1525 W Oakland Ave Spc 58 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculate 2 bedroom, 2 bath senior mobile in Eden Roc boasts 6 month new roof, appliances including washer/dryer, refridgerator, beautiful berber carpet throughout, water softener, master bedroom with large easy access oval tub. Indoor laundry room, formal living/dining combo with built in hutch, cozy eat in kitchen has garden window (and comes with dinette set!)and is adjacent to family room with woodburning stove set on brick hearth. A must see for your clients!
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Bonus green room
- Established trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $47k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.7% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,910/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 112.26%
- DSCR
- 6.00
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,768
- List price
- $47,000
- Delta
- -40.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542 Castille | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $172 | 84 |
| 1420 Cabrillo Dr | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $247,500 | $172 | 84 |
| 1525 W Oakland Ave #62 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $28 | 83 |
| 1895 W Devonshire #20 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $44,000 | $33 | 80 |
| 332 N Lyon Ave #67 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 3mo | $49,500 | $40 | 78 |
| 1895 W Devonshire Ave #76 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $41 | 78 |
| 1895 W Devonshire Ave #74 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $60 | 74 |
| 1450 Carlotta | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $204,000 | $142 | 73 |
| 1380 Cabrillo | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $226 | 71 |
| 430 N Palm #102 | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $38 | 60 |
| 1445-#88 W Florida | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $124,000 | $86 | 58 |
| 530 W Devonshire Ave #23 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,538 (+14%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $78 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $68,443
- Equity at exit
- $7,008
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.49×
- Total profit
- $151,146
- Equity at exit
- $4,064
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,910 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $143/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $1,231
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,675 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,595 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 250 N Elk St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,625 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $1,900 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $1,750 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,800 | $2.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $1,695 | $1.73 | 18d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,550 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,670 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $3,000 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,850 | $2.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $2,035 | $2.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,945 | $2.75 | 1d | 11 | 0.84mi |
| 2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $2,100 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,561 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 415 S Tahquitz Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,995 | $2.19 | 7d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,750 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 424 W Mayberry Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $850 | $0.51 | 7d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1241 Sandlewood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1504 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,995 | $1.65 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 7d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 529 E Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $1,950 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,895 | $2.12 | 1d | 10 | 1.18mi |
| 1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $2,150 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 101 San Mateo Cir Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,725 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,448 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 120 Santa Lucia Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $47,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $47,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $47,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $47,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $47,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $47,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-07$47,000 Active 855-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical
-
2026-04-03price $48,900
-
2026-03-18price $54,900
-
2026-02-03price $55,900
-
2025-12-08price $56,995
-
2025-10-10$59,000 Active
-
2004-11-02soldstatus $43,900
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Immaculate 2 bedroom, 2 bath senior mobile in Eden Roc boasts 6 month new roof, appliances including washer/dryer, refridgerator, beautiful berber carpet throughout, water softener, master bedroom with large easy access oval tub. Indoor laundry room, formal living/dining combo with built in hutch, cozy eat in kitchen has garden window (and comes with dinette set!)and is adjacent to family room with woodburning stove set on brick hearth. A must see for your clients!
-
2004-09-17$44,900
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Immaculate 2 bedroom, 2 bath senior mobile in Eden Roc boasts 6 month new roof, appliances including washer/dryer, refridgerator, beautiful berber carpet throughout, water softener, master bedroom with large easy access oval tub. Indoor laundry room, formal living/dining combo with built in hutch, cozy eat in kitchen has garden window (and comes with dinette set!)and is adjacent to family room with woodburning stove set on brick hearth. A must see for your clients!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $143 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $357 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$214/yr (+$18/mo · 150.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,923
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$143
- − Insurance
- −$235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,834
- − Management
- −$1,834
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $14,878
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,203/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+4.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $47,000 Fizber.com
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $48,900 CRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $54,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $55,900 CRMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $56,995 CRMLS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $59,000 CRMLS
- 2004-11-02 Sold (MLS) $43,900 CRMLS
- 2004-09-17 Listed $44,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $143 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…