CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
7205 Ashbourne Way
D- Composite 39.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

7205 Ashbourne Way · Fort Worth, TX 76133
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,477 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2001 5,401 sqft lot $152/sqft · 16% below area Est $269k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom Hud Home Sold as is. HUD case# 492-610907. Buyer to verify all measurements, HOA schools, etc.

Key facts

  • 5,401 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2001

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Easements for drainage and water lines; Subdivision: South Meadow Add
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, Texas Vet, and VA loans
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Concrete driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Fire alarm
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Co-op electric available; Cable available; Asphalt streets, curbs, concrete; 12-inch+ attic insulation
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in 2001
  • Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Level lot; Back yard fencing (fenced)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Fireplace heating; Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Fireplace (stone, wood-burning); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-209 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (16.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Sycamore El (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 527 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 52% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,911 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.98%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$268,911
List price
$225,000
Delta
-16.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2309 Stagecoach St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,477 (0%) 1mo $256,900 $174 91
2413 Hawkwood Ct 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-4%) 2mo $265,000 $187 77
6985 Avington Way 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,365 (-8%) 2mo $237,500 $174 75
2600 S Meadow Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+8%) 1mo $304,900 $191 73
6917 Penhurst Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,432 (-3%) 1mo $215,000 $150 69
2532 Winding Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,347 (-9%) 1mo $224,000 $166 68
2729 Clovermeadow Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,422 (-4%) 1mo $229,900 $162 65
7660 Hollow Forest Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-5%) 2mo $262,000 $187 64
7741 Galemeadow Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-5%) 1mo $260,000 $186 59
2549 Creekwood Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,433 (-3%) 3mo $260,000 $181 58
3120 Woodlark Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,384 (-6%) 3mo $249,900 $181 54
2104 Shane Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,597 (+8%) 2mo $299,000 $187 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.6%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-55,030
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-40.0%
Equity multiple
-0.35×
Total profit
$-85,337
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76133

Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,819 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$373 /mo · $4,471/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$-209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,084
Max offer price $188,048
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-82 -5% $-145 +0% $-209 +5% $-273 +10% $-337
Rent -10% $-353 -5% $-281 +0% $-209 +5% $-137 +10% $-65
Rate -1.0pp $-96 -0.5pp $-152 base $-209 +0.5pp $-267 +1.0pp $-327

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7217 Ashbourne Way Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,875 $1.63 13d 1 0.00mi
7320 Laurelhill Ct S Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,905 $1.29 2d 1 0.20mi
2370 Stagecoach St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1214 $1,895 $1.56 5d 1 0.23mi
6936 Laurelhill Ct N Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1213 $1,995 $1.64 18d 1 0.28mi
7404 Glen Haven Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,995 $1.48 15d 1 0.30mi
7901 Chandra Ln Unit 511 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 959 $939 $0.98 15d 1 0.34mi
7901 Chandra Ln Unit 7928 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 959 $1,212 $1.26 3d 1 0.34mi
7901 Chandra Ln Unit 611 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1156 $1,131 $0.98 3d 1 0.34mi
2201 Sycamore School Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 44d 1 0.36mi
7420 Meadow Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1381 $1,800 $1.30 6d 1 0.37mi
7421 Ridge Rd W Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,839 $1.24 3d 1 0.39mi
7616 Rainbow Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,855 $1.32 44d 1 0.43mi
7617 Hollow Forest Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 4d 1 0.43mi
2201 Sycamore School Rd Unit 2258 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,135 $0.95 44d 1 0.48mi
2201 Sycamore School Rd Unit 2121 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,102 $0.92 3d 1 0.48mi
2201 Sycamore School Rd Unit 611 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1318 $1,322 $1.00 44d 1 0.48mi
2201 Sycamore School Rd Unit 3121 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1318 $1,279 $0.97 3d 1 0.48mi
2520 Clovermeadow Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1567 $2,029 $1.29 5d 1 0.50mi
6824 Loma Vista Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1540 $1,980 $1.29 44d 1 0.52mi
3029 Meadowmoor St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1376 $1,809 $1.31 5d 1 0.52mi
6804 S Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1112 $1,500 $1.35 25d 1 0.54mi
7664 Hollow Point Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,895 $1.35 25d 1 0.54mi
2618 Butterfield Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1312 $1,810 $1.38 44d 1 0.56mi
6838 S Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,395 $1.00 3d 1 0.59mi
6708 S Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1048 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 0.60mi
6706 Crestmont Ct Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 18d 1 0.63mi
6706 Crestmont Ct Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 17d 1 0.63mi
6709 Ridgecrest Ct Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1004 $1,495 $1.49 44d 1 0.63mi
7741 Galemeadow Ct Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,870 $1.34 21d 1 0.64mi
2508 Creekwood Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1867 $2,145 $1.15 5d 1 0.65mi
2109 Shane Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1563 $1,990 $1.27 21d 1 0.65mi
6714 Glenbrook Ln Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 44d 1 0.65mi
7251 Crowley Rd Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,415 $1.83 44d 12 0.65mi
6719 Loma Vista Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 25d 1 0.66mi
2609 Galemeadow Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,995 $1.47 5d 1 0.67mi
1900 Wurzburg Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1607 $1,800 $1.12 25d 1 0.67mi
6620 S Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,450 $1.32 6d 1 0.67mi
1940 Willow Vale Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1634 $2,125 $1.30 5d 1 0.68mi
2911 Forest Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,800 $1.52 13d 1 0.68mi
3324 Green Ridge St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,695 $1.36 44d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $225,000 Pending 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active Option Contract 25 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active Option Contract 24 DOM
  4. 2026-05-12
    historical Active Option Contract 1025-char remark
  5. 2026-05-07
    listed $225,000 Active 1025-char remark
  6. 2012-02-10
    soldstatus Closed 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    3 Bedroom Hud Home Sold as is. HUD case# 492-610907. Buyer to verify all measurements, HOA schools, etc.

  7. 2011-12-14
    status Pending 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    3 Bedroom Hud Home Sold as is. HUD case# 492-610907. Buyer to verify all measurements, HOA schools, etc.

  8. 2011-11-29
    listed $63,000 Active 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    3 Bedroom Hud Home Sold as is. HUD case# 492-610907. Buyer to verify all measurements, HOA schools, etc.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,471 · $373/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,471 · $373/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,829
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$4,471
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,746
− Management
−$1,746
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$6,409
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,538
After-tax cash flow
$-972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley ISD
NCES district ID
4815910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,810
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7549
State rank
#643 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
53,958
Household income
$75,523
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
2000.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 39% White 34% Black 21% Two or more races 19% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -196.95%
Current HPI
293.8679
Rent YoY
▼ -0.20%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-26 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-21 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2012-02-10 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2011-12-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2011-11-29 Listed $63,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,471 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…