166 Boston Tpke Unit B · Bolton, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brand New Seven unit one of a kind 55+ active adult community in BOLTON! Four homes ready to move into now! Three remaining to choose your own colors, etc. Manufactured by Skyline. All units have Open floor plan, two bedrooms, two full baths, laundry hookups, central air, 10x12 composite deck, 8x10 outbuilding, front porch, maintenance free vinyl siding, propane gas heat and cooking, underground utilities, parking for two cars. Grounds and driveways maintained. Short walk to rails to trails, mini golf. Easy access to I384, UCONN, Eastern CT State University and Hartford! Park application required and park manager must approve.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Outbuilding
- Composite deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-590 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (37.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (37.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 2.4% in Bolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bolton School District (rural): math 44% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #65 of 153 in CT (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Bolton Center School (math 46% / reading 61%, grade C, #209 of 553 statewide, top 38%, 497 students, 26% FRL); Bolton High School (math 37% / reading 67%, grade D+, #80 of 194 statewide, top 44%, 233 students, 20% FRL).
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.00%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $346,108
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -33.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Carpenter Rd | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 905 (-4%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $287 | 68 |
| 58 Brookfield Rd | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-3%) | 1mo | $356,000 | $390 | 59 |
| 105 Cidermill Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+15%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $326 | 44 |
| 144 Greenwood Dr | 1.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+23%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $152 | 34 |
| 25 Greenwood Dr | 1.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,140 (+22%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $263 | 31 |
| 62 Deer Run Trl | 1.30mi | 2/1.5 | 1,094 (+17%) | 9mo | $290,500 | $266 | 31 |
| 166 Lake St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,144 (+22%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $284 | 30 |
| 74 Overlook Dr | 1.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+23%) | 5mo | $312,000 | $271 | 27 |
| 74 Deer Run Trl | 1.32mi | 2/1.5 | 1,094 (+17%) | 15mo | $285,000 | $261 | 25 |
| 74 Overlook Dr | 1.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+12%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $210 | 24 |
| 80 Camp Meeting Rd | 1.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+11%) | 20mo | $320,000 | $308 | 22 |
| 59 Overlook Dr | 1.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+23%) | 14mo | $328,000 | $285 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-74,456
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -47.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.74×
- Total profit
- $-111,692
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $229,900 ($245/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 51 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +50.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 06043
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,979 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$565
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $-590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-431 | -5% $-511 | +0% $-590 | +5% $-669 | +10% $-749 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-746 | -5% $-668 | +0% $-590 | +5% $-512 | +10% $-434 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-474 | -0.5pp $-532 | base $-590 | +0.5pp $-650 | +1.0pp $-710 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions availableNearby: library, public transportation, shopping/mallHas home warranty offered
- Financial info
- Professional off-site property management
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with monthly feeHOA fee includes grounds maintenance, trash pickup, water, sewer, property management, and road maintenance
Exterior
- Parking
- Paved driveway2 parking spaces
- Utilities
- Shared well waterPublic sewer connectedAbove-ground propane tankHot water: other
- Home design
- Single-family homeAdult community (55+)On leased landCompleted / never occupiedVaried exterior color
- Construction
- Prefab constructionSlab foundationAsphalt shingle roofVinyl siding
- Exterior features
- PorchDeckShedUnderground utilities
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeMicrowaveRefrigeratorDishwasher
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Hot air heatingPropane fuelThermopane windows
- Interior features
- Cable availableCeiling fansCentral air
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry on main level
HOA detail $565/mo · $6,780/yr
- Likely covers
- gaslandscaping
Listing history 45 events
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2026-08-08days on market $229,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $229,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $229,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $229,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $229,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $229,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $229,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $229,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $229,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $229,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $229,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $229,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $229,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $229,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $229,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $229,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $229,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $229,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $229,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $229,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $229,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $229,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $229,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $229,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $229,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $229,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $229,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $229,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $229,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $229,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $229,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $229,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $229,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $229,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $229,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $229,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $229,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $229,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $229,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-19statusdays on market $229,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-18price $229,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
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2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-15$249,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$3,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,900
- − Management
- −$1,900
- − HOA
- −$6,780
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$10,991
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,638
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Landscaping and interior updates would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Interior updates — Fresh paint and minor updates can significantly boost appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bolton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900360
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,894
- Composite
- 49.02/100
- National rank
- #2063
- State rank
- #65 of 153 in CT
Livability — Bolton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Capitol · 969,700 people
- Metro
- Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,848
- Household income
- $124,861
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.57%
- Current HPI
- 246.6286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Listed $229,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $229,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $249,900 Smart MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…