renovations (as you will see in the photos and upon your visit) within the next week. It is a quiet country feel, with no houses behind you but you are able to enjoy the view of the neighbor's pond behind the home and yet, still you are just a short drive to B & B Theaters, Walmart, Finley Farms and Lambert's Cafe. Beautiful area on a quiet road. Move in ready! Come take a look, you will not be disappointed!

  7. 2022-09-18
    price $187,900 665-char remark
    Show marketing remark (665 chars)

    Adorable 5 bed, room 2 bath home in Ozark. This home has had many updates throughout their ownership. Two bedrooms and a bathroom were added as well as a sliding back door, deck and a second water heater was added, They are finishing the most recent renovations (as you will see in the photos and upon your visit) within the next week. It is a quiet country feel, with no houses behind you but you are able to enjoy the view of the neighbor's pond behind the home and yet, still you are just a short drive to B & B Theaters, Walmart, Finley Farms and Lambert's Cafe. Beautiful area on a quiet road. Move in ready! Come take a look, you will not be disappointed!

  8. 2022-09-17
    listed $197,900 Active 665-char remark
    Show marketing remark (665 chars)

    Adorable 5 bed, room 2 bath home in Ozark. This home has had many updates throughout their ownership. Two bedrooms and a bathroom were added as well as a sliding back door, deck and a second water heater was added, They are finishing the most recent renovations (as you will see in the photos and upon your visit) within the next week. It is a quiet country feel, with no houses behind you but you are able to enjoy the view of the neighbor's pond behind the home and yet, still you are just a short drive to B & B Theaters, Walmart, Finley Farms and Lambert's Cafe. Beautiful area on a quiet road. Move in ready! Come take a look, you will not be disappointed!

  9. 2022-09-16
    historical $197,900 665-char remark
    Show marketing remark (665 chars)

    Adorable 5 bed, room 2 bath home in Ozark. This home has had many updates throughout their ownership. Two bedrooms and a bathroom were added as well as a sliding back door, deck and a second water heater was added, They are finishing the most recent renovations (as you will see in the photos and upon your visit) within the next week. It is a quiet country feel, with no houses behind you but you are able to enjoy the view of the neighbor's pond behind the home and yet, still you are just a short drive to B & B Theaters, Walmart, Finley Farms and Lambert's Cafe. Beautiful area on a quiet road. Move in ready! Come take a look, you will not be disappointed!

  10. 2017-08-01
    soldstatus
  11. 2017-07-28
    soldstatus 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The peace and quite of country living just minutes from shopping in Ozark and about 25 minutes to Battlefield in Springfield. Roof is two years old, new carpet, fresh Paint. Lots of windows lets in natural light. Washer Dryer hook-ups. Really clean and move-in ready. One year H S A Home Warranty. 1 car garageThis home will go USDA

  12. 2017-05-27
    listed $84,900 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    The peace and quite of country living just minutes from shopping in Ozark and about 25 minutes to Battlefield in Springfield. Roof is two years old, new carpet, fresh Paint. Lots of windows lets in natural light. Washer Dryer hook-ups. Really clean and move-in ready. One year H S A Home Warranty. 1 car garageThis home will go USDA

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,072 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,144 · $179/mo
Expected delta
+$1,071/yr (+$89/mo · 99.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,245
− Mortgage interest
−$12,379
− Property taxes
−$1,072
− Insurance
−$1,105
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,860
− Management
−$1,860
− Depreciation
−$6,429
Taxable loss
−$1,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$350
After-tax cash flow
$2,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ozark R-VI
NCES district ID
2923430
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$54,408
Composite
52.33/100
National rank
#1590
State rank
#10 of 324 in MO

Livability — Ozark

Score
72/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#6242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Christian County · 70,465 people
City population
33,452
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
33,452
Household income
$77,507
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
673.0

Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,071 people
By 2030
100,379 · +5.6%
By 2040
109,902 · +15.6%
By 2050
117,487 · +23.6%
By 2075
130,738 · +37.5%
By 2100
131,730 · +38.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Christian

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.2) · D 23.3% · R 75.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -52.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.2 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+54.2 2012: R+46.5 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.28%
Current HPI
188.699
Rent YoY
▲ 5.34%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $221,000 SOMO
  • 2022-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2022-09-24 Pending SOMO
  • 2022-09-24 Price Changed $181,900 SOMO
  • 2022-09-18 Price Changed $187,900 SOMO
  • 2022-09-17 Listed $197,900 SOMO
  • 2022-09-16 Coming Soon $197,900 SOMO
  • 2017-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2017-05-27 Listed $84,900 SOMO

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,072 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…