2144 Kentucky St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$10,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here's your chance to rebuild on this lot! This owner is offering all 4 properties in their portfolio as a single package deal, creating a rare chance for Investors looking to expand their portfolio. This property does not have to be sold as a package it can be sold as a single sale.
Key facts
- 3,093 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1949
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Vacant at time of listing
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story property; Built in 1949; Property listed as fixer condition
- Construction: Unfinished basement
- Exterior features: No significant view reported
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances reported
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Two additional bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling system
- Interior features: No notable interior features reported; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances reported
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $912 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
- Recommended offer: $10k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 110.5% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,259/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $176 of equity ($73 loan paydown + $103 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 110.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 372.07%
- DSCR
- 17.56
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,930
- List price
- $10,500
- Delta
- -87.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2425 Prospect St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-1%) | 2mo | $44,550 | $42 | 78 |
| 2047 Ohio St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+3%) | 6mo | $92,000 | $84 | 77 |
| 2435 Diamond Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $32 | 74 |
| 2301 Delaware St | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,064 (0%) | 8mo | $29,400 | $28 | 66 |
| 1976 Missouri Ter | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,037 (-2%) | 5mo | $8,500 | $8 | 61 |
| 1027 Central Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-5%) | 1mo | $69,000 | $68 | 60 |
| 905 E 19th Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,145 (+8%) | 16mo | $66,500 | $58 | 59 |
| 2428 Industrial Blvd | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,193 (+12%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $88 | 53 |
| 1953 Carolina St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-12%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $134 | 53 |
| 2458 Virginia St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 996 (-6%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $30 | 52 |
| 1996 Central Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 935 (-12%) | 16mo | $108,000 | $116 | 36 |
| 2280 Connecticut St | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 952 (-10%) | 20mo | $14,450 | $15 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.82×
- Total profit
- $58,270
- Equity at exit
- $3,573
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 44.39×
- Total profit
- $127,563
- Equity at exit
- $4,740
Cash invested: $2,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46407
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,259 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$55
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $283/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $912
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $918 | -5% $915 | +0% $912 | +5% $909 | +10% $906 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $812 | -5% $862 | +0% $912 | +5% $961 | +10% $1,011 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $917 | -0.5pp $914 | base $912 | +0.5pp $909 | +1.0pp $906 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,625
- Closing costs
- $315
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2306 Vermont St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 0d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $950 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $950 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2061 Maryland St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $950 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2425 Prospect St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1051 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2453 Prospect St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2300 Maryland St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2336 Delaware St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1843 Illinois St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $975 | $1.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2025 Central Dr Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,550 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2257 Central Dr Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1329 Delaware St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2561 E 23rd Ave Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1490 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2612 Marshalltown Dr Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2612 Marshalltown Dr Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 844 Tennessee St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,025 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2908 Central Dr Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,525 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1572 Polk St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2361 Pierce St Unit 2 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $900 | $1.05 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1247 | $875 | $0.70 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $10,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $10,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $10,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $10,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $10,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $10,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $10,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $10,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $10,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $10,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $10,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $10,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $10,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $10,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $10,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-21$10,500 Active 284-char remark
-
2003-09-27$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $283 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $283 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$588
- − Property taxes
- −$283
- − Insurance
- −$52
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,209
- − Management
- −$1,209
- − Depreciation
- −$305
- Taxable income
- $11,461
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,751
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,188/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,577
- Household income
- $28,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 392.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.98%
- Current HPI
- 253.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
-76.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $10,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-27 Listed $45,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-17.1%/yrLatest (2024): $283 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…