1712 Garrard St · Covington, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.
Key facts
- Piece of history
- Convenient location
- 2,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1925
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Patio; Porch; Wood window frames
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Kitchen (15.11 x 15.7)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (12.5 x 15.1); Bedroom 2 (15.11 x 14.9)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath (6.8 x 5.7); Bathroom 2 (4.8 x 7.1)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: High ceilings; Entry (15 x 9.9); Living room (15.11 x 15.3); Dining room (12.5 x 16.1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sixth District Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 446 students, 84% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $150k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.61%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 E 16th St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,454 (-4%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $62 | 86 |
| 218 Pleasant St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,476 (-3%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $54 | 75 |
| 1942 Eastern Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,418 (-7%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $141 | 68 |
| 2009 Russell St | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 | 1,602 (+5%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $91 | 62 |
| 515 Delmar Pl | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,696 (+12%) | 2mo | $195,500 | $115 | 62 |
| 113 Trevor St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 (-6%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $144 | 59 |
| 202 W 18th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,436 (-6%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $153 | 59 |
| 2018 Pearl St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,312 (-14%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $53 | 58 |
| 516 W 12th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,434 (-6%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $181 | 51 |
| 316 W 21st St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,376 (-10%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $149 | 51 |
| 1718 Woodburn Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,680 (+10%) | 3mo | $244,000 | $145 | 46 |
| 507 Highland Pike | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,696 (+12%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $50 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $16,991
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $80,801
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41014
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,963 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,452/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $581
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1927 Scott St Apt 1 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2030 Mackoy St Covington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1598 | $1,779 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1025 Scott St Unit 2 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1205 Lee St Unit 3 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2307 Center St Covington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,950 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 634 Greenup St Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 7d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 508 Greenup St Unit 508-02 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 809 Isabella St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1420 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 2d | 14 | 1.13mi |
| 203 W 8th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 103 E 3rd St Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1291 | $3,250 | $2.52 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 515 Main St Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $2,215 | $2.37 | 2d | 8 | 1.30mi |
| 210 W 5th St Newport, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,800 | $2.13 | 3d | 15 | 1.31mi |
| 1431 Dixie Hwy Park Hills, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $2,553 | $2.77 | 2d | 10 | 1.34mi |
| 50 W Rivercenter Blvd Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1273 | $3,640 | $2.86 | 2d | 9 | 1.42mi |
| 1044 Washington Ave #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-15status Pending
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2026-05-01price $149,900
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2026-03-26$154,900 Active
-
2021-01-08soldstatus $95,000
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2020-12-17soldstatus $95,000 Closed 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.
-
2020-12-04status Pending 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.
-
2020-11-09price $114,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.
-
2020-10-29$119,900 Active 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.
-
2020-09-25historical
-
2020-09-23$104,900 Active
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2019-06-27soldstatus $32,000
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2019-05-30$36,000
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2019-05-02historical
-
2019-04-24$45,999
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2018-09-05historical
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2018-05-31$62,000
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2012-05-25historical
-
2012-03-12$19,900
-
2010-07-31historical
-
2009-06-30$69,000
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2007-09-28soldstatus $26,000
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2007-04-13$25,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,452
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,884
- − Management
- −$1,884
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $4,824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101350
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,681
- Composite
- 15.04/100
- National rank
- #9353
- State rank
- #162 of 165 in KY
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covington, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 34,373
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,392
- Household income
- $61,382
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 511.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.77%
- Current HPI
- 233.8216
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.13%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+478.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $149,900 NKMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $154,900 NKMLS
- 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-17 Sold (MLS) $95,000 NKMLS
- 2020-12-04 Pending — NKMLS
- 2020-11-09 Price Changed $114,900 NKMLS
- 2020-10-29 Listed $119,900 NKMLS
- 2020-09-25 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2020-09-23 Listed $104,900 NKMLS
- 2019-06-27 Sold (MLS) $32,000 NKMLS
- 2019-05-30 Listed $36,000 NKMLS
- 2019-05-02 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2019-04-24 Listed $45,999 NKMLS
- 2018-09-05 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2018-05-31 Listed $62,000 NKMLS
- 2012-05-25 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2012-03-12 Listed $19,900 NKMLS
- 2010-07-31 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2009-06-30 Listed $69,000 NKMLS
- 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) $26,000 NKMLS
- 2007-04-13 Listed $25,900 NKMLS
Property tax history
+13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,452 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…