215 Garfield Ave NW · Grand Rapids, MI
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $400 – $4,352
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed 1 bath home. Enclosed porch and deck. Home is being sold as-is. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval. Offers will be reviewed February 19 at 8:00 am.
Key facts
- 4,925 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.5% in Grand Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 77% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $198/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.32%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,918
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $39,150
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49504
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,999 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$198 /mo · $2,376/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $456
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $538 | -5% $497 | +0% $456 | +5% $415 | +10% $374 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $298 | -5% $377 | +0% $456 | +5% $535 | +10% $614 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $529 | -0.5pp $493 | base $456 | +0.5pp $418 | +1.0pp $380 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 Valley Ave NW Unit 1346766P Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $2,566 | $2.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 921 Watson St SW Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1047 Park St SW Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 18 Indiana Ave SW Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 18 Indiana Ave SW Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 200 Gold Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,549 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 601 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit 601-403 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 745 Stocking Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $1,541 | $1.75 | 15d | 3 | 0.76mi |
| 608 Bridge St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1019 Widdicomb Ave NW Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1004 Jennette Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 700 Broadway Ave NW Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,795 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 900 Leonard St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $2,850 | $3.96 | 3d | 10 | 1.22mi |
| 1044 Muskegon Ave NW Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 470 Market Ave SW Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 622 | $2,090 | $3.36 | 3d | 17 | 1.25mi |
| 1046 Courtney St NW Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $2,497 | $2.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 201 Michigan St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $2,800 | $2.85 | 44d | 10 | 1.30mi |
| 120 Monroe Center St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,695 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 601 Bond Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 853 | $2,565 | $3.01 | 44d | 10 | 1.40mi |
| 734 Crosby St NW Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1057 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 927 Arianna St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 816 Kensington Ave SW Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-02-19status Pending 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home. Enclosed porch and deck. Home is being sold as-is. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval. Offers will be reviewed February 19 at 8:00 am.
-
2026-02-19status Pending 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home. Enclosed porch and deck. Home is being sold as-is. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval. Offers will be reviewed February 19 at 8:00 am.
-
2026-02-19status Pending
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home. Enclosed porch and deck. Home is being sold as-is. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval. Offers will be reviewed February 19 at 8:00 am.
-
2026-02-05$145,000 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home. Enclosed porch and deck. Home is being sold as-is. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval. Offers will be reviewed February 19 at 8:00 am.
-
2026-02-05$145,000 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home. Enclosed porch and deck. Home is being sold as-is. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval. Offers will be reviewed February 19 at 8:00 am.
-
2026-02-05$145,000 Active
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
3 bed 1 bath home. Enclosed porch and deck. Home is being sold as-is. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval. Offers will be reviewed February 19 at 8:00 am.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,256 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,745 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$488/yr (+$41/mo · 38.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone D · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,989
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,256
- − Insurance
- −$3,101
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,919
- − Management
- −$1,919
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $3,453
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$829
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,641/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Rapids Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2616440
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,612
- Composite
- 18.62/100
- National rank
- #8899
- State rank
- #451 of 540 in MI
Livability — Grand Rapids
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #939
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Rapids, MI
- County
- Kent County · 533,805 people
- City population
- 181,325
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,036
- Household income
- $70,119
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2132.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 712,484 people
- By 2030
- 748,618 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 814,777 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 868,556 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 966,487 · +35.7%
- By 2100
- 967,975 · +35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Iranian 10% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.76%
- Current HPI
- 313.231
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.64%
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-19 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-19 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-05 Listed $145,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,256 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…