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602 Folger St
F Composite 34.63
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$139,900

602 Folger St · Duncombe, IA 50532
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,098 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1915 10,019 sqft lot Est $94k · 48% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and full of character, this unique bungalow-style home offers a warm and inviting feel with thoughtful updates throughout. Tall ceilings and abundant natural light create an open, airy atmosphere, while the home’s distinctive layout gives it a personality all its own. The updated kitchen is both stylish and functional, with convenient access to a spacious side deck overlooking the large fenced-in backyard—perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying summer evenings. The backyard also includes a 10x24 storage shed for tools and lawn equipment, along with a detached 24x26 two-car garage. The primary suite features a beautifully updated ensuite bathroom with double sink

Key facts

  • Spacious side deck
  • Updated kitchen
  • 10x24 storage shed

Tags

BUNGALOW STYLE HOMEUPDATED KITCHENSPACIOUS SIDE DECKLARGE FENCED IN BACKYARD10X24 STORAGE SHEDDETACHED TWO CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade living area about 1,098
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.23 acres (100 x 100)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (15.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (31.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#458 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Webster City Community School District (town): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #250 of 289 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
  • Webster County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,683 (31.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.22%
Cash-on-cash
-3.83%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,428
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
620 Allen St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,013 (-8%) 3mo $87,000 $86 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$42,895
Equity at exit
$99,123
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
4.33×
Total profit
$130,386
Equity at exit
$190,294

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50532

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$957 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,068/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$-125

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,115
Max offer price $117,810
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $139,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,068 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,632 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$564/yr (+$47/mo · 52.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,482
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,068
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$919
− Management
−$919
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$4,029
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$967
After-tax cash flow
$-534/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster City Community School District
NCES district ID
1930630
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$45,510
Composite
50.65/100
National rank
#1831
State rank
#250 of 289 in IA

Livability — Duncombe

Score
68/100
State rank
#458
US rank
#10067

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duncombe, IA
Population (ZIP)
889

Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,895 people
By 2030
35,334 · -1.6%
By 2040
34,073 · -5.1%
By 2050
33,264 · -7.3%
By 2075
32,560 · -9.3%
By 2100
30,786 · -14.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 9% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Webster

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.2) · D 33.8% · R 65.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -31.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.2 2020: R+24.3 2016: R+21.8 2012: D+5.5 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.24%
Current HPI
169.236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $139,900 IAR

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,068 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…