112 W 3rd Ave Ave N · Aurora, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
Key facts
- Planting beds
- Great location
- Updated recently
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#312 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mesabi East School District (rural): math 27% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #240 of 301 in MN (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $58k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $58k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.30%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,219
- List price
- $58,000
- Delta
- -50.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 W 3rd Ave Ave N | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 945 (0%) | 0mo | $35,001 | $37 | 98 |
| 207 W 1st Ave North Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 | 1,006 (+6%) | 22mo | $39,000 | $39 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $9,835
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $33,360
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55705
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $818/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $302
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $58,000 Pending 281 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $58,000 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 278 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $58,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-05-09price $58,000
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2026-05-06price $58,000 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2026-03-20status Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2026-01-15status Pending 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2025-09-23price $77,000 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2025-09-23price $77,000
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2025-09-03price $83,810
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2025-09-03price $83,810 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2025-08-08price $98,600 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2025-08-08price $98,600
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
-
2025-06-24$116,000 Active 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
Great location close to everything Aurora has to offer. Large kitchen, formal dining, and a bathroom on the main floor. Home seems to have been updated recently with newer windows, siding and gutters. There is a newer 2 car garage and a fenced backyard with some planting beds ready for plants. Buyers are responsible for all inspections (Including point of sale inspections). This inspection must be completed after the closing. Call the city for information on that as it is conflicting with who you speak with. Great home with a lot of updates for the money.
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2025-06-23$116,000 Active
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1999-06-29soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$818
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$849
- − Management
- −$849
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $2,866
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$688
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mesabi East School District
- NCES district ID
- 2791450
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,546
- Composite
- 31.69/100
- National rank
- #5922
- State rank
- #240 of 301 in MN
Livability — Aurora
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #6901
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aurora, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,248
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Slovak 5% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.93%
- Current HPI
- 266.5875
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+132.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $58,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $58,000 LSAR
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — LSAR
- 2026-01-15 Pending — LSAR
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $77,000 LSAR
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $77,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $83,810 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $83,810 LSAR
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $98,600 LSAR
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $98,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-24 Listed $116,000 LSAR
- 2025-06-23 Listed $116,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $818 · -20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…