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214 Venado
B- Composite 67.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

214 Venado · Ruidoso, NM 88345
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 799 sqft · Other · 62 Days on market
Built 1979 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect getaway home. 3Br/2Ba, .30 of an acre. Plenty of trees. Located behind bowling alley & Farley's. Close to Links golf course, baseball park, & other recreational areas. There's low wear & tear inside of this property. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Getaway home
  • Low wear and tear
  • Plenty of trees

Tags

GETAWAY HOMEPLENTY OF TREESCLOSE TO LINKS GOLF COURSECLOSE TO BASEBALL PARKCLOSE TO RECREATIONAL AREASLOW WEAR AND TEAR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#40 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ruidoso Municipal Schools (town): math 16% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 29 in NM (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 593 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lincoln County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.13%
Cash-on-cash
17.28%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$10,921
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$47,635
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88345

Active inventory
593
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,593 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Raymond Buckner Dr Unit B Ruidoso, NM 2.0 1.0 993 $1,400 $1.41 44d 1 0.15mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 276-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  17. 2026-04-18
    listed $120,000 Active 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Perfect getaway home. 3Br/2Ba, .30 of an acre. Plenty of trees. Located behind bowling alley & Farley's. Close to Links golf course, baseball park, & other recreational areas. There's low wear & tear inside of this property. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,115
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,529
− Management
−$1,529
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$3,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$953
After-tax cash flow
$4,611/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ruidoso Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3502310
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 20.00%
Median HH income
$44,094
Composite
31.68/100
National rank
#5925
State rank
#14 of 29 in NM

Livability — Ruidoso

Score
66/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#11996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ruidoso, NM
County
Lincoln County · 7,835 people
City population
7,835
Metro
Ruidoso, NM
Population (ZIP)
7,835
Household income
$53,971
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
156.0

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,903 people
By 2030
15,556 · -8.0%
By 2040
13,064 · -22.7%
By 2050
10,991 · -35.0%
By 2075
7,619 · -54.9%
By 2100
5,966 · -64.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Native American 1% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Danish 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.5) · D 29.8% · R 68.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -25.4pp · 2024: -38.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.5 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+40.2 2012: R+32.7 2008: R+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.17%
Current HPI
141.9549
Rent YoY
Metro
Ruidoso, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $120,000 RLCAR

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2019): $156 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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