5102 Lyndhurst Dr · Houston, TX 77033

$179,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,419 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market

Built 1955 7,148 sqft lot $126/sqft · 13% below area Est $206k · 13% under ↓ 30% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.6/30.0
• ARV discount +13.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• 1% rule +6.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Home is tenant occupied and ideal for an investor seeking tenant-occupied properties. Located in central Houston, 5102 Lyndhurst St offers a strong opportunity with convenient access to many of the city’s key destinations. Just minutes from Downtown Houston, the Texas Medical Center, and the University of Houston, the property is well-positioned for both homeowners and investors alike. With easy access to Highway 288, I-45, and Loop 610, commuting throughout Houston is simple and efficient. The surrounding area continues to experience steady growth and redevelopment, adding long-term value and potential to this centrally located property. This location offers a great combination of ac

Key facts

• 7,148 sq ft lot
• Built 1955
• Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot area approximately 7,150 square feet (0.1641 acre)
• Financial info: Lease not considered
• HOA & community: Not specified

Exterior

• Parking: Not specified
• Security: Not specified
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property; Built in 1955; Slab foundation
• Construction: Unknown construction materials; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: Not specified
• Bedrooms: Not specified
• Flooring: Not specified
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
• Interior features: 5 total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Not specified

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
• Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,012/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 11 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $173,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.12% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.53%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 7.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $206,399
• List price: $179,000
• Delta: -13.27%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5123 Willow Glen Dr	0.21mi	3/1.0	1,450 (+2%)	0mo	$99,497	$69	86
5103 Northridge Dr	0.09mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,370 (-4%)	3mo	$195,900	$143	78
7606 Darnay Dr	0.37mi	3/1.0	1,385 (-2%)	2mo	$129,000	$93	77
7609 Saint Lo Rd	0.52mi	3/2.0	1,350 (-5%)	1mo	$185,000	$137	63
8838 Delilah St	0.63mi	3/1.0	1,382 (-3%)	6mo	$119,999	$87	61
4821 Alvin St	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,307 (-8%)	4mo	$174,000	$133	58
5225 Longmeadow St	0.39mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,293 (-9%)	2mo	$138,000	$107	56
5707 Lyndhurst Dr	0.65mi	3/2.0	1,329 (-6%)	1mo	$200,000	$150	54
8126 Marcy Dr	0.33mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,240 (-13%)	1mo	$195,000	$157	54
4737 Alvin St	0.55mi	3/1.0	1,216 (-14%)	4mo	$95,000	$78	47
7338 Hurtgen Forest Rd	0.61mi	3/2.0	1,230 (-13%)	2mo	$220,000	$179	44
5639 Westover St	0.68mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,289 (-9%)	3mo	$230,000	$178	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -3.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.87×
• Total profit: $-6,479
• Equity at exit: $26,689

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.78×
• Total profit: $38,970
• Equity at exit: $15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77033

• Home prices YoY: -16.3%
• Rents YoY: 5.5%
• Active inventory: 338
• Price-to-rent: 7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,012 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$939
• Tax from tax record: −$304 /mo · $3,646/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$423
• Net cashflow: $273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,667

