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2144 Kentucky St
D+ Composite 47.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$10,500

2144 Kentucky St · Gary, IN 46407
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1949 3,093 sqft lot $10/sqft · 87% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here's your chance to rebuild on this lot! This owner is offering all 4 properties in their portfolio as a single package deal, creating a rare chance for Investors looking to expand their portfolio. This property does not have to be sold as a package it can be sold as a single sale.

Key facts

  • 3,093 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Vacant at time of listing

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story property; Built in 1949; Property listed as fixer condition
  • Construction: Unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: No significant view reported

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances reported
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Two additional bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling system
  • Interior features: No notable interior features reported; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances reported

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $912 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $10k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 110.5% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,259/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $176 of equity ($73 loan paydown + $103 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $9,870 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.99%
Cap rate
110.47%
Cash-on-cash
372.07%
DSCR
17.56
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,930
List price
$10,500
Delta
-87.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2425 Prospect St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-1%) 2mo $44,550 $42 78
2047 Ohio St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+3%) 6mo $92,000 $84 77
2435 Diamond Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+3%) 3mo $35,000 $32 74
2301 Delaware St 0.45mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,064 (0%) 8mo $29,400 $28 66
1976 Missouri Ter 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,037 (-2%) 5mo $8,500 $8 61
1027 Central Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-5%) 1mo $69,000 $68 60
905 E 19th Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,145 (+8%) 16mo $66,500 $58 59
2428 Industrial Blvd 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,193 (+12%) 12mo $105,000 $88 53
1953 Carolina St 0.34mi 3/1.0 936 (-12%) 13mo $125,000 $134 53
2458 Virginia St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 996 (-6%) 12mo $30,000 $30 52
1996 Central Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 935 (-12%) 16mo $108,000 $116 36
2280 Connecticut St 0.58mi 2/1.5 (-1) 952 (-10%) 20mo $14,450 $15 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.82×
Total profit
$58,270
Equity at exit
$3,573
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
44.39×
Total profit
$127,563
Equity at exit
$4,740

Cash invested: $2,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46407

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,259 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$55
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $283/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$912

Break-even live

Break-even rent $105
Max offer price $10,500
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $918 -5% $915 +0% $912 +5% $909 +10% $906
Rent -10% $812 -5% $862 +0% $912 +5% $961 +10% $1,011
Rate -1.0pp $917 -0.5pp $914 base $912 +0.5pp $909 +1.0pp $906

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,625
Closing costs
$315
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2306 Vermont St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,300 $1.08 0d 1 0.18mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 45d 1 0.26mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 989 $1,150 $1.16 0d 1 0.32mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 0d 1 0.32mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 5d 1 0.32mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 45d 1 0.37mi
2425 Prospect St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,400 $1.33 0d 1 0.39mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 0d 1 0.40mi
2300 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 21d 1 0.41mi
2336 Delaware St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 0d 1 0.48mi
1843 Illinois St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,200 $1.66 18d 1 0.52mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $975 $1.01 0d 1 0.64mi
2025 Central Dr Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,550 $1.77 45d 1 0.68mi
2257 Central Dr Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 1220 $1,650 $1.35 45d 1 0.76mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.82mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 22d 1 0.85mi
2561 E 23rd Ave Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1490 $1,350 $0.91 45d 1 1.04mi
2612 Marshalltown Dr Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1195 $1,450 $1.21 5d 1 1.09mi
2612 Marshalltown Dr Gary, IN 4.0 1.0 1195 $1,450 $1.21 13d 1 1.09mi
844 Tennessee St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 45d 1 1.15mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 0d 1 1.19mi
2908 Central Dr Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 884 $1,525 $1.73 0d 1 1.22mi
840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,150 $1.11 21d 1 1.28mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 0d 1 1.35mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 0d 1 1.38mi
1572 Polk St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 0d 1 1.41mi
2361 Pierce St Unit 2 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 860 $900 $1.05 0d 1 1.42mi
672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1247 $875 $0.70 17d 1 1.46mi
1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,600 $1.14 0d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $10,500 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,500 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,500 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,500 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $10,500 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,500 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,500 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,500 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,500 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,500 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $10,500 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,500 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,500 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,500 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,500 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-04-21
    listed $10,500 Active 284-char remark
  17. 2003-09-27
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$283 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$283 · $24/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,108
− Mortgage interest
−$588
− Property taxes
−$283
− Insurance
−$52
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,209
− Management
−$1,209
− Depreciation
−$305
Taxable income
$11,461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,751
After-tax cash flow
$8,188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
8,577
Household income
$28,526
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
253.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-76.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $10,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-09-27 Listed $45,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-17.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $283 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…