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22 Myrtle Ave
B+ Composite 75.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

22 Myrtle Ave · Auburn, NY 13021
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,716 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1880 10,001 sqft lot $73/sqft · 15% below area Est $147k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained and move-in ready, this charming home at 22 Myrtle Ave in Auburn offers the perfect blend of character, comfort, and convenience. Nestled on a quiet neighborhood street, this property features spacious living areas filled with natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The home offers generously sized bedrooms, an updated kitchen with ample cabinet and counter space, and well-appointed bathrooms designed for everyday comfort. Thoughtful updates throughout provide peace of mind while maintaining the home’s classic appeal. Outside, enjoy a private backyard perfect for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing, along w

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Updated kitchen
  • Off-street parking

Tags

PRIVATE BACKYARDUPDATED KITCHENOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing construction
  • Construction: Composite siding; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Porch; Enclosed porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Country-style kitchen; Appliances negotiable; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Radiant heating; Stove heating; Programmable thermostat
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Country kitchen; Programmable thermostat; Enclosed porch; Sunroom; Bonus room; Florida room; Family room; Entry foyer
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $125k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,153 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.34%
Cash-on-cash
21.58%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,072
List price
$124,900
Delta
-15.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17 Case Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,804 (+5%) 3mo $225,000 $125 76
183 Van Anden St 0.25mi 4/1.0 1,857 (+8%) 4mo $164,300 $88 67
4 Case Ave 0.26mi 4/1.5 1,485 (-14%) 8mo $189,900 $128 57
266 Seymour St 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,482 (-14%) 9mo $40,000 $27 55
251 Seymour St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,842 (+7%) 13mo $135,000 $73 54
126 N Division St 0.34mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,884 (+10%) 15mo $135,000 $72 48
124 Van Anden St 0.57mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,860 (+8%) 17mo $34,516 $19 40
21 Union St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,506 (-12%) 6mo $169,950 $113 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$19,863
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$69,045
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13021

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,911 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,087/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$629

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,115
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $700 -5% $664 +0% $629 +5% $594 +10% $558
Rent -10% $478 -5% $554 +0% $629 +5% $705 +10% $780
Rate -1.0pp $692 -0.5pp $661 base $629 +0.5pp $597 +1.0pp $564

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $124,900 Pending 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    historical Active Under Contract 1078-char remark
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $124,900 Active 1078-char remark
  18. 2013-07-03
    listed $69,000
  19. 2012-10-10
    listed $73,200
  20. 2002-06-27
    soldstatus $51,900
  21. 1991-11-06
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,087 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,099 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$12/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,936
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,087
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,835
− Management
−$1,835
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$5,925
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,422
After-tax cash flow
$6,126/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn City School District
NCES district ID
3603480
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,567
Composite
29.71/100
National rank
#6452
State rank
#558 of 590 in NY

Livability — Auburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, NY
County
Cayuga County · 37,247 people
City population
37,247
Metro
Auburn, NY
Population (ZIP)
37,247
Household income
$60,712
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1449.0

Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,820 people
By 2030
72,402 · -3.2%
By 2040
66,917 · -10.6%
By 2050
61,007 · -18.5%
By 2075
48,047 · -35.8%
By 2100
34,512 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

2024 margin
R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.53%
Current HPI
338.5537
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
  • 2013-07-03 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
  • 2012-10-10 Listed $73,200 CNYIS
  • 2002-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $51,900 Public Records
  • 1991-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,087 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…