602 Folger St · Duncombe, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.6/10.0
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and full of character, this unique bungalow-style home offers a warm and inviting feel with thoughtful updates throughout. Tall ceilings and abundant natural light create an open, airy atmosphere, while the home’s distinctive layout gives it a personality all its own. The updated kitchen is both stylish and functional, with convenient access to a spacious side deck overlooking the large fenced-in backyard—perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying summer evenings. The backyard also includes a 10x24 storage shed for tools and lawn equipment, along with a detached 24x26 two-car garage. The primary suite features a beautifully updated ensuite bathroom with double sink
Key facts
- Spacious side deck
- Updated kitchen
- 10x24 storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade living area about 1,098
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.23 acres (100 x 100)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (15.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (31.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#458 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Webster City Community School District (town): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #250 of 289 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
- Webster County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.83%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,428
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 Allen St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,013 (-8%) | 3mo | $87,000 | $86 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $42,895
- Equity at exit
- $99,123
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $130,386
- Equity at exit
- $190,294
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50532
- Home prices YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $957 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,068/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $-125
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,068 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,632 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$564/yr (+$47/mo · 52.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,482
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,068
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$919
- − Management
- −$919
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$4,029
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$967
- After-tax cash flow
- $-534/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930630
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,510
- Composite
- 50.65/100
- National rank
- #1831
- State rank
- #250 of 289 in IA
Livability — Duncombe
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #458
- US rank
- #10067
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duncombe, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 889
Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,895 people
- By 2030
- 35,334 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 34,073 · -5.1%
- By 2050
- 33,264 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 32,560 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 30,786 · -14.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 9% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Webster
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.2) · D 33.8% · R 65.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -31.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.2 2020: R+24.3 2016: R+21.8 2012: D+5.5 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Current HPI
- 169.236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $139,900 IAR
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,068 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…