18565 SE 24th Ln · Silver Springs Shores East, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SITS ON QUIET LANE IN TRANQUIL OAK - TREED FOREST EDGE SUB. GREAT WALKING NEIGHBORHOOD WINDS BY HALF MOON PRAIRIE! SPOTLESS HOME WITH FRONT PORCH! CIRCULAR DRIVE W/ DOUBLE DRIVE GATES! MANY POSSIBILITIES W/ THIS HOME. GREAT NEIGHBORS! 2 MILES TO SHOPPING!
Key facts
- Chain-link fence
- Numerous upgrades
- Formal dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on approximately 0.43 acre (171 x 109 lot); Chain link fencing; Asphalt road access; Public records list living area as 1,152; No waterfront or water access; Zoned R4
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces south; Entry level: One
- Construction: Metal siding construction; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a single wide
- Exterior features: Cleared and oversized paved lot; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Living room and dining room combination; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $110k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.79%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,848
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18569 SE 22nd Ln | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (-15%) | 2mo | $29,000 | $29 | 60 |
| 18487 SE 18th Street Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,288 (+12%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $124 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $16,131
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $57,673
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32179
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $514/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $534
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-03-16price $110,000
-
2026-02-13$139,000 Active
-
2005-06-29soldstatus $48,000
-
2005-06-24soldstatus $48,000 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
SITS ON QUIET LANE IN TRANQUIL OAK - TREED FOREST EDGE SUB. GREAT WALKING NEIGHBORHOOD WINDS BY HALF MOON PRAIRIE! SPOTLESS HOME WITH FRONT PORCH! CIRCULAR DRIVE W/ DOUBLE DRIVE GATES! MANY POSSIBILITIES W/ THIS HOME. GREAT NEIGHBORS! 2 MILES TO SHOPPING!
-
2005-03-12$55,000 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
SITS ON QUIET LANE IN TRANQUIL OAK - TREED FOREST EDGE SUB. GREAT WALKING NEIGHBORHOOD WINDS BY HALF MOON PRAIRIE! SPOTLESS HOME WITH FRONT PORCH! CIRCULAR DRIVE W/ DOUBLE DRIVE GATES! MANY POSSIBILITIES W/ THIS HOME. GREAT NEIGHBORS! 2 MILES TO SHOPPING!
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1988-10-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $514 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $913 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$399/yr (+$33/mo · 77.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$514
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $4,876
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,170
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores East
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,318
- Household income
- $46,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 303.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.21%
- Current HPI
- 242.0408
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+340.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-24 Sold (MLS) $48,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-12 Listed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $514 · +70.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…