15 E 155th St · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.7/15.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$178,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Timeless Character, Inviting Warmth & Space to Truly Live. Step away from ordinary cookie-cutter construction and discover a home filled with soul, charm, and enduring character. This beautiful, 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence perfectly blends classic craftsmanship with everyday comfort, offering a warm and welcoming atmosphere you simply can't recreate in modern builds. This isn't a cold, modern gallery of stainless steel; it's a sanctuary. If you prefer cozy character and a welcoming spirit over sterile surfaces, you'll feel right at home the moment you walk through the door. The inviting living room showcases a stunning working stone fireplace accented by a beautifully handcrafted wo
Key facts
- Expansive backyard
- Bright sunroom
- 0.27 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property currently not leased; School bus service and commuter bus available; Some photos are virtually staged; Possession available at closing or immediate
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned) with 2 garage spaces; Asphalt and concrete surfaces; Garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Home is over 100 years old; Built with stucco exterior; Living area reported as estimated
- Construction: Stucco construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Exterior lighting; Partial fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area / table space; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master and two additional bedrooms on second level); Nursery on second level
- Flooring: Hardwood in main living areas; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Carpet in bedrooms and sun room; Wood flooring listed
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Basement has a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate dining room; Sun room; Family room; Living room with fireplace; Partially finished basement with walk-up access and full basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry area with sink; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $178k).
- Recommended offer: $173k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Whittier Elem School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 234 students, 0% FRL); Brooks Middle School (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $178k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.08%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,196
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15641 Marshfield Ave | 0.26mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+4%) | 1mo | $224,900 | $112 | 73 |
| 15325 Lincoln Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,906 (-0%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $92 | 71 |
| 142 W 156th Pl | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-1%) | 0mo | $249,000 | $131 | 68 |
| 15529 Ashland Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,100 (+10%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $38 | 64 |
| 15033 Paulina St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (-6%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $81 | 60 |
| 15730 Paulina St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,702 (-11%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $68 | 58 |
| 15944 Paulina St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,980 (+3%) | 6mo | $72,500 | $37 | 57 |
| 15917 Page Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-1%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $79 | 57 |
| 15212 Winchester Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (-6%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $64 | 49 |
| 15739 Myrtle Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,704 (-11%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 15122 Ashland Ave S | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,675 (-13%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $122 | 48 |
| 15521 Turlington Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 | 1,678 (-12%) | 14mo | $44,000 | $26 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $113,368
- Equity at exit
- $160,807
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.43×
- Total profit
- $321,220
- Equity at exit
- $346,786
Cash invested: $49,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,878 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$936
- Tax from tax record
- −$220 /mo · $2,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $354 | -5% $304 | +0% $253 | +5% $203 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $105 | -5% $179 | +0% $253 | +5% $327 | +10% $402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $343 | -0.5pp $299 | base $253 | +0.5pp $207 | +1.0pp $160 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,625
- Closing costs
- $5,355
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $178,500 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $178,500 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $178,500 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $178,500 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $178,500 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $178,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $178,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $178,500 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $178,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $178,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $178,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $178,500 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $178,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $178,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $178,500 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-19$178,500 Active
-
2026-05-01historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-04-30historical
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2026-04-20price
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2026-04-09Active
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2026-02-28historical
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2025-10-10price
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2025-10-02status Active
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2025-09-27historical Contingent - No Showings
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2025-09-01Active
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2020-03-04historical
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1983-03-31soldstatus $45,000
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1980-01-08soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,635 · $220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,344 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- +$708/yr (+$59/mo · 26.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,999
- − Property taxes
- −$2,635
- − Insurance
- −$892
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,802
- − Management
- −$1,802
- − Depreciation
- −$5,193
- Taxable income
- $206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$49
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+369.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $178,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-27 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-01 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-04 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1983-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1980-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2023): $2,635 · +997.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…