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33 Helens Rd
B Composite 70.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$110,000

33 Helens Rd · Parrish, AL 35580
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1985 0.70 ac lot $97/sqft · at area comps Est $112k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you are looking for a nice home with yard space this could be for you. Very well kept home in a private area

Key facts

  • Private area
  • Yard space
  • 0.7 acre lot

Tags

YARD SPACEPRIVATE AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#549 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
  • Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $110k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.16%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,703
List price
$110,000
Delta
-1.52%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$70,432
Equity at exit
$89,119
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
7.17×
Total profit
$190,077
Equity at exit
$182,472

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35580

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-05-02
    historical Contingent 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    If you are looking for a nice home with yard space this could be for you. Very well kept home in a private area

  17. 2026-04-16
    price $110,000 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    If you are looking for a nice home with yard space this could be for you. Very well kept home in a private area

  18. 2026-03-10
    listed $136,000 Active 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    If you are looking for a nice home with yard space this could be for you. Very well kept home in a private area

  19. 2013-06-28
    soldstatus $52,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    #2477 - PARRISH - 2BR, 1BA, neat as can be and move in ready!! Low maintenance, great yard and front porch just needs a swing!! $54,900

  20. 2013-05-01
    listed $54,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    #2477 - PARRISH - 2BR, 1BA, neat as can be and move in ready!! Low maintenance, great yard and front porch just needs a swing!! $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,289
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,303
− Management
−$1,303
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,121
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$509
After-tax cash flow
$3,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walker County
NCES district ID
0103450
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$36,664
Composite
21.51/100
National rank
#8321
State rank
#89 of 129 in AL

Livability — Parrish

Score
46/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#26522

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parrish, AL
Population (ZIP)
3,526

Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,037 people
By 2030
58,391 · -4.3%
By 2040
53,080 · -13.0%
By 2050
48,031 · -21.3%
By 2075
37,799 · -38.1%
By 2100
29,001 · -52.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 7% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walker

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.73%
Current HPI
235.753
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $136,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2013-06-28 Sold (MLS) $52,000 Walker County Area MLS
  • 2013-05-01 Listed $54,900 Walker County Area MLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $178 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…