2548 Peck Rd · South Monrovia Island, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$91,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful new home, nestled in the all-age, land-leased community of Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park, boasts approximately 399 square feet of comfortable living space. Its open floor plan, accentuated by high ceilings, creates a spacious ambiance. Ascend the stairs to discover a storage loft with a coffered ceiling, adding an additional 87 square feet of usable area. The kitchen is a highlight, showcasing new cabinets adorned with brushed nickel hardware, modern Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, and elegant white quartz countertops. For added convenience, the home is plumbed for a stackable washer and dryer, while luxury vinyl flooring enhances both style and practicality. This remarkable property is truly a must-see, offering a blend of contemporary design, functionality, and charm. First month space rent is FREE.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
- Listed 26 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease amount approximately $1,050
- HOA & community: Located in Walnut Grove park; Land lease in place
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story; Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 40 ft by 10 ft; Entry on the front
- Construction: Year built per builder source
- Exterior features: No pool; Neighborhood sidewalks
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Front entry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#521 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A, commute A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Monrovia Unified (suburban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #182 of 517 in CA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $633 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.30%
- DSCR
- 3.64
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $65,848
- Equity at exit
- $13,643
- IRR
- 62.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.30×
- Total profit
- $161,322
- Equity at exit
- $7,911
Cash invested: $25,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91732
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,403 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$480
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$114 /mo · $1,372/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$505
- Net cashflow
- $1,266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,329 | -5% $1,298 | +0% $1,266 | +5% $1,234 | +10% $1,203 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,076 | -5% $1,171 | +0% $1,266 | +5% $1,361 | +10% $1,456 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,312 | -0.5pp $1,289 | base $1,266 | +0.5pp $1,242 | +1.0pp $1,218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,875
- Closing costs
- $2,745
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 E Atara St Monrovia, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,135 | $3.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2955 Mayflower Ave Arcadia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,600 | $2.46 | 15d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 541 Shrode Ave Duarte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $2,650 | $2.47 | 20d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2853 Doolittle Ave Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1960 Peck Rd Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,550 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1211 S 10th Ave Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $2,800 | $3.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4064 E Live Oak Ave Arcadia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,800 | $2.95 | 18d | 10 | 0.93mi |
| 340 W Duarte Rd Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,600 | $2.58 | 19d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 225 W Duarte Rd Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1537 | $5,248 | $3.41 | 1d | 109 | 1.00mi |
| 425 Danimere Ave Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $2,900 | $3.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 319 W Duarte Rd Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 952 | $2,700 | $2.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 319 W Duarte Rd Unit A Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 952 | $2,600 | $2.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 521 Live Oak Ave Unit 521B Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 521 E Live Oak Ave Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1625 S Magnolia Ave Monrovia, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1094 | $2,512 | $2.30 | 1d | 48 | 1.12mi |
| 711 W Duarte Rd Apt D Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,750 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 725 W Duarte Rd Unit 13 Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $2,383 | $2.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 731 W Duarte Rd Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $2,383 | $2.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 912 Genoa St Apt A Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,995 | $2.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1314 S 2nd Ave Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 804 | $3,300 | $4.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 911 Genoa St Unit A Monrovia, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $2,150 | $2.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 124 W Cherry Ave Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1325 S Alta Vista Ave Unit 1325-I Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,350 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1306 S Mayflower Ave Unit A Monrovia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1009 | $2,700 | $2.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1214 S Primrose Ave Monrovia, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,300 | $3.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1219 S Alta Vista Ave Monrovia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $2,075 | $2.44 | 1d | 4 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $91,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $91,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $91,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $91,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $91,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $91,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $91,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $91,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $91,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $91,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $91,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $91,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $91,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $91,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$91,500 Active
-
2025-02-06soldstatus $117,000 Closed Sale 828-char remark
Show marketing remark (828 chars)
Beautiful new home, nestled in the all-age, land-leased community of Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park, boasts approximately 399 square feet of comfortable living space. Its open floor plan, accentuated by high ceilings, creates a spacious ambiance. Ascend the stairs to discover a storage loft with a coffered ceiling, adding an additional 87 square feet of usable area. The kitchen is a highlight, showcasing new cabinets adorned with brushed nickel hardware, modern Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, and elegant white quartz countertops. For added convenience, the home is plumbed for a stackable washer and dryer, while luxury vinyl flooring enhances both style and practicality. This remarkable property is truly a must-see, offering a blend of contemporary design, functionality, and charm. First month space rent is FREE.
