5092 Hackberry Ln · North Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$264,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this newly renovated 1,120 SqFt home sitting pretty in an excellent neighborhood. It has upgrades galore at this move-in-ready 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathroom home. With a large, well-manicured lawn, you’re sure to have an aesthetically pleasing view as you rise up from your newly carpeted bedrooms in this pristine neighborhood. It’s fully air-conditioned with newly installed heating and air conditioning units to improve indoor air quality and create a much healthier atmosphere. New decking (front and back), new vinyl siding, new windows and doors, new luxury vinyl planks, new carpet, new appliances are all yours to enjoy and live a modern easy life. The kitchen exemplifies meticulous attention to detail coupled with granite countertops and newly reconstructed capacious cupboards.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- 8,140 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-764/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#379 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
- North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $216k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.03%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-46,823
- Equity at exit
- $39,497
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-45,347
- Equity at exit
- $22,904
Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13041
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,489 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,389
- Tax from tax record
- −$530 /mo · $6,363/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $-64
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,225
- Closing costs
- $7,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8587 Caughdenoy Rd Clay, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $2,500 | $2.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5472 Alfreton Dr Clay, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $2,800 | $2.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8091 Weblank Way Clay, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-29historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-22$264,900 Active
-
2022-01-07soldstatus $216,000
-
2022-01-06soldstatus $216,000 Closed Sale or Rented 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Check out this newly renovated 1,120 SqFt home sitting pretty in an excellent neighborhood. It has upgrades galore at this move-in-ready 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathroom home. With a large, well-manicured lawn, you’re sure to have an aesthetically pleasing view as you rise up from your newly carpeted bedrooms in this pristine neighborhood. It’s fully air-conditioned with newly installed heating and air conditioning units to improve indoor air quality and create a much healthier atmosphere. New decking (front and back), new vinyl siding, new windows and doors, new luxury vinyl planks, new carpet, new appliances are all yours to enjoy and live a modern easy life. The kitchen exemplifies meticulous attention to detail coupled with granite countertops and newly reconstructed capacious cupboards.
-
2021-10-29status Pending Sale 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Check out this newly renovated 1,120 SqFt home sitting pretty in an excellent neighborhood. It has upgrades galore at this move-in-ready 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathroom home. With a large, well-manicured lawn, you’re sure to have an aesthetically pleasing view as you rise up from your newly carpeted bedrooms in this pristine neighborhood. It’s fully air-conditioned with newly installed heating and air conditioning units to improve indoor air quality and create a much healthier atmosphere. New decking (front and back), new vinyl siding, new windows and doors, new luxury vinyl planks, new carpet, new appliances are all yours to enjoy and live a modern easy life. The kitchen exemplifies meticulous attention to detail coupled with granite countertops and newly reconstructed capacious cupboards.
-
2021-10-27$214,900 Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Check out this newly renovated 1,120 SqFt home sitting pretty in an excellent neighborhood. It has upgrades galore at this move-in-ready 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathroom home. With a large, well-manicured lawn, you’re sure to have an aesthetically pleasing view as you rise up from your newly carpeted bedrooms in this pristine neighborhood. It’s fully air-conditioned with newly installed heating and air conditioning units to improve indoor air quality and create a much healthier atmosphere. New decking (front and back), new vinyl siding, new windows and doors, new luxury vinyl planks, new carpet, new appliances are all yours to enjoy and live a modern easy life. The kitchen exemplifies meticulous attention to detail coupled with granite countertops and newly reconstructed capacious cupboards.
-
2021-02-10soldstatus $118,000
-
2021-02-09soldstatus $118,000 Closed Sale or Rented 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
This Charming 1120 Square foot split level features 3 bedrooms 1 ½ baths. This home has so much potential with newer windows a fenced in back yard, and a young furnace. Located just off of 481 exit, just minutes away from route 31 and route 11 for allowing for easy shopping and entertainment convenience. With just a few cosmetics updates this home could be a steal with a little sweat equity put into it. Home is being sold AS IS however requires no immediate necessary repairs. Liverpool schools. Public water, sewer and gas. Come see today!
-
2020-12-28status Pending Sale 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
This Charming 1120 Square foot split level features 3 bedrooms 1 ½ baths. This home has so much potential with newer windows a fenced in back yard, and a young furnace. Located just off of 481 exit, just minutes away from route 31 and route 11 for allowing for easy shopping and entertainment convenience. With just a few cosmetics updates this home could be a steal with a little sweat equity put into it. Home is being sold AS IS however requires no immediate necessary repairs. Liverpool schools. Public water, sewer and gas. Come see today!
-
2020-12-15historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
This Charming 1120 Square foot split level features 3 bedrooms 1 ½ baths. This home has so much potential with newer windows a fenced in back yard, and a young furnace. Located just off of 481 exit, just minutes away from route 31 and route 11 for allowing for easy shopping and entertainment convenience. With just a few cosmetics updates this home could be a steal with a little sweat equity put into it. Home is being sold AS IS however requires no immediate necessary repairs. Liverpool schools. Public water, sewer and gas. Come see today!
-
2020-12-08$129,900 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
This Charming 1120 Square foot split level features 3 bedrooms 1 ½ baths. This home has so much potential with newer windows a fenced in back yard, and a young furnace. Located just off of 481 exit, just minutes away from route 31 and route 11 for allowing for easy shopping and entertainment convenience. With just a few cosmetics updates this home could be a steal with a little sweat equity put into it. Home is being sold AS IS however requires no immediate necessary repairs. Liverpool schools. Public water, sewer and gas. Come see today!
-
2006-04-14soldstatus $117,000
-
1993-03-17soldstatus $59,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,363 · $530/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,363 · $530/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,839
- − Property taxes
- −$6,363
- − Insurance
- −$1,324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,389
- − Management
- −$2,389
- − Depreciation
- −$7,706
- Taxable loss
- −$5,146
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Syracuse Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621210
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,904
- Composite
- 41.93/100
- National rank
- #3356
- State rank
- #402 of 590 in NY
Livability — North Syracuse
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #379
- US rank
- #6513
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 20,185
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,094
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 10% Black 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.12%
- Current HPI
- 326.7838
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+345.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-29 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $264,900 CNYIS
- 2022-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $216,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-06 Sold (MLS) $216,000 CNYIS
- 2021-10-29 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-10-27 Listed $214,900 CNYIS
- 2021-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-09 Sold (MLS) $118,000 CNYIS
- 2020-12-28 Pending — CNYIS
- 2020-12-15 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2020-12-08 Listed $129,900 CNYIS
- 2006-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,363 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…