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2882 Edgewater St SW
D- Composite 38.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$313,500

2882 Edgewater St SW · South Fulton, GA 30331
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,239 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 2006 9,099 sqft lot $97/sqft · 22% below area Est $400k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the sought-after Waterford Commons swim/tennis community. This 3,239 sq ft property offers an open and flexible floor plan with multiple living areas, including a large family room with fireplace and an additional upstairs loft perfect for a media room, office, or play space. The oversized primary suite features plenty of natural light. Situated on a level lot with an attached 2-car garage, this home provides excellent potential for renovation or investment. Conveniently located near major interstates, shopping, and dining

Key facts

  • Large family room
  • Upstairs loft
  • Natural light

Tags

SWIM TENNIS COMMUNITYOPEN FLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANMULTIPLE LIVING AREASLARGE FAMILY ROOMUPSTAIRS LOFTNATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $314k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-396 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (22.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (36.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (36.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 483 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $314k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,824 (36.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.42%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$399,896
List price
$313,500
Delta
-21.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2877 Brookford Ln SW 0.09mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,287 (+2%) 9mo $375,000 $114 81
2951 Edgewater St 0.20mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,280 (+1%) 12mo $380,000 $116 74
3058 Parkland Vw 0.28mi 3/2.5 3,492 (+8%) 3mo $385,000 $110 72
125 Waterway Ct SW 0.32mi 3/2.5 3,594 (+11%) 6mo $380,000 $106 62
6317 Selborn Dr SW 0.63mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,888 (-11%) 10mo $380,000 $132 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.0%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-76,863
Equity at exit
$46,744
10-year hold
IRR
-23.9%
Equity multiple
-0.17×
Total profit
$-102,802
Equity at exit
$27,106

Cash invested: $87,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30331

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
483
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,988 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,644
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,307/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$-396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,490
Max offer price $243,514
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-219 -5% $-307 +0% $-396 +5% $-485 +10% $-574
Rent -10% $-553 -5% $-475 +0% $-396 +5% $-318 +10% $-239
Rate -1.0pp $-238 -0.5pp $-316 base $-396 +0.5pp $-477 +1.0pp $-560

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,375
Closing costs
$9,405
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2894 Edgewater St SW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 3239 $2,495 $0.77 22d 1 0.03mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $313,500 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $313,500 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $313,500 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $313,500 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $313,500 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $313,500 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $313,500 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $313,500 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $313,500 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $313,500 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $313,500 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $313,500 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-04-27
    price $330,000 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the sought-after Waterford Commons swim/tennis community. This 3,239 sq ft property offers an open and flexible floor plan with multiple living areas, including a large family room with fireplace and an additional upstairs loft perfect for a media room, office, or play space. The oversized primary suite features plenty of natural light. Situated on a level lot with an attached 2-car garage, this home provides excellent potential for renovation or investment. Conveniently located near major interstates, shopping, and dining

  14. 2026-04-27
    price $330,000 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the sought-after Waterford Commons swim/tennis community. This 3,239 sq ft property offers an open and flexible floor plan with multiple living areas, including a large family room with fireplace and an additional upstairs loft perfect for a media room, office, or play space. The oversized primary suite features plenty of natural light. Situated on a level lot with an attached 2-car garage, this home provides excellent potential for renovation or investment. Conveniently located near major interstates, shopping, and dining

  15. 2026-03-26
    price $341,000 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the sought-after Waterford Commons swim/tennis community. This 3,239 sq ft property offers an open and flexible floor plan with multiple living areas, including a large family room with fireplace and an additional upstairs loft perfect for a media room, office, or play space. The oversized primary suite features plenty of natural light. Situated on a level lot with an attached 2-car garage, this home provides excellent potential for renovation or investment. Conveniently located near major interstates, shopping, and dining

  16. 2026-03-26
    price $341,000 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the sought-after Waterford Commons swim/tennis community. This 3,239 sq ft property offers an open and flexible floor plan with multiple living areas, including a large family room with fireplace and an additional upstairs loft perfect for a media room, office, or play space. The oversized primary suite features plenty of natural light. Situated on a level lot with an attached 2-car garage, this home provides excellent potential for renovation or investment. Conveniently located near major interstates, shopping, and dining

  17. 2026-02-25
    listed $359,000 New 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the sought-after Waterford Commons swim/tennis community. This 3,239 sq ft property offers an open and flexible floor plan with multiple living areas, including a large family room with fireplace and an additional upstairs loft perfect for a media room, office, or play space. The oversized primary suite features plenty of natural light. Situated on a level lot with an attached 2-car garage, this home provides excellent potential for renovation or investment. Conveniently located near major interstates, shopping, and dining

  18. 2026-02-25
    listed $359,000 Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the sought-after Waterford Commons swim/tennis community. This 3,239 sq ft property offers an open and flexible floor plan with multiple living areas, including a large family room with fireplace and an additional upstairs loft perfect for a media room, office, or play space. The oversized primary suite features plenty of natural light. Situated on a level lot with an attached 2-car garage, this home provides excellent potential for renovation or investment. Conveniently located near major interstates, shopping, and dining

  19. 2013-06-29
    price $155,000
  20. 2013-06-14
    historical
  21. 2013-05-14
    soldstatus $155,000
  22. 2013-04-26
    soldstatus $155,000 Sold
  23. 2013-02-18
    status Under Contract
  24. 2013-02-15
    price $159,900
  25. 2013-02-09
    listed $159,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,307 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,884 · $240/mo
Expected delta
+$577/yr (+$48/mo · 25.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,859
− Mortgage interest
−$17,561
− Property taxes
−$2,307
− Insurance
−$1,568
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,909
− Management
−$1,909
− Depreciation
−$9,120
Taxable loss
−$10,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,523
After-tax cash flow
$-2,231/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
62,567
Household income
$62,623
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
3748.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.38%
Current HPI
204.5402
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $330,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $330,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $341,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $341,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $359,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $359,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-06-29 Price Changed $155,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-06-14 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2013-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-26 Sold (MLS) $155,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-02-18 Pending GAMLS
  • 2013-02-15 Price Changed $159,900 GAMLS
  • 2013-02-09 Listed $159,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,307 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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