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715A Wooton Ct
D Composite 44.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

715A Wooton Ct · Leisure Village West, NJ 08759
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · SingleFamily · 113 Days on market
Built 1976 Good condition 0.36 ac lot 1-car garage $232/sqft · at area comps Est $283k · at est. $405/mo HOA · 14% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this Beautifully Renovated Home in the Desirable Gated Adult Community of Leisure Village West! Ideally Located on a Quiet Dead-End Corner Lot, this Move-in Ready Oxford Model Home is Ready for its New Owner. Immediately be Greeted by a Charming Covered Front Porch that Leads to the Custom Tiled Entryway. An Open Floor Plan Offers Plenty of Natural Light as you Enter into the Spacious Living Room. New Carpets Flow in the Bedrooms, Living Room, & Den Creating a Cozy & Cohesive Feel. The Updated Eat in Kitchen is a Standout w/ Quartz Countertops, Soft-Close Cabinetry, & Stainless-Steel Appliances, Perfect for Everyday Living & Entertaining.

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-647/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (2.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#261 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Manchester Township Elementary School (math 22% / reading 46%, grade F, #642 of 1,303 statewide, top 50%, 514 students, 45% FRL); Manchester Township Middle School (math 28% / reading 45%, grade F, #226 of 431 statewide, top 55%, 582 students, 41% FRL); Manchester Township High School (math 21% / reading 38%, grade F, #290 of 399 statewide, top 74%, 959 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 23% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 891 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 32d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,805/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $245,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$282,911
List price
$269,900
Delta
-4.60%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
943 Liverpool Cir Unit B 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,164 (0%) 1mo $190,000 $163 86
715C Wooton Ct 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+7%) 4mo $284,000 $228 84
873B Liverpool Cir 0.36mi 2/2.0 1,164 (0%) 2mo $306,000 $263 82
1101 Thornbury Ln Unit B 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,193 (+2%) 1mo $339,000 $284 77
549-A Mayfair Rd 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+7%) 0mo $225,000 $181 74
945A Liverpool Cir Unit A 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+7%) 2mo $248,500 $200 74
815B Liverpool Cir 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+7%) 2mo $225,000 $181 70
583B Kevin Ct 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+7%) 3mo $240,000 $193 66
660B Pulham Ct 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+7%) 1mo $225,000 $181 60
655-A Pulham Ct 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,243 (+7%) 3mo $225,000 $181 57
15 Normanton Ave 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,267 (+9%) 2mo $330,000 $260 55
27D Cambridge Cir 0.66mi 2/1.5 1,050 (-10%) 1mo $167,000 $159 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-46,876
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-44,054
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
46 active · 43 under contract
Months of supply
5.4 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$283,400 ($231/sqft)
Median days on market
43 d
This list price
37% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+5.1% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 08759

Active inventory
891
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,805 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$405
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$589
Net cashflow
$-54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,874
Max offer price $262,103
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $133 -5% $39 +0% $-54 +5% $-147 +10% $-240
Rent -10% $-276 -5% $-165 +0% $-54 +5% $57 +10% $168
Rate -1.0pp $82 -0.5pp $15 base $-54 +0.5pp $-124 +1.0pp $-195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
150 Farm Rd Manchester, NJ 3.0 2.0 1280 $3,000 $2.34 71d 1 0.55mi
43 3rd St Manchester, NJ 3.0 2.0 1346 $3,200 $2.38 0d 1 0.60mi
2035 Route 37 Manchester, NJ 2.0 2.0 1375 $2,775 $2.02 0d 3 0.83mi
809 Commonwealth Blvd Toms River, NJ 3.0 2.0 1226 $3,000 $2.45 0d 1 1.00mi
43C Edinburgh Ln Manchester, NJ 2.0 1.0 836 $2,200 $2.63 93d 1 1.04mi
73 Buckingham Dr N Manchester, NJ 2.0 2.0 967 $2,200 $2.28 93d 1 1.06mi
501 Bismarck St Toms River, NJ 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,775 $2.13 93d 1 1.12mi
1033 Birmingham Ave Toms River, NJ 3.0 1.5 1250 $2,700 $2.16 31d 1 1.15mi
1700 New Jersey 37 Unit 112-11 Toms River, NJ 2.0 2.0 1224 $2,299 $1.88 0d 1 1.21mi
1200 Lawrence Ave Toms River, NJ 3.0 2.0 1248 $3,300 $2.64 0d 1 1.29mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Monthly association fee of $405Association covers trash, common area, lawn maintenance, pool, snow removalCommunity amenities: exercise room, community room, pool, golf course, clubhouse, landscaping, bocciAssociation: Leisure Village West

