2920 Whistler Ln · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bed/1 bath single-family home in South Augusta with great rental history. Needs some work but is priced to sell. This is an as-is sale and seller offers no warranties or disclosures.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1952
- Listed 32 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level 1; Residential property
- Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Built on crawl space
- Exterior features: Patio/porch: Other; Fencing: Other; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; Vented exhaust fan
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space (no basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Richmond Hill K-8 (math 4% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,152 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 1,174 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.77%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,053
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -37.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2920 Shelby Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 872 (0%) | 16mo | $112,000 | $128 | 78 |
| 2916 Whistler Ln | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 761 (-13%) | 3mo | $73,625 | $97 | 75 |
| 2922 Whistler Ln | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (-14%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $80 | 73 |
| 2307 Harding Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-1%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $58 | 64 |
| 2912 Hummingbird Lane Ln | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (-14%) | 15mo | $70,000 | $93 | 62 |
| 2807 Anne St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-8%) | 1mo | $88,000 | $110 | 53 |
| 2318 Getzen St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+15%) | 4mo | $102,500 | $103 | 48 |
| 2325 Henry Cir | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-8%) | 10mo | $109,900 | $137 | 45 |
| 2806 King St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 15mo | $110,000 | $115 | 40 |
| 2801 King Street St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+9%) | 16mo | $114,900 | $121 | 37 |
| 2320 Henry Circle Cir | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+15%) | 11mo | $126,000 | $126 | 30 |
| 2629 Richmond Hill Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+15%) | 9mo | $91,000 | $91 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $16,642
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $40,430
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30906
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 364
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2438 Lumpkin Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2544 Dover St Unit 2544 Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2910 Richmond Hill Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 3 | 0.59mi |
| 3018 Acorn Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,115 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 526 Richmond Hill Rd W Augusta, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $810 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2119 Lumpkin Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 974 | $912 | $0.94 | 21d | 6 | 1.00mi |
| 2824 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2820 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2816 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2818 Gordy Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $825 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2663 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1250 | $1,063 | $0.85 | 23d | 3 | 1.28mi |
| 2111 Cadden Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2810 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $975 | $0.95 | 43d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 2006 Denmark Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2006 Denmark Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $65,000 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-02price $74,900
-
2026-04-13$79,000 Active
-
2026-04-13$74,900 Active 184-char remark
-
2023-12-31historical
-
2023-12-31historical
-
2023-11-04$99,900
-
2023-11-04$99,900
-
2014-08-19soldstatus $224,800
-
2013-03-25soldstatus $23,484
-
2013-03-25soldstatus $23,484
-
2012-11-26$24,300
-
2012-11-26$24,300
-
2006-12-06soldstatus $58,000
-
2006-08-11soldstatus $29,900
-
2006-08-11soldstatus $29,900
-
2006-05-12$29,900
-
2006-05-12$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,287 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,287 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,287
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $5,068
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,216
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,423
- Household income
- $45,999
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3363.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+117.4% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-06-02 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $65,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $74,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $79,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $74,900 Hive MLS
- 2023-12-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2023-12-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2023-11-04 Listed $99,900 Hive MLS
- 2023-11-04 Listed $99,900 Hive MLS
- 2014-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $224,800 Public Records
- 2013-03-25 Sold (MLS) $23,484 Hive MLS
- 2013-03-25 Sold (MLS) $23,484 Hive MLS
- 2012-11-26 Listed $24,300 Hive MLS
- 2012-11-26 Listed $24,300 Hive MLS
- 2006-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-11 Sold (MLS) $29,900 Hive MLS
- 2006-08-11 Sold (MLS) $29,900 Hive MLS
- 2006-05-12 Listed $29,900 Hive MLS
- 2006-05-12 Listed $29,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,287 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…