1231 Maple Ave · Owensboro, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss out on this beautiful 5 bedroom, 2 bath home in the highly desirable health park neighborhood. This home features hardwood flooring, and new carpet. The main floor has a spacious dining room, master suite, and 2 bedrooms. Upstairs you will find 2 additional spacious bedrooms and an office. Loosing power will never be an issue because this house is equipped with a whole home generator! This home also boost 2 long driveways on both sides of the property. Don't miss out on this great house. Home is being sold "As Is" Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage with concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($130/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Owensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#148 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Owensboro Independent (urban): math 27% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #100 of 165 in KY (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sutton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 41%, grade F, #229 of 676 statewide, top 34%, 561 students, 46% FRL); Owensboro Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 217 statewide, top 71%, 807 students, 74% FRL); Owensboro High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #74 of 254 statewide, top 29%, 1,334 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 301 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $178k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.22%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,412
- List price
- $214,900
- Delta
- -10.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1212 Hill Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,870 (-8%) | 5mo | $234,900 | $126 | 74 |
| 817 Wesleyan Park Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,876 (-7%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $128 | 71 |
| 2212 Locust St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 2,074 (+3%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $120 | 67 |
| 1728 Saint Marys Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,827 (-10%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $120 | 66 |
| 2548 Farrier Pl | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 2,222 (+10%) | 4mo | $293,500 | $132 | 60 |
| 521 Hill Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,889 (-7%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $97 | 57 |
| 2013 Wimbledon Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,791 (-11%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $207 | 53 |
| 1120 College Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,210 (+9%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $145 | 49 |
| 1833 Cecelia Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,733 (-14%) | 1mo | $247,000 | $143 | 49 |
| 1927 Freeman Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (-14%) | 1mo | $269,900 | $156 | 47 |
| 1512 Sioux Pl | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-11%) | 5mo | $222,000 | $123 | 47 |
| 2524 S Cherokee Dr | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,728 (-14%) | 5mo | $187,000 | $108 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-34,242
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-29,377
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42301
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,615 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $580/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $133 | -5% $72 | +0% $11 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-117 | -5% $-53 | +0% $11 | +5% $75 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $119 | -0.5pp $66 | base $11 | +0.5pp $-45 | +1.0pp $-101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2035 Ottawa Dr Owensboro, KY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1407 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-13status $214,900 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $214,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $214,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $214,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $214,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $219,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $219,900 1114-char remark
-
2026-05-04price $229,900 1114-char remark
-
2026-04-29$239,900 Active 1114-char remark
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-07price $239,900
-
2026-03-16$249,900 Active
-
2022-05-18soldstatus $178,000
-
2022-05-13soldstatus $178,000
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Don't miss out on this beautiful 5 bedroom, 2 bath home in the highly desirable health park neighborhood. This home features hardwood flooring, and new carpet. The main floor has a spacious dining room, master suite, and 2 bedrooms. Upstairs you will find 2 additional spacious bedrooms and an office. Loosing power will never be an issue because this house is equipped with a whole home generator! This home also boost 2 long driveways on both sides of the property. Don't miss out on this great house. Home is being sold "As Is" Schedule your showing today.
-
2022-03-25$188,000
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Don't miss out on this beautiful 5 bedroom, 2 bath home in the highly desirable health park neighborhood. This home features hardwood flooring, and new carpet. The main floor has a spacious dining room, master suite, and 2 bedrooms. Upstairs you will find 2 additional spacious bedrooms and an office. Loosing power will never be an issue because this house is equipped with a whole home generator! This home also boost 2 long driveways on both sides of the property. Don't miss out on this great house. Home is being sold "As Is" Schedule your showing today.
-
2019-02-28soldstatus $120,000
-
2019-02-28soldstatus $120,000
-
2019-01-02$129,000
-
2018-10-26$136,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $580 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,848 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,268/yr (+$106/mo · 218.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$580
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable loss
- −$3,667
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$880
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,010/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Owensboro Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104590
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,020
- Composite
- 25.79/100
- National rank
- #7364
- State rank
- #100 of 165 in KY
Livability — Owensboro
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #7153
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Owensboro, KY
- County
- Daviess County · 87,564 people
- City population
- 87,564
- Metro
- Owensboro, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,445
- Household income
- $66,885
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1228.0
Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,810 people
- By 2030
- 105,722 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 108,731 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 110,295 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 113,056 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 106,257 · +2.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Daviess
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.96%
- Current HPI
- 238.2395
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Owensboro, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+57.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — GORAMLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $214,900 GORAMLS
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $219,900 GORAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $229,900 GORAMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $239,900 GORAMLS
- 2026-04-14 Pending — GORAMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $239,900 GORAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $249,900 GORAMLS
- 2022-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-13 Sold (MLS) $178,000 GORAMLS
- 2022-03-25 Listed $188,000 GORAMLS
- 2019-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $120,000 GORAMLS
- 2019-01-02 Listed $129,000 GORAMLS
- 2018-10-26 Listed $136,900 GORAMLS
Property tax history
-6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $580 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…