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1413 Lincoln Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

1413 Lincoln Ave · Flint, MI 48507
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 159 Days on market
Built 1928 3,920 sqft lot Est $81k · 20% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Yes! An easy, newly updated duplex fully rented and cash flowing from day 1! Who's ready for a slam dunk deal? Both units are currently rented. Excellent investment opportunity with this income-producing duplex in Flint. Both units are currently tenant occupied, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, with current rents at $595 per unit per month, providing immediate cash flow. This property also presents a value-add opportunity for investors. Conveniently located near General Motors and I-69, offering easy access to major employers, highways, and local amenities - supporting strong and consistent rental demand. A solid option for investors seeking a turnkey hold with upside, or house hack and live rent free! Visit today. . Don't delay! All appliances stay.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1928
  • Listed 158 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Residential income property

Exterior

  • Utilities: Water available; Public sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Insulated Concrete Forms (ICFs) construction; Full unfinished walk-out basement with interior entry
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (40 x 100); Zoned for MultiFamily / Residential; Pets not allowed

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling listed
  • Interior features: Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $64,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$81,312) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
11.64%
Cash-on-cash
19.10%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$81,312
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1405 Vermilya Ave 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-6%) 0mo $55,000 $48 82
1809 Crestbrook Ln 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,240 (+1%) 5mo $100,000 $81 75
1523 Waldman St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,179 (-4%) 6mo $125,000 $106 73
1212 Crawford St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,281 (+4%) 5mo $50,000 $39 72
3902 Brunswick Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,128 (-8%) 2mo $123,000 $109 62
3507 Briarwood Dr 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+14%) 4mo $119,000 $85 62
1228 Leland St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,047 (-15%) 5mo $67,500 $64 55
939 Ingleside Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-7%) 1mo $74,999 $66 55
4302 Huckleberry Ln 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,366 (+11%) 2mo $32,500 $24 53
4518 Huckleberry Ln 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,319 (+7%) 6mo $69,090 $52 53
1902 Rockcreek Ln 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+14%) 1mo $111,000 $79 43
825 Pettibone Ave 0.51mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,401 (+14%) 8mo $70,000 $50 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$5,001
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$16,870
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,008 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,672/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $641
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $326 -5% $308 +0% $289 +5% $271 +10% $252
Rent -10% $210 -5% $249 +0% $289 +5% $329 +10% $369
Rate -1.0pp $322 -0.5pp $306 base $289 +0.5pp $272 +1.0pp $255

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 21d 1 0.04mi
912 Waldman Ave Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 1223 $675 $0.55 14d 1 0.39mi
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 14d 1 0.60mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 14d 19 0.89mi
1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1160 $995 $0.86 21d 1 1.37mi
2610 Swayze St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1194 $950 $0.80 21d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 159 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 158 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 157 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 156 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 154 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $64,900 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 150 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 149 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 148 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,900 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 142 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 141 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 140 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $64,900 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Yes! An easy, newly updated duplex fully rented and cash flowing from day 1! Who's ready for a slam dunk deal? Both units are currently rented. Excellent investment opportunity with this income-producing duplex in Flint. Both units are currently tenant occupied, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, with current rents at $595 per unit per month, providing immediate cash flow. This property also presents a value-add opportunity for investors. Conveniently located near General Motors and I-69, offering easy access to major employers, highways, and local amenities - supporting strong and consistent rental demand. A solid option for investors seeking a turnkey hold with upside, or house hack and live rent free! Visit today. . Don't delay! All appliances stay.

  18. 2026-04-24
    price $64,900
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Yes! An easy, newly updated duplex fully rented and cash flowing from day 1! Who's ready for a slam dunk deal? Both units are currently rented. Excellent investment opportunity with this income-producing duplex in Flint. Both units are currently tenant occupied, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, with current rents at $595 per unit per month, providing immediate cash flow. This property also presents a value-add opportunity for investors. Conveniently located near General Motors and I-69, offering easy access to major employers, highways, and local amenities - supporting strong and consistent rental demand. A solid option for investors seeking a turnkey hold with upside, or house hack and live rent free! Visit today. . Don't delay! All appliances stay.

  19. 2026-02-17
    price $69,900 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Yes! An easy, newly updated duplex fully rented and cash flowing from day 1! Who's ready for a slam dunk deal? Both units are currently rented. Excellent investment opportunity with this income-producing duplex in Flint. Both units are currently tenant occupied, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, with current rents at $595 per unit per month, providing immediate cash flow. This property also presents a value-add opportunity for investors. Conveniently located near General Motors and I-69, offering easy access to major employers, highways, and local amenities - supporting strong and consistent rental demand. A solid option for investors seeking a turnkey hold with upside, or house hack and live rent free! Visit today. . Don't delay! All appliances stay.

  20. 2026-02-16
    price $69,900
  21. 2026-01-11
    listed $74,900 Active 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Yes! An easy, newly updated duplex fully rented and cash flowing from day 1! Who's ready for a slam dunk deal? Both units are currently rented. Excellent investment opportunity with this income-producing duplex in Flint. Both units are currently tenant occupied, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, with current rents at $595 per unit per month, providing immediate cash flow. This property also presents a value-add opportunity for investors. Conveniently located near General Motors and I-69, offering easy access to major employers, highways, and local amenities - supporting strong and consistent rental demand. A solid option for investors seeking a turnkey hold with upside, or house hack and live rent free! Visit today. . Don't delay! All appliances stay.

  22. 2026-01-11
    listed $74,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Yes! An easy, newly updated duplex fully rented and cash flowing from day 1! Who's ready for a slam dunk deal? Both units are currently rented. Excellent investment opportunity with this income-producing duplex in Flint. Both units are currently tenant occupied, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, with current rents at $595 per unit per month, providing immediate cash flow. This property also presents a value-add opportunity for investors. Conveniently located near General Motors and I-69, offering easy access to major employers, highways, and local amenities - supporting strong and consistent rental demand. A solid option for investors seeking a turnkey hold with upside, or house hack and live rent free! Visit today. . Don't delay! All appliances stay.

  23. 2026-01-10
    historical $74,900 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Yes! An easy, newly updated duplex fully rented and cash flowing from day 1! Who's ready for a slam dunk deal? Both units are currently rented. Excellent investment opportunity with this income-producing duplex in Flint. Both units are currently tenant occupied, each offering 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom, with current rents at $595 per unit per month, providing immediate cash flow. This property also presents a value-add opportunity for investors. Conveniently located near General Motors and I-69, offering easy access to major employers, highways, and local amenities - supporting strong and consistent rental demand. A solid option for investors seeking a turnkey hold with upside, or house hack and live rent free! Visit today. . Don't delay! All appliances stay.

  24. 2023-08-31
    historical $800
  25. 2023-07-16
    listed $800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,672 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,672 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,090
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$1,672
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$967
− Management
−$967
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$2,636
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$633
After-tax cash flow
$2,838/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Coming Soon $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-31 Rental Removed $800 RENTEC
  • 2023-07-16 Listed for Rent $800 RENTEC

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,672 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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