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9 Austin Dr
D Composite 41.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$295,000

9 Austin Dr · Lake Monticello, VA 22963
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2001 0.43 ac lot $171/sqft · at area comps Est $383k · 23% under $80/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this chance to own a beautiful home in a desirable location at an exceptional value. Featuring spacious living areas, comfortable bedrooms, and plenty of potential for personalization, this property is ideal for buyers looking to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller's existing VA loan may be assumable, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification, offering an additional financing option for eligible buyers. Property is being sold as-is. Short sale subject to third-party approval. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

Key facts

  • 0.43 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple
  • HOA & community: Annual HOA fee of $955.35

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Single-family style (detached)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Icemaker; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling components
  • Interior features: Breakfast area; Recessed lighting; Ceiling fan(s); Wood-burning fireplace; Finished below-grade space (basement)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $295k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-288 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (17.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.6% in Lake Monticello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#284 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Fluvanna County Public School District (rural): math 61% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #34 of 131 in VA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary (715 students, 52% FRL); Fluvanna Middle (math 65% / reading 70%, grade A-, #98 of 342 statewide, top 30%, 763 students, 42% FRL); Fluvanna County High (math 60% / reading 76%, grade B, #180 of 319 statewide, top 57%, 1,488 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 23% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 138 units permitted in Fluvanna County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $212,269 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.18%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$382,535
List price
$295,000
Delta
-20.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Woodlawn Dr 0.13mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,792 (+4%) 3mo $399,000 $223 76
15 Smokewood Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,811 (+5%) 1mo $359,000 $198 67
24 Xebec Rd 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,582 (-8%) 8mo $299,000 $189 66
64 Woodlawn Dr 0.20mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,887 (+9%) 6mo $355,000 $188 61
3 Hawks Pl 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,778 (+3%) 7mo $300,000 $169 60
9 Brougham Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,564 (-10%) 8mo $359,900 $230 58
67 Bridlewood Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-2%) 3mo $385,000 $226 56
340 Jefferson Dr 0.33mi 3/2.5 1,960 (+13%) 2mo $337,000 $172 56
426 Jefferson Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,750 (+1%) 9mo $341,700 $195 55
5 Smokewood Dr 0.33mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,938 (+12%) 10mo $389,000 $201 51
10 Briarwood Rd 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,780 (+3%) 1mo $300,000 $169 51
267 Jefferson Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 1,942 (+12%) 8mo $400,000 $206 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.4%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-66,151
Equity at exit
$43,985
10-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-81,266
Equity at exit
$25,506

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 22963

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,547
Tax from tax record
$215 /mo · $2,578/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$80
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$-288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,487
Max offer price $244,146
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-121 -5% $-204 +0% $-288 +5% $-371 +10% $-455
Rent -10% $-456 -5% $-372 +0% $-288 +5% $-204 +10% $-120
Rate -1.0pp $-139 -0.5pp $-213 base $-288 +0.5pp $-364 +1.0pp $-442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,750
Closing costs
$8,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
367 Jefferson Dr Palmyra, VA 2.0 1.5 1434 $1,750 $1.22 45d 1 0.27mi
1 Old Mill Ct Palmyra, VA 4.0 2.0 2082 $2,200 $1.06 45d 1 0.72mi
25 Glen Burnie Rd Palmyra, VA 3.0 2.5 2128 $2,850 $1.34 6d 1 1.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$80 · $960/yr

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $295,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $304,950 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $304,950 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $304,950 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $304,950 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    remarks 671-char remark
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $304,950 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $304,950 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $304,950 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $309,950 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $309,950 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $309,950 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $309,950 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $309,950 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $309,950 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $309,950 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $309,950 Active 12 DOM
  18. 2026-05-18
    listed $309,950 Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (671 chars)

    SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this chance to own a beautiful home in a desirable location at an exceptional value. Featuring spacious living areas, comfortable bedrooms, and plenty of potential for personalization, this property is ideal for buyers looking to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller's existing VA loan may be assumable, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification, offering an additional financing option for eligible buyers. Property is being sold as-is. Short sale subject to third-party approval. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

  19. 2026-05-18
    listed $309,950 Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (671 chars)

    SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this chance to own a beautiful home in a desirable location at an exceptional value. Featuring spacious living areas, comfortable bedrooms, and plenty of potential for personalization, this property is ideal for buyers looking to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller's existing VA loan may be assumable, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification, offering an additional financing option for eligible buyers. Property is being sold as-is. Short sale subject to third-party approval. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

  20. 2026-05-14
    price $309,950 601-char remark
  21. 2026-05-13
    price $309,950 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (671 chars)

    SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this chance to own a beautiful home in a desirable location at an exceptional value. Featuring spacious living areas, comfortable bedrooms, and plenty of potential for personalization, this property is ideal for buyers looking to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller's existing VA loan may be assumable, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification, offering an additional financing option for eligible buyers. Property is being sold as-is. Short sale subject to third-party approval. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

