30190 S Us Highway 63 · Edgar Springs, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The perfect home for your investment portfolio or a family wanting to turn it into their own! This 4 bedroom/ 2.5 bath home is nestled on 2 acres with a concrete slab ready to put a shop on. Inside, you have 2,100 square feet of living space. Downstairs has a half bath and tons of space for a gym or a mancave. This home is ready for your own Personal touch of flooring, paint, and personality. Ask your lender about FHA, USDA, conventional renovation loans. Seller is willing to give a $7,000 credit to get the ball rolling on updates. This home has central heat and AC capabilities but currently has no heat or AC. if you're looking for a profitable flip this is it!
Key facts
- Space for a gym
- Concrete slab
- 2 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on about 2.08 acres
- Financial info: No investor, income, or expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: No parking information provided
- Security: No security information provided
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 220-volt electric service available; Electricity available
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One and one-half levels; Approximately 2,100 above-grade finished area
- Construction: Unknown construction materials
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level; 1 half bathroom on the lower level
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning with ceiling fans; electric
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Full unfinished walk-out basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Phelps County R-III (rural): math 55% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #42 of 535 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Phelps Co. Elem. (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 157 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 162 units permitted in Phelps County in 2024 (83 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Phelps County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.22%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $40,263
- Equity at exit
- $67,731
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $110,638
- Equity at exit
- $116,717
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65462
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,189 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $707/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $236 | +0% $202 | +5% $168 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $108 | -5% $155 | +0% $202 | +5% $249 | +10% $296 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $262 | -0.5pp $233 | base $202 | +0.5pp $171 | +1.0pp $139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-07$119,900 Active
-
2026-04-07historical $119,900
-
2025-07-08$120,000 Active
-
2025-02-04price $99,900
-
2025-01-21price $119,800
-
2025-01-04$119,900 Active
-
2025-01-04historical
-
2016-07-01soldstatus Closed
-
2016-06-22status Pending
-
2016-04-30historical
-
2016-03-24price $84,900
-
2016-01-28price $89,900
-
2015-08-26$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $707 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,163 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$456/yr (+$38/mo · 64.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$707
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,142
- − Management
- −$1,142
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $479
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$115
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phelps County R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2925080
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,852
- Composite
- 51.99/100
- National rank
- #3531
- State rank
- #42 of 535 in MO
Livability — Edgar Springs
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15233
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,295
Population outlook (Phelps County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,188 people
- By 2030
- 43,524 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 41,211 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 38,977 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 33,846 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 27,828 · -37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Phelps
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.9) · D 27.9% · R 70.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.2pp · 2024: -42.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+22.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Current HPI
- 167.4148
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+20.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-08 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-04 Price Changed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-21 Price Changed $119,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-04 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-04 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-01 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-22 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-30 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-24 Price Changed $84,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-28 Price Changed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-26 Listed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $707 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…