Exterior

Parking
Attached 1-car garage
Utilities
Public sewer
Home design
Condominium ownership (fee simple)Model: Oxford
Exterior features
Shingle roofProperty is attached (condominium)

Interior

Kitchen
Gas cookingStoveMicrowaveDishwasherGarbage disposalRefrigerator
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms (first level)
Flooring
VinylCeramic tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Electric heating with baseboardCentral air conditioning (electric)
Interior features
Outdoor lightingTrack lightingBlinds/shadesCeiling fan(s)Central vacuumLight fixturesGarage door openerFireplace (1)
Laundry & utility
WasherDryer

HOA detail $405/mo · $4,860/yr

Likely covers
security

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $269,900 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $269,900 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $269,900 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $269,900 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $269,900 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $269,900 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $269,900 Active 103 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $269,900 Active 102 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $269,900 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $269,900 Active 98 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $269,900 Active 97 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $269,900 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $269,900 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $269,900 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    pricedays on market $269,900 Active 91 DOM
  17. 2026-07-15
    days on market $274,900 Active 89 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $274,900 Active 88 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $274,900 Active 87 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $274,900 Active 86 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $274,900 Active 85 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $274,900 Active 84 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $274,900 Active 83 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $274,900 Active 81 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $274,900 Active 80 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $274,900 Active 79 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $274,900 Active 78 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $274,900 Active 77 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 76 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 75 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $274,900 Active 74 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $274,900 Active 73 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $274,900 Active 72 DOM
  34. 2026-06-27
    days on market $274,900 Active 71 DOM
  35. 2026-06-26
    days on market $274,900 Active 70 DOM
  36. 2026-06-24
    days on market $274,900 Active 68 DOM
  37. 2026-06-22
    days on market $274,900 Active 66 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $274,900 Active 65 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,900 Active 62 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,900 Active 61 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,900 Active 60 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,900 Active 59 DOM
  43. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,900 Active 57 DOM
  44. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,900 Active 53 DOM
  45. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,900 Active 52 DOM
  46. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $274,900 Active 51 DOM
  47. 2026-06-04
    days on market $279,000 Active 48 DOM
  48. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,000 Active 47 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,000 Active 46 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,000 Active 45 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,666
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$4,048
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,693
− Management
−$2,693
− HOA
−$4,860
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$4,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,188
After-tax cash flow
$541/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,820–$17,460 screening

This beautifully renovated home in Leisure Village West is move-in ready with updated kitchen and bath, fresh paint, and new carpets. Enhance curb appeal and value with exterior painting and trim work.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Trim and paint exterior trim — Improves overall appearance and value
  • Both Replace carpet in living room and den — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Manchester Township Elementary School F NJ #642/1,303 Nat'l #24,299/41,679 Middle Manchester Township Middle School F NJ #226/431 Nat'l #7,065/14,009 High Manchester Township High School F NJ #290/399 Nat'l #11,215/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester Township School District
NCES district ID
3409450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,905
Composite
28.8/100
National rank
#6662
State rank
#320 of 472 in NJ
B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Leisure Village West

Score
70/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#7714

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leisure Village West, NJ
County
Ocean · 586,991 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
Population (ZIP)
34,290
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
12.1% rent · 87.9% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-1.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $274,900 MOMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $279,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Coming Soon $279,000 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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