-
2025-02-06soldstatus $117,000 Closed 828-char remark
Show marketing remark (828 chars)
Beautiful new home, nestled in the all-age, land-leased community of Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park, boasts approximately 399 square feet of comfortable living space. Its open floor plan, accentuated by high ceilings, creates a spacious ambiance. Ascend the stairs to discover a storage loft with a coffered ceiling, adding an additional 87 square feet of usable area. The kitchen is a highlight, showcasing new cabinets adorned with brushed nickel hardware, modern Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, and elegant white quartz countertops. For added convenience, the home is plumbed for a stackable washer and dryer, while luxury vinyl flooring enhances both style and practicality. This remarkable property is truly a must-see, offering a blend of contemporary design, functionality, and charm. First month space rent is FREE.
-
2025-01-14$119,900 Active 828-char remark
Show marketing remark (828 chars)
Beautiful new home, nestled in the all-age, land-leased community of Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park, boasts approximately 399 square feet of comfortable living space. Its open floor plan, accentuated by high ceilings, creates a spacious ambiance. Ascend the stairs to discover a storage loft with a coffered ceiling, adding an additional 87 square feet of usable area. The kitchen is a highlight, showcasing new cabinets adorned with brushed nickel hardware, modern Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, and elegant white quartz countertops. For added convenience, the home is plumbed for a stackable washer and dryer, while luxury vinyl flooring enhances both style and practicality. This remarkable property is truly a must-see, offering a blend of contemporary design, functionality, and charm. First month space rent is FREE.
-
2025-01-14$119,900 Active 828-char remark
Show marketing remark (828 chars)
Beautiful new home, nestled in the all-age, land-leased community of Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park, boasts approximately 399 square feet of comfortable living space. Its open floor plan, accentuated by high ceilings, creates a spacious ambiance. Ascend the stairs to discover a storage loft with a coffered ceiling, adding an additional 87 square feet of usable area. The kitchen is a highlight, showcasing new cabinets adorned with brushed nickel hardware, modern Whirlpool stainless steel appliances, and elegant white quartz countertops. For added convenience, the home is plumbed for a stackable washer and dryer, while luxury vinyl flooring enhances both style and practicality. This remarkable property is truly a must-see, offering a blend of contemporary design, functionality, and charm. First month space rent is FREE.
-
2019-12-20soldstatus $3,008,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,125
- − Property taxes
- −$1,372
- − Insurance
- −$458
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,307
- − Management
- −$2,307
- − Depreciation
- −$2,662
- Taxable income
- $14,606
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,505
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monrovia Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625320
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,032
- Composite
- 39.18/100
- National rank
- #4022
- State rank
- #182 of 517 in CA
Livability — South Monrovia Island
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #17543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Monrovia Island, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,431
- Household income
- $75,108
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2538.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 65% Asian 29% Two or more races 22% White 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57%
- Foreign-born
- 49% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 20% English-only · Spanish 54% Chinese 16% Vietnamese 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1009.25%
- Current HPI
- 413.0584
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-97.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $91,500 CRMLS
- 2025-02-06 Sold (MLS) $117,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-02-06 Sold (MLS) $117,000 CRMLS
- 2025-01-14 Listed $119,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-01-14 Listed $119,900 CRMLS
- 2019-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $3,008,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $50,282 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…