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1712 Garrard St
B+ Composite 75.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

1712 Garrard St · Covington, KY 41014
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1925 2,500 sqft lot Est $214k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.

Key facts

  • Piece of history
  • Convenient location
  • 2,500 sq ft lot

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONPIECE OF HISTORY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1925
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Patio; Porch; Wood window frames

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Kitchen (15.11 x 15.7)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (12.5 x 15.1); Bedroom 2 (15.11 x 14.9)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath (6.8 x 5.7); Bathroom 2 (4.8 x 7.1)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Entry (15 x 9.9); Living room (15.11 x 15.3); Dining room (12.5 x 16.1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
  • Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sixth District Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 446 students, 84% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $150k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.94%
Cash-on-cash
16.61%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
329 E 16th St 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,454 (-4%) 2mo $90,000 $62 86
218 Pleasant St 0.42mi 2/2.0 1,476 (-3%) 1mo $80,000 $54 75
1942 Eastern Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,418 (-7%) 0mo $200,000 $141 68
2009 Russell St 0.52mi 2/1.5 1,602 (+5%) 3mo $145,000 $91 62
515 Delmar Pl 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,696 (+12%) 2mo $195,500 $115 62
113 Trevor St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,425 (-6%) 3mo $205,000 $144 59
202 W 18th St 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,436 (-6%) 4mo $219,000 $153 59
2018 Pearl St 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,312 (-14%) 4mo $70,000 $53 58
516 W 12th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,434 (-6%) 2mo $260,000 $181 51
316 W 21st St 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,376 (-10%) 1mo $205,000 $149 51
1718 Woodburn Ave 0.58mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,680 (+10%) 3mo $244,000 $145 46
507 Highland Pike 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,696 (+12%) 4mo $85,000 $50 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$16,991
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$80,801
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41014

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,452/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$581

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,227
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1927 Scott St Apt 1 Covington, KY 3.0 2.0 1865 $2,100 $1.13 20d 1 0.29mi
2030 Mackoy St Covington, KY 3.0 1.5 1598 $1,779 $1.11 4d 1 0.31mi
1025 Scott St Unit 2 Covington, KY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 3d 1 0.70mi
1205 Lee St Unit 3 Covington, KY 3.0 2.5 1850 $3,000 $1.62 24d 1 0.81mi
2307 Center St Covington, KY 3.0 1.5 1216 $1,950 $1.60 7d 1 0.84mi
634 Greenup St Covington, KY 1.0 1.5 1050 $1,595 $1.52 7d 1 0.95mi
508 Greenup St Unit 508-02 Covington, KY 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,800 $1.48 2d 1 1.08mi
809 Isabella St Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1519 $2,200 $1.45 44d 1 1.09mi
1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1420 $1,895 $1.33 2d 14 1.13mi
203 W 8th St Newport, KY 2.0 1.5 1456 $2,300 $1.58 21d 1 1.16mi
103 E 3rd St Covington, KY 2.0 2.5 1291 $3,250 $2.52 2d 1 1.26mi
515 Main St Covington, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 934 $2,215 $2.37 2d 8 1.30mi
210 W 5th St Newport, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,800 $2.13 3d 15 1.31mi
1431 Dixie Hwy Park Hills, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 920 $2,553 $2.77 2d 10 1.34mi
50 W Rivercenter Blvd Covington, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1273 $3,640 $2.86 2d 9 1.42mi
1044 Washington Ave #2 Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,800 $1.44 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  9. 2026-05-01
    price $149,900
  10. 2026-03-26
    listed $154,900 Active
  11. 2021-01-08
    soldstatus $95,000
  12. 2020-12-17
    soldstatus $95,000 Closed 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.

  13. 2020-12-04
    status Pending 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.

  14. 2020-11-09
    price $114,900 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.

  15. 2020-10-29
    listed $119,900 Active 92-char remark
    Show marketing remark (92 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom home w/ off street parking, 2 full bathrooms! Call today for a showing.

  16. 2020-09-25
    historical
  17. 2020-09-23
    listed $104,900 Active
  18. 2019-06-27
    soldstatus $32,000
  19. 2019-05-30
    listed $36,000
  20. 2019-05-02
    historical
  21. 2019-04-24
    listed $45,999
  22. 2018-09-05
    historical
  23. 2018-05-31
    listed $62,000
  24. 2012-05-25
    historical
  25. 2012-03-12
    listed $19,900
  26. 2010-07-31
    historical
  27. 2009-06-30
    listed $69,000
  28. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus $26,000
  29. 2007-04-13
    listed $25,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,452 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,452 · $121/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,550
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,452
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,884
− Management
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$4,824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,158
After-tax cash flow
$5,813/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Covington Independent
NCES district ID
2101350
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$33,681
Composite
15.04/100
National rank
#9353
State rank
#162 of 165 in KY

Livability — Covington

Score
86/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#376

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Covington, KY
County
Kenton County · 142,881 people
City population
34,373
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
7,392
Household income
$61,382
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
511.0

Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,205 people
By 2030
177,897 · +2.1%
By 2040
182,671 · +4.9%
By 2050
183,543 · +5.4%
By 2075
178,977 · +2.7%
By 2100
159,920 · -8.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Kenton

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.77%
Current HPI
233.8216
Rent YoY
▲ 5.13%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+478.8% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending NKMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $149,900 NKMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $154,900 NKMLS
  • 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-17 Sold (MLS) $95,000 NKMLS
  • 2020-12-04 Pending NKMLS
  • 2020-11-09 Price Changed $114,900 NKMLS
  • 2020-10-29 Listed $119,900 NKMLS
  • 2020-09-25 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2020-09-23 Listed $104,900 NKMLS
  • 2019-06-27 Sold (MLS) $32,000 NKMLS
  • 2019-05-30 Listed $36,000 NKMLS
  • 2019-05-02 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2019-04-24 Listed $45,999 NKMLS
  • 2018-09-05 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2018-05-31 Listed $62,000 NKMLS
  • 2012-05-25 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2012-03-12 Listed $19,900 NKMLS
  • 2010-07-31 Listing Removed NKMLS
  • 2009-06-30 Listed $69,000 NKMLS
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) $26,000 NKMLS
  • 2007-04-13 Listed $25,900 NKMLS

Property tax history

+13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,452 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…