  22. 2026-05-13
    historical $309,000 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (671 chars)

    SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this chance to own a beautiful home in a desirable location at an exceptional value. Featuring spacious living areas, comfortable bedrooms, and plenty of potential for personalization, this property is ideal for buyers looking to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller's existing VA loan may be assumable, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification, offering an additional financing option for eligible buyers. Property is being sold as-is. Short sale subject to third-party approval. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

  23. 2026-05-13
    historical $309,000 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (671 chars)

    SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this chance to own a beautiful home in a desirable location at an exceptional value. Featuring spacious living areas, comfortable bedrooms, and plenty of potential for personalization, this property is ideal for buyers looking to build equity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller's existing VA loan may be assumable, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification, offering an additional financing option for eligible buyers. Property is being sold as-is. Short sale subject to third-party approval. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer!

  24. 2023-07-31
    soldstatus $310,000
  25. 2023-07-27
    soldstatus $310,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  26. 2023-06-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  27. 2023-06-15
    price $279,900
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  28. 2023-06-08
    price $289,900
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  29. 2023-06-02
    price $299,900
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  30. 2023-06-02
    price $289,900
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  31. 2023-06-02
    price $299,900
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  32. 2023-06-02
    price $29,900
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  33. 2023-06-02
    listed $229,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Priced To Sell Fast! Hot Updated 3 Level Colonial, Spacious Kitchen with QUARTZ Counters, Stainless Steel Appliances, Modern Tile Backsplash, Spacious Bedrooms, New Custom Paint, Updated Bathrooms, New Flooring, New Lighting, Hardwood Floors, Fireplace, Finished Walkout Basement, Deck, Fenced Backyard, Covered Front Porch, Much More!! Close to Schools, Shopping, and Commuter Routes. This property sits on a nearly ½ acre lot surrounded by trees. Close to Lake Monticello! This Will Not Last!

  34. 2023-04-28
    soldstatus $200,000
  35. 2018-11-01
    historical
  36. 2018-04-06
    listed $179,900
  37. 2017-04-30
    historical
  38. 2016-11-13
    listed $169,900
  39. 2010-09-01
    soldstatus $166,750
  40. 2010-03-07
    listed $174,900
  41. 2010-03-01
    historical
  42. 2009-08-18
    listed $199,900
  43. 2003-07-02
    listed $143,900
  44. 2001-10-30
    soldstatus $114,900
  45. 2001-08-23
    listed $129,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,578 · $215/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,579 · $215/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,472
− Mortgage interest
−$16,525
− Property taxes
−$2,578
− Insurance
−$1,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,038
− Management
−$2,038
− HOA
−$960
− Depreciation
−$8,582
Taxable loss
−$8,723
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,094
After-tax cash flow
$-1,361/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fluvanna County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101380
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$66,601
Composite
57.6/100
National rank
#1065
State rank
#34 of 131 in VA

Livability — Lake Monticello

Score
67/100
State rank
#284
US rank
#10173

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Monticello, VA
County
Fluvanna County · 16,896 people
Metro
Charlottesville, VA
Population (ZIP)
16,896
Household income
$104,259
Rent vs Own
6.2% rent · 93.8% own
Severe rent burden
47.0

Population outlook (Fluvanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,237 people
By 2030
27,607 · +1.4%
By 2040
28,075 · +3.1%
By 2050
28,019 · +2.9%
By 2075
28,058 · +3.0%
By 2100
26,124 · -4.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fluvanna

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.3) · D 46.4% · R 52.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: -6.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.3 2020: R+4.7 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+6.2 2008: R+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.94%
Current HPI
158.3322
Rent YoY
Metro
Charlottesville, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.5% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $304,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $304,950 CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $309,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $309,950 CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $309,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $309,950 CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $309,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $309,000 CVRMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-27 Sold (MLS) $310,000 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-22 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-15 Price Changed $279,900 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Price Changed $289,900 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-02 Price Changed $299,900 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-02 Price Changed $289,900 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-02 Price Changed $299,900 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-02 Price Changed $29,900 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-02 Listed $229,900 CVRMLS
  • 2023-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2018-11-01 Listing Removed CAAR
  • 2018-04-06 Listed $179,900 CAAR
  • 2017-04-30 Listing Removed CAAR
  • 2016-11-13 Listed $169,900 CAAR
  • 2010-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $166,750 Public Records
  • 2010-03-07 Listed $174,900 CAAR
  • 2010-03-01 Listing Removed CAAR
  • 2009-08-18 Listed $199,900 CAAR
  • 2003-07-02 Listed $143,900 CAAR
  • 2001-10-30 Sold (MLS) $114,900 CAAR
  • 2001-08-23 Listed $129,500 CAAR

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,578 · +36.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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