433 Butterfield · Cathedral City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This lovely home is very clean, has new pull up down cordless blinds, a new water heater. A new shower in the primary bath, a replaced Front Porch Carpet, A newer Refrigerator. Evaporative Cooler, and a new Heating and A/C Heat Pump. Great as a Retirement home or for Downsizing. The rent will be approximately $800.00 monthly which includes the Indian Lease Fee. This is a 55 and over Community.
Key facts
- New water heater
- Evaporative cooler
- Newer refrigerator
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Disclosures include CC&R, pet restrictions, and HOA; Listing terms: Conventional; possession at close of escrow; no short-term rentals; will not consider lease
- Financial info: Land is lease (land lease amount noted separately); Space rent includes trash, sewer, and access to heated community pool and spa
- HOA & community: Senior community with gated entry; Community features include pickleball courts; Community has a heated pool and tile spa
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Two carport spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Security: Gated community; Exterior security lights
- Utilities: Water available in street; Sewer in, connected and paid; PUD: No
- Home design: Single-story (one level); Double-wide manufactured home; Aluminum siding; Model: Key West; Width 12', length 54'; Mobile home will remain; Located in a senior park (Royal Palms); manager approval required
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl skirting; Year of manufacture 01/01/1969
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Exterior security lights; Gated community; Front door faces south; Detached property
Interior
- Kitchen: Formica counters; Dishwasher; Electric range/oven/cooktop; Microwave; Exhaust fan; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom; Main floor master bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: Two 3/4 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with forced air; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Ground-level entry with steps; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (dryer listed); Laundry in closet; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities D-.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 525 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $88k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.85%
- DSCR
- 4.11
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,309
- List price
- $88,000
- Delta
- 1.96%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248 Standing Bear | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $95 | 82 |
| 32 Coble Dr | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 1,152 (-4%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $135 | 82 |
| 264 Wolf | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+4%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $59 | 79 |
| 355 Trading Post | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 6mo | $82,500 | $72 | 77 |
| 392 Standing Bear | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (+14%) | 2mo | $113,000 | $83 | 70 |
| 214 Settles | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 5mo | $132,500 | $115 | 69 |
| 493 Prairie | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 5mo | $189,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 213 Settles Dr | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (-5%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $127 | 65 |
| 76 Dunes Cir | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 6mo | $89,000 | $66 | 64 |
| 293 Coble Dr | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (+7%) | 6mo | $132,500 | $104 | 63 |
| 299 Butterfield | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+14%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $114 | 58 |
| 3 Sand Crk | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-13%) | 5mo | $73,000 | $70 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $77,699
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- 73.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.62×
- Total profit
- $187,804
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92234
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 525
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,585 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$110 /mo · $1,320/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$543
- Net cashflow
- $1,434
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68615 Paseo Soria Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $3,500 | $2.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,960 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,960 | $2.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 34750 Marcia Rd Unit 02 Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 69180 Victoria Dr #8 Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 69200 Nilda Dr Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,495 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit H64 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 69155 Dinah Shore Dr Apt 20 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,050 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 69155 Dinah Shore Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B10 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,600 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $2,300 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 35615 Paseo Circulo E Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 68153 Lakeland Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,500 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,790 | $2.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,790 | $2.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 33255 Date Palm Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,795 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 33892 Sky Blue Water Trl Cathedral City, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,800 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 69603 Heather Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,300 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 69646 Antonia Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,450 | $2.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 34361 Denise Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 34073 Emily Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 34073 Emily Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 152 Estrada Way #152 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 34071 Denise Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,599 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 36040 Avenida de las Montanas Unit E Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $3,200 | $2.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 33387 Shifting Sands Trl Unit 2 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,999 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 32585 Cielo Vista Rd Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $2,000 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 33030 Shifting Sands Trl Apt 4 Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,599 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 32425 Rancho Vista Dr Unit A Cathedral City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,950 | $2.59 | 7d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2010 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit 8 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 993 | $1,895 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 26 Pueblo Vista Dr Palm Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $3,200 | $2.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 36947 Melrose Dr Unit D Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 36947 Melrose Dr Unit 4 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 36947 Melrose Dr Unit 4 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 36957 Melrose Dr Unit C Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 36957 Melrose Dr Unit 7 Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $88,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-26$88,000 Active 393-char remark
-
2024-08-12historical
-
2024-07-06price $116,500
-
2024-06-20status Active
-
2024-06-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-05-13price $121,500
-
2024-02-11$128,900 Active
-
2020-12-27Active
-
2009-02-06historical
-
2009-02-06soldstatus $38,700 Closed
-
2009-01-23historical
-
2008-11-08status
-
2008-11-07historical
-
2008-10-10$45,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,023
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$1,320
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,482
- − Management
- −$2,482
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable income
- $16,810
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,034
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Cathedral City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #11749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cathedral City, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 52,267
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,267
- Household income
- $73,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1682.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.57%
- Current HPI
- 356.9845
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+92.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Listed $88,000 GPSMLS
- 2024-08-12 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2024-07-06 Price Changed $116,500 GPSMLS
- 2024-06-20 Relisted — GPSMLS
- 2024-06-01 Contingent — GPSMLS
- 2024-05-13 Price Changed $121,500 GPSMLS
- 2024-02-11 Listed $128,900 GPSMLS
- 2020-12-27 Listed — TheMLS
- 2009-02-06 Delisted — PALM
- 2009-02-06 Sold (MLS) $38,700 PALM
- 2009-01-23 Contingent — PALM
- 2008-11-08 Relisted — PALM
- 2008-11-07 Delisted — PALM
- 2008-10-10 Listed $45,800 PALM
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…