22 Pershing Ln · Sicklerville, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1971
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (11.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $302k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $302k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $350k implies a 192% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.66%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $411,869
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- -15.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Pinewood Ln | 0.18mi | 5/4.0 | 2,808 (+1%) | 0mo | $455,000 | $162 | 86 |
| 17 Pittman Ln | 0.22mi | 5/2.5 | 2,756 (-1%) | 20mo | $380,000 | $138 | 70 |
| 2 Primrose Dr | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,428 (-13%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 6 Pittman Pl | 0.36mi | 5/2.5 | 2,428 (-13%) | 22mo | $360,000 | $148 | 42 |
| 928 Dartmoor Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,656 (-4%) | 21mo | $507,000 | $191 | 36 |
| 5 Eastmont Ln | 0.49mi | 5/2.5 | 3,185 (+15%) | 19mo | $440,000 | $138 | 36 |
| 45 Sassafras Dr | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,444 (-12%) | 8mo | $475,000 | $194 | 35 |
| 4 Conifer Way | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,415 (-13%) | 12mo | $501,000 | $207 | 28 |
| 41 Sassafras Dr | 0.70mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,494 (-10%) | 22mo | $437,000 | $175 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-69,152
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-72,236
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08081
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 329
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,016 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$619 /mo · $7,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$633
- Net cashflow
- $-217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-06price $350,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-05-06price $350,000 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-04-01status Active 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-04-01status Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-03-11status Pending 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-03-10status Pending 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-03-10historical Active Under Contract 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-02-10$359,000 Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2026-01-13price $359,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2025-12-24price $375,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2025-12-05price $385,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2025-11-16$399,000 Active 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Opportunity Knocks! 5 bedroom, 3 Full Bath Bi-Level in highly sought neighborhood of Sicklerville. With a little TLC, this home will provide the space and features to accommodate many needs.
-
2020-08-26soldstatus $120,000
-
1978-07-01soldstatus $47,506
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,423 · $619/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,069 · $672/mo
- Expected delta
- +$646/yr (+$54/mo · 8.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$7,423
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,895
- − Management
- −$2,895
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$8,561
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,055
- After-tax cash flow
- $-554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winslow Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418060
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,254
- Composite
- 22.65/100
- National rank
- #8057
- State rank
- #387 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Sicklerville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sicklerville, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 50,264
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,264
- Household income
- $105,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1017
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+636.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $350,000 MOMLS
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — MOMLS
- 2026-03-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-03-10 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $359,000 MOMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $359,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $385,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-16 Listed $399,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1978-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,506 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $7,423 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…