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15 E 155th St
C- Composite 53.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.7/15.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$178,500

15 E 155th St · Harvey, IL 60426
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1920 0.27 ac lot Est $155k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Timeless Character, Inviting Warmth & Space to Truly Live. Step away from ordinary cookie-cutter construction and discover a home filled with soul, charm, and enduring character. This beautiful, 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence perfectly blends classic craftsmanship with everyday comfort, offering a warm and welcoming atmosphere you simply can't recreate in modern builds. This isn't a cold, modern gallery of stainless steel; it's a sanctuary. If you prefer cozy character and a welcoming spirit over sterile surfaces, you'll feel right at home the moment you walk through the door. The inviting living room showcases a stunning working stone fireplace accented by a beautifully handcrafted wo

Key facts

  • Expansive backyard
  • Bright sunroom
  • 0.27 acre lot

Tags

WORKING STONE FIREPLACEHANDCRAFTED WOOD MANTELORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSEXPOSED BRICK DETAILSBRIGHT SUNROOMEXPANSIVE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property currently not leased; School bus service and commuter bus available; Some photos are virtually staged; Possession available at closing or immediate
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (garage owned) with 2 garage spaces; Asphalt and concrete surfaces; Garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Fee simple ownership; Home is over 100 years old; Built with stucco exterior; Living area reported as estimated
  • Construction: Stucco construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Exterior lighting; Partial fencing; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area / table space; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master and two additional bedrooms on second level); Nursery on second level
  • Flooring: Hardwood in main living areas; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Carpet in bedrooms and sun room; Wood flooring listed
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Basement has a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate dining room; Sun room; Family room; Living room with fireplace; Partially finished basement with walk-up access and full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry area with sink; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $178k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $178k).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Whittier Elem School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 234 students, 0% FRL); Brooks Middle School (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $178k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $173,145 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.08%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,196
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15641 Marshfield Ave 0.26mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+4%) 1mo $224,900 $112 73
15325 Lincoln Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,906 (-0%) 8mo $175,000 $92 71
142 W 156th Pl 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,900 (-1%) 0mo $249,000 $131 68
15529 Ashland Ave 0.09mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,100 (+10%) 8mo $80,000 $38 64
15033 Paulina St 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,800 (-6%) 3mo $145,000 $81 60
15730 Paulina St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,702 (-11%) 4mo $115,000 $68 58
15944 Paulina St 0.65mi 4/2.0 1,980 (+3%) 6mo $72,500 $37 57
15917 Page Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,900 (-1%) 8mo $150,000 $79 57
15212 Winchester Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,800 (-6%) 14mo $115,000 $64 49
15739 Myrtle Ave 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,704 (-11%) 12mo $150,000 $88 48
15122 Ashland Ave S 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,675 (-13%) 12mo $205,000 $122 48
15521 Turlington Ave 0.41mi 4/2.5 1,678 (-12%) 14mo $44,000 $26 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$113,368
Equity at exit
$160,807
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
7.43×
Total profit
$321,220
Equity at exit
$346,786

Cash invested: $49,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,878 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$936
Tax from tax record
$220 /mo · $2,635/yr
Insurance
$74
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,557
Max offer price $178,500
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $354 -5% $304 +0% $253 +5% $203 +10% $152
Rent -10% $105 -5% $179 +0% $253 +5% $327 +10% $402
Rate -1.0pp $343 -0.5pp $299 base $253 +0.5pp $207 +1.0pp $160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,625
Closing costs
$5,355
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $178,500 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $178,500 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $178,500 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $178,500 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $178,500 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $178,500 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $178,500 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $178,500 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $178,500 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $178,500 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $178,500 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $178,500 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $178,500 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $178,500 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $178,500 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $178,500 Active
  17. 2026-05-01
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  18. 2026-04-30
    historical
  19. 2026-04-20
    price
  20. 2026-04-09
    listed Active
  21. 2026-02-28
    historical
  22. 2025-10-10
    price
  23. 2025-10-02
    status Active
  24. 2025-09-27
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  25. 2025-09-01
    listed Active
  26. 2020-03-04
    historical
  27. 1983-03-31
    soldstatus $45,000
  28. 1980-01-08
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,635 · $220/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,344 · $279/mo
Expected delta
+$708/yr (+$59/mo · 26.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,530
− Mortgage interest
−$9,999
− Property taxes
−$2,635
− Insurance
−$892
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$5,193
Taxable income
$206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$49
After-tax cash flow
$2,989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Harvey

Score
67/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#11162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harvey, IL
City population
23,066
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+369.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $178,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-02 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-27 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-01 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-04 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1983-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1980-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,635 · +997.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…