533 Louis St · Orangeburg, SC
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Special find!! B1 zoning opens endless possibilities. Beauty salon, barber shop, business offices, Residential rental, Air BNB. Located in the city. Close to businesses, restaurnts, etc.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.2% in Orangeburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#324 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B; Watch: housing C-, schools F, crime F.
- Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.88%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,992
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571 Sunnyside St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (-0%) | 16mo | $89,500 | $85 | 73 |
| 1411 Park St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-2%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $141 | 65 |
| 284 Fairey St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-3%) | 18mo | $78,500 | $76 | 59 |
| 1555 Park St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (+5%) | 16mo | $119,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 1150 Fairfield St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (-3%) | 10mo | $168,000 | $164 | 50 |
| 784 Autumn St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,143 (+8%) | 14mo | $71,000 | $62 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $9,038
- Equity at exit
- $11,108
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $35,079
- Equity at exit
- $6,441
Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29115
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$391
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $184/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $331
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,625
- Closing costs
- $2,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 State Road S-38-244 Orangeburg, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $1,095 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1600 Columbia Rd Orangeburg, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $950 | $1.35 | 23d | 2 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-09-24soldstatus $74,500 Closed 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Special find!! B1 zoning opens endless possibilities. Beauty salon, barber shop, business offices, Residential rental, Air BNB. Located in the city. Close to businesses, restaurnts, etc.
-
2025-08-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Special find!! B1 zoning opens endless possibilities. Beauty salon, barber shop, business offices, Residential rental, Air BNB. Located in the city. Close to businesses, restaurnts, etc.
-
2025-08-25status Pending 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Special find!! B1 zoning opens endless possibilities. Beauty salon, barber shop, business offices, Residential rental, Air BNB. Located in the city. Close to businesses, restaurnts, etc.
-
2025-08-24$74,500 Active
-
2025-08-21$74,500 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Special find!! B1 zoning opens endless possibilities. Beauty salon, barber shop, business offices, Residential rental, Air BNB. Located in the city. Close to businesses, restaurnts, etc.
-
1983-09-01soldstatus $14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $184 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $425 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$240/yr (+$20/mo · 130.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,682
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,173
- − Property taxes
- −$184
- − Insurance
- −$1,170
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$2,167
- Taxable income
- $2,958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$710
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,266/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Orangeburg
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #324
- US rank
- #23942
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orangeburg, SC
- City population
- 15,135
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,179
Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,698 people
- By 2030
- 78,615 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 69,308 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 60,629 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 42,678 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 28,136 · -66.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.65%
- Current HPI
- 150.823
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+432.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-24 Sold (MLS) $74,500 Charleston Trident MLS
- 2025-08-25 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2025-08-25 Pending — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2025-08-24 Listed $74,500 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-08-21 Listed $74,500 Charleston Trident MLS
- 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2024): $184 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…