214 Venado · Ruidoso, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect getaway home. 3Br/2Ba, .30 of an acre. Plenty of trees. Located behind bowling alley & Farley's. Close to Links golf course, baseball park, & other recreational areas. There's low wear & tear inside of this property. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Getaway home
- Low wear and tear
- Plenty of trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#40 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Ruidoso Municipal Schools (town): math 16% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 29 in NM (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 593 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.28%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $10,921
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $47,635
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88345
- Active inventory
- 593
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,593 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Raymond Buckner Dr Unit B Ruidoso, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 993 | $1,400 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 276-char remark
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-04-18$120,000 Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Perfect getaway home. 3Br/2Ba, .30 of an acre. Plenty of trees. Located behind bowling alley & Farley's. Close to Links golf course, baseball park, & other recreational areas. There's low wear & tear inside of this property. Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,529
- − Management
- −$1,529
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $3,970
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$953
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ruidoso Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3502310
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 20.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,094
- Composite
- 31.68/100
- National rank
- #5925
- State rank
- #14 of 29 in NM
Livability — Ruidoso
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #11996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ruidoso, NM
- County
- Lincoln County · 7,835 people
- City population
- 7,835
- Metro
- Ruidoso, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,835
- Household income
- $53,971
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,903 people
- By 2030
- 15,556 · -8.0%
- By 2040
- 13,064 · -22.7%
- By 2050
- 10,991 · -35.0%
- By 2075
- 7,619 · -54.9%
- By 2100
- 5,966 · -64.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Native American 1% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Danish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.5) · D 29.8% · R 68.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.4pp · 2024: -38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.5 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+40.2 2012: R+32.7 2008: R+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.17%
- Current HPI
- 141.9549
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ruidoso, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Listed $120,000 RLCAR
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2019): $156 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…