167A Huntington Dr · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this desirable courtyard-facing Greenbriar End-unit in Leisure Village adult community. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity to personalize while enjoying recent updates. A sun porch entry provides a welcoming first impression and flexible bonus space, along with a storage closet. The home has been freshly painted and features a bright living and dining area with added natural light. Flooring has been updated with a transition into the kitchen, which includes a new refrigerator. In-unit laundry adds everyday convenience. With a clean interior, functional layout, and strong potential, this home is set within a gated, amenity-rich community with a clubhouse, golf course, pool, and low-maintenance lifestyle.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1967
- Listed 47 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.0% in Leisure Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 419 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $170k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.00%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,143
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -0.67%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,184
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $20,382
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 419
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,132 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,239/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$301
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,900 | $2.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 19d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1100 Deer Path Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1187 | $2,575 | $2.17 | 1d | 4 | 1.20mi |
| 1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $301 · $3,612/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Welcome to this desirable courtyard-facing Greenbriar End-unit in Leisure Village adult community. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity to personalize while enjoying recent updates. A sun porch entry provides a welcoming first impression and flexible bonus space, along with a storage closet. The home has been freshly painted and features a bright living and dining area with added natural light. Flooring has been updated with a transition into the kitchen, which includes a new refrigerator. In-unit laundry adds everyday convenience. With a clean interior, functional layout, and strong potential, this home is set within a gated, amenity-rich community with a clubhouse, golf course, pool, and low-maintenance lifestyle.
-
2026-04-27status Pending 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Welcome to this desirable courtyard-facing Greenbriar End-unit in Leisure Village adult community. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity to personalize while enjoying recent updates. A sun porch entry provides a welcoming first impression and flexible bonus space, along with a storage closet. The home has been freshly painted and features a bright living and dining area with added natural light. Flooring has been updated with a transition into the kitchen, which includes a new refrigerator. In-unit laundry adds everyday convenience. With a clean interior, functional layout, and strong potential, this home is set within a gated, amenity-rich community with a clubhouse, golf course, pool, and low-maintenance lifestyle.
-
2026-04-17$179,000 Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Welcome to this desirable courtyard-facing Greenbriar End-unit in Leisure Village adult community. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity to personalize while enjoying recent updates. A sun porch entry provides a welcoming first impression and flexible bonus space, along with a storage closet. The home has been freshly painted and features a bright living and dining area with added natural light. Flooring has been updated with a transition into the kitchen, which includes a new refrigerator. In-unit laundry adds everyday convenience. With a clean interior, functional layout, and strong potential, this home is set within a gated, amenity-rich community with a clubhouse, golf course, pool, and low-maintenance lifestyle.
-
2019-09-05soldstatus $60,000
-
2016-08-18soldstatus $45,000
-
1995-06-14soldstatus $35,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,239 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,736 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,497/yr (+$125/mo · 120.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,239
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,046
- − Management
- −$2,046
- − HOA
- −$3,612
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $1,317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$316
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,492/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5757.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+398.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — MOMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $179,000 MOMLS
- 2019-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,239 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…