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112 W 3rd Ave Ave N
B Composite 71.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$58,000

112 W 3rd Ave Ave N · Aurora, MN 55705
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 945 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 281 Days on market
Built 1903 4,356 sqft lot $61/sqft · 50% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

Key facts

  • Planting beds
  • Great location
  • Updated recently

Tags

GREAT LOCATIONUPDATED RECENTLYNEWER WINDOWSFENCED BACKYARDPLANTING BEDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#312 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mesabi East School District (rural): math 27% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #240 of 301 in MN (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $58k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $58k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.54%
Cash-on-cash
22.30%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,219
List price
$58,000
Delta
-50.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
112 W 3rd Ave Ave N 0.00mi 2/1.5 945 (0%) 0mo $35,001 $37 98
207 W 1st Ave North Ave 0.17mi 2/1.5 1,006 (+6%) 22mo $39,000 $39 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$9,835
Equity at exit
$8,648
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$33,360
Equity at exit
$5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55705

Home prices YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$884 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $818/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $502
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $58,000 Pending 281 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $58,000 Active 280 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,000 Active 279 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,000 Active 278 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 277 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,000 Active 276 DOM
  7. 2026-05-09
    price $58,000
  8. 2026-05-06
    price $58,000 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  9. 2026-03-20
    status Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  10. 2026-01-15
    status Pending 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  11. 2025-09-23
    price $77,000 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  12. 2025-09-23
    price $77,000
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  13. 2025-09-03
    price $83,810
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  14. 2025-09-03
    price $83,810 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  15. 2025-08-08
    price $98,600 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  16. 2025-08-08
    price $98,600
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  17. 2025-06-24
    listed $116,000 Active 561-char remark
    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.

  18. 2025-06-23
    listed $116,000 Active
  19. 1999-06-29
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$818 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$818 · $68/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,607
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$818
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$849
− Management
−$849
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$2,866
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$688
After-tax cash flow
$2,934/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mesabi East School District
NCES district ID
2791450
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$47,546
Composite
31.69/100
National rank
#5922
State rank
#240 of 301 in MN

Livability — Aurora

Score
71/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#6901

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, MN
Population (ZIP)
3,248

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Slovak 5% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.93%
Current HPI
266.5875
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $58,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $58,000 LSAR
  • 2026-03-20 Relisted LSAR
  • 2026-01-15 Pending LSAR
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $77,000 LSAR
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $77,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $83,810 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $83,810 LSAR
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $98,600 LSAR
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $98,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $116,000 LSAR
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $116,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $818 · -20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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