618 S Hall St · Webb City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,919
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home within walking distance of Webb City's Farmers Market and King Jack Park. Possible FHA financing. Priced to sell! Call today!
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1990
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#35 in MO, #3,062 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Webb City R-VII (suburban): math 53% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #21 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Webb City Middle (math 53% / reading 55%, grade B-, #46 of 391 statewide, top 12%, 696 students, 47% FRL); Webb City High (math 30% / reading 59%, grade F, #179 of 521 statewide, top 39%, 1,349 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.31%
- DSCR
- 3.51
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $39,677
- Equity at exit
- $8,934
- IRR
- 59.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.73×
- Total profit
- $96,056
- Equity at exit
- $5,181
Cash invested: $16,777 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64870
- Home prices YoY
- -8.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $223/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $787
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $821 | -5% $804 | +0% $787 | +5% $770 | +10% $753 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $673 | -5% $730 | +0% $787 | +5% $844 | +10% $902 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $817 | -0.5pp $802 | base $787 | +0.5pp $772 | +1.0pp $756 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,980
- Closing costs
- $1,798
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1524 Brewster Ln Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,450 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1301 S Jefferson St Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1407 S Jefferson Ave Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1411 S Jefferson Ave Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1606 S Oronogo St Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1613 S Oronogo St Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 618 N Hall St Unit A Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 313 N Kentucky St Carterville, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 737 N Oak St Webb City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1405 W Aylor St Webb City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 705 N Washington St Carterville, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2018-10-16soldstatus
-
2018-10-12soldstatus 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home within walking distance of Webb City's Farmers Market and King Jack Park. Possible FHA financing. Priced to sell! Call today!
-
2018-07-18historical
-
2018-05-25$59,919
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home within walking distance of Webb City's Farmers Market and King Jack Park. Possible FHA financing. Priced to sell! Call today!
-
2018-05-25$59,919 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home within walking distance of Webb City's Farmers Market and King Jack Park. Possible FHA financing. Priced to sell! Call today!
-
2010-07-12soldstatus
-
2001-04-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $223 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $581 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$359/yr (+$30/mo · 161.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,356
- − Property taxes
- −$223
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $8,988
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webb City R-VII
- NCES district ID
- 2931500
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,022
- Composite
- 47.68/100
- National rank
- #2244
- State rank
- #21 of 324 in MO
Livability — Webb City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #35
- US rank
- #3062
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Webb City, MO
- County
- Jasper County · 79,035 people
- City population
- 16,186
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,186
- Household income
- $68,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 427.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,033 people
- By 2030
- 120,091 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 119,297 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 117,705 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 110,402 · -8.0%
- By 2100
- 99,719 · -16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.29%
- Current HPI
- 267.5318
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2018-10-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-10-12 Sold (MLS) — OGAR
- 2018-07-18 Delisted — SOMO
- 2018-05-25 Listed $59,919 SOMO
- 2018-05-25 Listed $59,919 OGAR
- 2010-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-04-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $223 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…