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173 Williamsburg Rd
B- Composite 67.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

173 Williamsburg Rd · Country Club Hills, IL 60478
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,216 sqft · Townhouse public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1970 $165/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Incredible opportunity BACK ON MARKET in Country Club Hills! This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers the perfect mix of affordability and comfort, making it an excellent choice for first-time homebuyers looking to build equity and make a space their own. Recent updates include a roof replaced in 2023 and a newer water heater (approximately 1.5 years old), providing added peace of mind. The upper level includes 2 bedrooms that are connected with a Jack and Jill bathroom. The home also features a basement, offering extra storage, recreation space, or future finishing potential. With low monthly assessments and great value for the area, this is a fantastic opportunity to own instead of rent.

Key facts

  • Extra storage
  • Newer water heater
  • Recreation space

Tags

ROOF REPLACEDNEWER WATER HEATERJACK AND JILL BATHROOMEXTRA STORAGERECREATION SPACEFUTURE FINISHING POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 6.7% in Country Club Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Zenon J Sykuta School (404 students, 0% FRL); Southwood Middle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #636 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 381 students, 0% FRL); Rich Township High School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #584 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 2,487 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 17% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.24%
Cap rate
25.90%
Cash-on-cash
70.03%
DSCR
4.12
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1101 Williamsburg Rd 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-1%) 0mo $185,000 $154 88
1135 Williamsburg Rd 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,248 (+3%) 4mo $130,000 $104 88
4542 Windsor Ln 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,306 (+7%) 0mo $175,000 $134 81
2265 Windsor Ln 0.12mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (-1%) 11mo $134,900 $112 78
2321 Windsor Ln 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,160 (-5%) 10mo $165,000 $142 77
165 Williamsburg Rd 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,304 (+7%) 14mo $145,000 $111 70
4474 Provincetown Dr 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,304 (+7%) 12mo $160,000 $123 70
2323 Windsor Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,375 (+13%) 3mo $90,000 $65 66
4543 Windsor Ln 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,375 (+13%) 12mo $180,000 $131 57
18600 Village West Dr #303 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,180 (-3%) 1mo $153,000 $130 54
18600 Village West Dr #206 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,250 (+3%) 4mo $155,000 $124 51
3505 Lakeview Dr #204 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,350 (+11%) 6mo $195,000 $144 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
69.6%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$61,551
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
73.7%
Equity multiple
8.55×
Total profit
$147,816
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60478

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,266 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$165
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$1,142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $820
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,190 -5% $1,166 +0% $1,142 +5% $1,118 +10% $1,094
Rent -10% $963 -5% $1,053 +0% $1,142 +5% $1,232 +10% $1,321
Rate -1.0pp $1,177 -0.5pp $1,160 base $1,142 +0.5pp $1,124 +1.0pp $1,106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,900 $1.56 0d 1 0.04mi
4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,500 $1.92 0d 1 0.12mi
2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,250 $1.86 0d 1 0.17mi
18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.5 1150 $2,800 $2.43 0d 1 0.57mi
17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 0d 1 0.63mi
3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1486 $2,900 $1.95 3d 1 0.83mi
17950 Michael Ave Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,195 $1.57 0d 1 1.05mi
3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $2,650 $1.88 0d 1 1.13mi
3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 2.0 839 $2,850 $3.40 0d 1 1.17mi
17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 1.0 1034 $2,700 $2.61 0d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$165 · $1,980/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 694-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Contingent - No Showings 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Contingent - No Showings 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Contingent - No Showings 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $59,900 Contingent - No Showings 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $59,900 Active
  17. 2026-05-20
    historical
  18. 2026-05-12
    listed Active
  19. 2026-05-12
    historical
  20. 2026-04-29
    listed Active
  21. 2026-03-23
    historical
  22. 2026-03-04
    price
  23. 2026-02-26
    price
  24. 2026-02-24
    price
  25. 2026-02-10
    price
  26. 2026-01-27
    listed Active
  27. 1995-01-10
    soldstatus $50,400
  28. 1994-10-20
    soldstatus $31,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,193
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,175
− Management
−$2,175
− HOA
−$1,980
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$13,515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,244
After-tax cash flow
$10,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Country Club Hills

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Country Club Hills, IL
City population
16,549
Population (ZIP)
16,549

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.73%
Current HPI
212.3917
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $59,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-27 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $50,400 Public Records
  • 1994-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $6,557 · +80.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…