CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
22 Pershing Ln
D Composite 41.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

22 Pershing Ln · Sicklerville, NJ 08081
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 164 Days on market
Built 1971 0.30 ac lot $126/sqft · 17% below area Est $412k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1971

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (11.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $302k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $302k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $350k implies a 192% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $301,582 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.66%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$411,869
List price
$350,000
Delta
-15.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23 Pinewood Ln 0.18mi 5/4.0 2,808 (+1%) 0mo $455,000 $162 86
17 Pittman Ln 0.22mi 5/2.5 2,756 (-1%) 20mo $380,000 $138 70
2 Primrose Dr 0.20mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,428 (-13%) 3mo $280,000 $115 60
6 Pittman Pl 0.36mi 5/2.5 2,428 (-13%) 22mo $360,000 $148 42
928 Dartmoor Ave 0.69mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,656 (-4%) 21mo $507,000 $191 36
5 Eastmont Ln 0.49mi 5/2.5 3,185 (+15%) 19mo $440,000 $138 36
45 Sassafras Dr 0.72mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,444 (-12%) 8mo $475,000 $194 35
4 Conifer Way 0.70mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,415 (-13%) 12mo $501,000 $207 28
41 Sassafras Dr 0.70mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,494 (-10%) 22mo $437,000 $175 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.2%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-69,152
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-72,236
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08081

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,016 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$619 /mo · $7,423/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$633
Net cashflow
$-217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,291
Max offer price $311,604
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    price $350,000 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  2. 2026-05-06
    price $350,000 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  3. 2026-04-01
    status Active 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  4. 2026-04-01
    status Active 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  5. 2026-03-11
    status Pending 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  6. 2026-03-10
    status Pending 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  7. 2026-03-10
    historical Active Under Contract 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  8. 2026-02-10
    listed $359,000 Active 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  9. 2026-01-13
    price $359,000 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  10. 2025-12-24
    price $375,000 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  11. 2025-12-05
    price $385,000 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  12. 2025-11-16
    listed $399,000 Active 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.

  13. 2020-08-26
    soldstatus $120,000
  14. 1978-07-01
    soldstatus $47,506

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,423 · $619/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,069 · $672/mo
Expected delta
+$646/yr (+$54/mo · 8.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,190
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$7,423
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,895
− Management
−$2,895
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$8,561
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,055
After-tax cash flow
$-554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winslow Township School District
NCES district ID
3418060
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$70,254
Composite
22.65/100
National rank
#8057
State rank
#387 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Sicklerville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Sicklerville, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
50,264
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
50,264
Household income
$105,800
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
979.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -176.48%
Current HPI
303.1017
Rent YoY
▲ 3.41%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+636.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $350,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted MOMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Pending MOMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $359,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $359,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $385,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-16 Listed $399,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 1978-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,506 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,423 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…