451 E French Ave · Orange City, FL 32763

$5,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1996

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Beauitiful and bright, this home is clean, clean, clean. The lot is large enough for a nice summer cookout with plenty of friends. Inside, a nice open living area with an eat in kitchen, and a vaulted ceiling. Washer & dryer sold as-is.

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Built 1996
• Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Home design: Residential property; 1 story
• Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.3 acres; Zoned residential

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Single-story layout

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#406 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
• Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 40.58% ✓
• Cap rate: 382.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 1344.33%
• DSCR: 60.81
• GRM: 0.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 75.10×
• Total profit: $103,744
• Equity at exit: $746

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 171.70×
• Total profit: $238,982
• Equity at exit: $432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32763

• Rents YoY: 5.2%
• Active inventory: 243
• Price-to-rent: 0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,029 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$26
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$6 /mo · $75/yr
• Insurance: −$2
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$426
• Net cashflow: $1,568

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44

Max offer price $5,000

Occupancy floor 18%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,572	-5% $1,570	+0% $1,568	+5% $1,567	+10% $1,565
Rent	-10% $1,408	-5% $1,488	+0% $1,568	+5% $1,649	+10% $1,729
Rate	-1.0pp $1,571	-0.5pp $1,570	base $1,568	+0.5pp $1,567	+1.0pp $1,566

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $1,250
• Closing costs: $150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
221 Edwards Ave Orange City, FL	4.0	2.0	1272	$1,880	$1.48	15d	1	0.55mi
505 Patlin Ave Orange City, FL	2.0	1.5	1022	$1,600	$1.57	24d	1	0.79mi
345 E Ohio Ave #345 Orange City, FL	2.0	2.0	1006	$1,697	$1.69	24d	1	0.92mi
550 E Minnesota Ave Orange City, FL	2.0	1.0	900	$2,850	$3.17	24d	1	1.13mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-05-21
   listed $5,000 Active
2. 2025-05-21
   historical
3. 2025-05-16
   price $120,000
4. 2025-05-16
   listed $90,000 New
5. 2005-09-14
   soldstatus $165,000
6. 2005-08-26
   soldstatus $165,000 242-char remark

   Show marketing remark (242 chars)

   Beauitiful and bright, this home is clean, clean, clean. The lot is large enough for a nice summer cookout with plenty of friends. Inside, a nice open living area with an eat in kitchen, and a vaulted ceiling. Washer & dryer sold as-is.

7. 2005-07-18
   historical 242-char remark

   Show marketing remark (242 chars)

   Beauitiful and bright, this home is clean, clean, clean. The lot is large enough for a nice summer cookout with plenty of friends. Inside, a nice open living area with an eat in kitchen, and a vaulted ceiling. Washer & dryer sold as-is.

8. 2005-07-06
   listed $165,000 242-char remark

   Show marketing remark (242 chars)

   Beauitiful and bright, this home is clean, clean, clean. The lot is large enough for a nice summer cookout with plenty of friends. Inside, a nice open living area with an eat in kitchen, and a vaulted ceiling. Washer & dryer sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,348
• − Mortgage interest: −$280
• − Property taxes: −$75
• − Insurance: −$25
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,948
• − Management: −$1,948
• − Depreciation: −$145
• Taxable income: $19,927
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,783
• After-tax cash flow: $14,038/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Volusia
• NCES district ID: 1201920
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,946
• Composite: 39.2/100
• National rank: #4019
• State rank: #47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Orange City

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #406
• US rank: #7175

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Orange City, FL
• County: Volusia County · 556,871 people
• City population: 24,951
• Metro: Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 24,951
• Household income: $66,716
• Rent vs Own: 35.3% rent · 64.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1544.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 572,749 people
• By 2030: 598,695 · +4.5%
• By 2040: 644,880 · +12.6%
• By 2050: 681,451 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 759,957 · +32.7%
• By 2100: 778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 12%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -225.13%
• Current HPI: 335.8393
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.22%
• Metro: Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-97.0% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
• 2025-05-21 Listing Removed — GAMLS
• 2025-05-16 Price Changed $120,000 GAMLS
• 2025-05-16 Listed $90,000 GAMLS
• 2005-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
• 2005-08-26 Sold (MLS) $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-07-18 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-07-06 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,111 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.