97 Mcdonald Ave · St. Augustine, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$278,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Habitat for Humanity of St. Johns County is building homes for the workforce. Our two-bedroom one-bath and three-bedroom two-bath homes are located on McDonald Avenue in our Volusia Woods neighborhood, located just minutes from downtown St. Augustine. All homes are owner-occupied. Down payment assistance is available to qualified buyers. These beautiful homes have an open floorplan, with an abundance of windows so you can enjoy natural light and fresh air on a nice day. They feature a metal roof, granite countertops, upgraded vinyl flooring, window treatments, and an attached shed. All homes come with new Whirlpool appliances, including the refrigerator, range, dishwasher, and microwave, as well as a washer and dryer in a separate laundry room. These homes cover 900 - 1,100 square feet and boast a stylish, modern eat-in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. Every home comes with an attached 32 sq ft shed at the back of the home, and a covered 80 sq ft front porch.
Key facts
- Whirlpool appliances
- Front porch
- Metal roofs
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $278k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (10.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (19.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: James A. Webster Elementary School (math 56% / reading 45%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 504 students, 67% FRL); R J Murray Middle School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade B-, #196 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 695 students, 50% FRL); St. Augustine High School (math 54% / reading 62%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 1,784 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 20% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Johns average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 636 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.98%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,651
- List price
- $278,000
- Delta
- 0.85%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-63,374
- Equity at exit
- $41,451
- IRR
- -31.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.21×
- Total profit
- $-94,342
- Equity at exit
- $24,036
Cash invested: $77,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32084
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 636
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,251 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,458
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$348 /mo · $4,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$51
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $-194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1 | -5% $-98 | +0% $-194 | +5% $-290 | +10% $-386 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-371 | -5% $-282 | +0% $-194 | +5% $-105 | +10% $-16 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-54 | -0.5pp $-123 | base $-194 | +0.5pp $-266 | +1.0pp $-339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,500
- Closing costs
- $8,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Josiah St Unit 1281953P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $3,526 | $3.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1004 Josiah St Unit 1281918P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $3,893 | $3.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1160 N Saint Johns St Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 9d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 289 W Jayce Way Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,851 | $1.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 700 Hamilton Ave Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $2,035 | $1.56 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 600 Francis St Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,495 | $1.95 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 455 S Volusia St Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $1,950 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2089 W Lymington Way Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $1,976 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 56 Masters Dr Unit D St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 60 Masters Dr Unit C St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1040 W 7th St Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $2,195 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 21 Pearl St Unit 1281964P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $7,100 | $6.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 29 Masters Dr Unit B St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 535 S Woodlawn St Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1381 | $2,100 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 177 Palmer St Unit B St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 228 Nesmith Ave Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,500 | $2.31 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 20 Rollins Ave Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,500 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 232 Nesmith Ave Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $2,795 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1038 Collier Blvd Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1180 | $2,450 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 895 Collier Blvd Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $2,000 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 942 Alexander St St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,925 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 46 Phillips St Unit 1281939P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,986 | $2.66 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3425 Haley Pointe Rd St Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $2,300 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 520 Florida Club Blvd #104 Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,700 | $1.50 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 550 Lena St Unit 1281938P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $3,236 | $2.71 | 9d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 510 Florida Club Blvd #101 Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2781 Schaller Rd Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2231 Vista Cove Rd Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 950 Sidney St Unit 12 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $51 · $612/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $278,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $278,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $278,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $278,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $278,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $278,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $278,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $278,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $278,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $278,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $278,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $278,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $278,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $278,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2025-09-10price $278,000 981-char remark
Show marketing remark (981 chars)
Habitat for Humanity of St. Johns County is building homes for the workforce. Our two-bedroom one-bath and three-bedroom two-bath homes are located on McDonald Avenue in our Volusia Woods neighborhood, located just minutes from downtown St. Augustine. All homes are owner-occupied. Down payment assistance is available to qualified buyers. These beautiful homes have an open floorplan, with an abundance of windows so you can enjoy natural light and fresh air on a nice day. They feature a metal roof, granite countertops, upgraded vinyl flooring, window treatments, and an attached shed. All homes come with new Whirlpool appliances, including the refrigerator, range, dishwasher, and microwave, as well as a washer and dryer in a separate laundry room. These homes cover 900 - 1,100 square feet and boast a stylish, modern eat-in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. Every home comes with an attached 32 sq ft shed at the back of the home, and a covered 80 sq ft front porch.
-
2025-09-08$275,000 Active 981-char remark
Show marketing remark (981 chars)
Habitat for Humanity of St. Johns County is building homes for the workforce. Our two-bedroom one-bath and three-bedroom two-bath homes are located on McDonald Avenue in our Volusia Woods neighborhood, located just minutes from downtown St. Augustine. All homes are owner-occupied. Down payment assistance is available to qualified buyers. These beautiful homes have an open floorplan, with an abundance of windows so you can enjoy natural light and fresh air on a nice day. They feature a metal roof, granite countertops, upgraded vinyl flooring, window treatments, and an attached shed. All homes come with new Whirlpool appliances, including the refrigerator, range, dishwasher, and microwave, as well as a washer and dryer in a separate laundry room. These homes cover 900 - 1,100 square feet and boast a stylish, modern eat-in kitchen with stainless steel appliances. Every home comes with an attached 32 sq ft shed at the back of the home, and a covered 80 sq ft front porch.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,017
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,572
- − Property taxes
- −$4,170
- − Insurance
- −$1,390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,161
- − Management
- −$2,161
- − HOA
- −$612
- − Depreciation
- −$8,087
- Taxable loss
- −$7,137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,713
- After-tax cash flow
- $-610/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Augustine
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,291
- Household income
- $73,837
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1748.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.02%
- Current HPI
- 330.9505
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $278,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-09-08 Listed $275,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…