Max offer price $179,000

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $374	-5% $323	+0% $273	+5% $222	+10% $171
Rent	-10% $114	-5% $193	+0% $273	+5% $352	+10% $432
Rate	-1.0pp $363	-0.5pp $318	base $273	+0.5pp $226	+1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,750
• Closing costs: $5,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	996	$1,295	$1.30	44d	1	0.03mi
5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1300	$1,850	$1.42	25d	1	0.14mi
7710 Darnay Dr Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1635	$2,095	$1.28	44d	1	0.27mi
5314 Longmeadow St Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1646	$1,900	$1.15	44d	1	0.39mi
8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1304	$2,250	$1.73	25d	1	0.48mi
5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX	4.0	1.0	1320	$1,700	$1.29	15d	1	0.52mi
7358 Guadalcanal Rd Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1768	$2,195	$1.24	44d	1	0.58mi
4613 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1600	$2,300	$1.44	44d	1	0.60mi
4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX	2.0	1.5	1100	$3,200	$2.91	13d	1	0.61mi
4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1375	$3,500	$2.55	12d	1	0.61mi
4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1300	$3,500	$2.69	13d	1	0.61mi
4601 White Rock St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1700	$2,500	$1.47	44d	1	0.63mi
8521 Dosia St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1028	$1,665	$1.62	13d	1	0.68mi
5036 Mallow St Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1472	$2,050	$1.39	44d	1	0.70mi
5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX	4.0	1.0	1407	$1,495	$1.06	14d	1	0.73mi
4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1302	$1,800	$1.38	44d	1	0.76mi
4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1474	$1,775	$1.20	15d	1	0.79mi
5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1441	$1,750	$1.21	0d	1	0.81mi
4723 Mallow St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1472	$1,850	$1.26	6d	1	0.81mi
4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1680	$3,500	$2.08	25d	1	0.81mi
4942 Bataan Rd Unit 77033 Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1350	$1,800	$1.33	44d	1	0.85mi
5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1480	$1,790	$1.21	44d	1	0.87mi
4406 Sterling St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1840	$1,999	$1.09	17d	1	0.89mi
4538 Clover St Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1768	$1,595	$0.90	44d	1	0.97mi
5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1490	$2,250	$1.51	44d	1	1.00mi
4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1300	$2,100	$1.62	44d	1	1.00mi
5317 Chennault Rd Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1608	$1,999	$1.24	44d	1	1.02mi
4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1165	$1,650	$1.42	44d	1	1.03mi
5012 Higgins St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1611	$1,650	$1.02	25d	1	1.10mi
4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1765	$2,150	$1.22	13d	1	1.14mi
5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1371	$1,575	$1.15	44d	1	1.15mi
4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1367	$5,253	$3.84	0d	1	1.15mi
6928 Paris St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,900	$1.49	0d	1	1.19mi
6926 Paris St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,900	$1.49	0d	1	1.20mi
4705 Idaho St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1664	$2,500	$1.50	17d	1	1.21mi
7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1869	$2,025	$1.08	21d	1	1.24mi
7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1501	$2,025	$1.35	21d	1	1.24mi
9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX	4.0	2.5	1404	$1,500	$1.07	44d	1	1.25mi
5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	880	$1,300	$1.48	44d	1	1.25mi
3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1797	$2,945	$1.64	3d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 38 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $179,000 Active 41 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $179,000 Active 40 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $179,000 Active 39 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $179,000 Active 38 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $179,000 Active 36 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $179,000 Active 32 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $179,000 Active 30 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $179,000 Active 27 DOM
10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 24 DOM
11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 23 DOM
12. 2026-05-08
    listed $189,000 Active 825-char remark
13. 2026-03-27
    historical
14. 2026-03-03
    listed $205,000 Active
15. 2026-03-03
    historical
16. 2026-01-28
    price $205,000
17. 2026-01-15
    listed $185,000 Active
18. 2026-01-14
    historical
19. 2025-11-20
    price $185,000
20. 2025-06-09
    listed $199,999 Active
21. 2024-04-23
    historical $1,895
22. 2024-04-23
    historical
23. 2024-04-18
    listed $1,895
24. 2024-04-18
    historical $1,995
25. 2024-04-09
    price $175,000
26. 2024-03-27
    status Active
27. 2024-03-22
    status Option Pending
28. 2024-03-06
    listed $185,000 Active
29. 2024-02-13
    listed $1,995
30. 2024-02-13
    historical $2,050
31. 2024-01-31
    historical
32. 2024-01-19
    historical $2,050
33. 2024-01-19
    listed $2,050
34. 2024-01-03
    listed $2,050
35. 2023-11-29
    price $239,000
36. 2023-11-27
    listed $255,000 Active
37. 2006-02-14
    soldstatus
38. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,646 · $304/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,646 · $304/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,148
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,027
• − Property taxes: −$3,646
• − Insurance: −$895
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,932
• − Management: −$1,932
• − Depreciation: −$5,207
• Taxable income: $510
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$122
• After-tax cash flow: $3,150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823640
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $46,054
• Composite: 26.63/100
• National rank: #7173
• State rank: #593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 29,154
• Household income: $38,071
• Rent vs Own: 41.0% rent · 59.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (55%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 35%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada
• Languages at home: 61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -41.49%
• Current HPI: 212.6472
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.45%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-29.8% since first listed

28 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Price Changed $179,000 HARMLS
• 2026-05-08 Listed $189,000 HARMLS
• 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-03-03 Listed $205,000 HARMLS
• 2026-01-28 Price Changed $205,000 HARMLS
• 2026-01-15 Listed $185,000 HARMLS
• 2026-01-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-11-20 Price Changed $185,000 HARMLS
• 2025-06-09 Listed $199,999 HARMLS
• 2024-04-23 Rental Removed $1,895 HARMLS
• 2024-04-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-04-18 Listed for Rent $1,895 HARMLS
• 2024-04-18 Rental Removed $1,995 HARMLS
• 2024-04-09 Price Changed $175,000 HARMLS
• 2024-03-27 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2024-03-22 Pending — HARMLS
• 2024-03-06 Listed $185,000 HARMLS
• 2024-02-13 Listed for Rent $1,995 HARMLS
• 2024-02-13 Rental Removed $2,050 HARMLS
• 2024-01-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
• 2024-01-19 Rental Removed $2,050 HARMLS
• 2024-01-19 Listed for Rent $2,050 HARMLS
• 2024-01-03 Listed for Rent $2,050 HARMLS
• 2023-11-29 Price Changed $239,000 NTREIS
• 2023-11-27 Listed $255,000 NTREIS
• 2006-02-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,646 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.