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8207 Florida Unit A
C Composite 57.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,000

8207 Florida Unit A · Oscoda, MI 48750
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,255 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1960 7,405 sqft lot Est $100k · at est. $72/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully Maintained END Unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Tucked away at the end of a quiet street, this rare end-unit condo backs up to a peaceful, wooded area with mature trees offering privacy and nature views year-round. Step out your back door and view your scenic path. Just minutes away you can experience the iconic “Three Pipes” on the banks of the AuSable River! Inside, you’ll find pecan hardwood floors, central A/C, a full basement, newer furnace (2023), and newer HW heater (2024). This property is move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch. Enjoy the best of up north living in a serene setting close to outdoor adventure.

Key facts

  • Scenic path
  • Central a/c
  • Nature views

Tags

WOODED AREAMATURE TREESNATURE VIEWSSCENIC PATHPECAN HARDWOOD FLOORSCENTRAL A/C

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $104k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.8% in Oscoda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#641 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Oscoda Area Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #313 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $719 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $94,640 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.39%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,400
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8005B N Alaska St #15 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,328 (+6%) 2mo $105,000 $79 81
8005B N Alaska St 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,328 (+6%) 2mo $105,000 $79 81
9306 Maryland St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,274 (+2%) 1mo $102,000 $80 79
9306 Maryland St Unit A 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,274 (+2%) 1mo $102,000 $80 79
8013 S Alaska St 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,255 (0%) 21mo $96,000 $76 78
8013 S Alaska St Unit A 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,255 (0%) 21mo $96,000 $76 78
9502 B Montana St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,262 (+1%) 0mo $125,000 $99 76
9502 B Montana St Lot : 542 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,262 (+1%) 0mo $125,000 $99 76
10409 South Carolina St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,170 (-7%) 21mo $130,000 $111 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-785
Equity at exit
$15,507
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$20,043
Equity at exit
$8,992

Cash invested: $29,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48750

Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$545
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$72
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $900
Max offer price $104,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $311 -5% $281 +0% $252 +5% $223 +10% $193
Rent -10% $156 -5% $204 +0% $252 +5% $300 +10% $348
Rate -1.0pp $304 -0.5pp $279 base $252 +0.5pp $225 +1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,000
Closing costs
$3,120
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$72 · $864/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2025-10-24
    soldstatus $108,500
  2. 2025-10-02
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Beautifully Maintained END Unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Tucked away at the end of a quiet street, this rare end-unit condo backs up to a peaceful, wooded area with mature trees offering privacy and nature views year-round. Step out your back door and view your scenic path. Just minutes away you can experience the iconic “Three Pipes” on the banks of the AuSable River! Inside, you’ll find pecan hardwood floors, central A/C, a full basement, newer furnace (2023), and newer HW heater (2024). This property is move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch. Enjoy the best of up north living in a serene setting close to outdoor adventure.

  3. 2025-10-02
    status Pending 664-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Beautifully Maintained END Unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Tucked away at the end of a quiet street, this rare end-unit condo backs up to a peaceful, wooded area with mature trees offering privacy and nature views year-round. Step out your back door and view your scenic path. Just minutes away you can experience the iconic “Three Pipes” on the banks of the AuSable River! Inside, you’ll find pecan hardwood floors, central A/C, a full basement, newer furnace (2023), and newer HW heater (2024). This property is move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch. Enjoy the best of up north living in a serene setting close to outdoor adventure.

  4. 2025-08-21
    price $104,000 664-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Beautifully Maintained END Unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Tucked away at the end of a quiet street, this rare end-unit condo backs up to a peaceful, wooded area with mature trees offering privacy and nature views year-round. Step out your back door and view your scenic path. Just minutes away you can experience the iconic “Three Pipes” on the banks of the AuSable River! Inside, you’ll find pecan hardwood floors, central A/C, a full basement, newer furnace (2023), and newer HW heater (2024). This property is move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch. Enjoy the best of up north living in a serene setting close to outdoor adventure.

  5. 2025-08-20
    price $104,000
  6. 2025-06-20
    listed $109,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Beautifully Maintained END Unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Tucked away at the end of a quiet street, this rare end-unit condo backs up to a peaceful, wooded area with mature trees offering privacy and nature views year-round. Step out your back door and view your scenic path. Just minutes away you can experience the iconic “Three Pipes” on the banks of the AuSable River! Inside, you’ll find pecan hardwood floors, central A/C, a full basement, newer furnace (2023), and newer HW heater (2024). This property is move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch. Enjoy the best of up north living in a serene setting close to outdoor adventure.

  7. 2025-06-20
    listed $109,000 Active 664-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Beautifully Maintained END Unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Tucked away at the end of a quiet street, this rare end-unit condo backs up to a peaceful, wooded area with mature trees offering privacy and nature views year-round. Step out your back door and view your scenic path. Just minutes away you can experience the iconic “Three Pipes” on the banks of the AuSable River! Inside, you’ll find pecan hardwood floors, central A/C, a full basement, newer furnace (2023), and newer HW heater (2024). This property is move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch. Enjoy the best of up north living in a serene setting close to outdoor adventure.

  8. 2024-05-21
    soldstatus $99,900
  9. 2024-05-20
    soldstatus $99,900 Closed 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    Well cared for end unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Prime location! Located at the end of the street with plenty of green space behind you and on the side, the path that travels down to 3 pipes on the the banks of the AuSable River is just out your back door! New Furnace and water heater. Pecan hardwood floors throughout. Full basement. Central AC. $72 a month HOA dues which covers trash removal and lawn care. Has been a vacation home for the last twenty years, so very lightly used and ready for you to make your memories here!

  10. 2024-05-09
    status Pending 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    Well cared for end unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Prime location! Located at the end of the street with plenty of green space behind you and on the side, the path that travels down to 3 pipes on the the banks of the AuSable River is just out your back door! New Furnace and water heater. Pecan hardwood floors throughout. Full basement. Central AC. $72 a month HOA dues which covers trash removal and lawn care. Has been a vacation home for the last twenty years, so very lightly used and ready for you to make your memories here!

  11. 2024-04-22
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    Well cared for end unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Prime location! Located at the end of the street with plenty of green space behind you and on the side, the path that travels down to 3 pipes on the the banks of the AuSable River is just out your back door! New Furnace and water heater. Pecan hardwood floors throughout. Full basement. Central AC. $72 a month HOA dues which covers trash removal and lawn care. Has been a vacation home for the last twenty years, so very lightly used and ready for you to make your memories here!

  12. 2024-04-07
    listed $99,900 Active 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    Well cared for end unit in the Villages of Oscoda! Prime location! Located at the end of the street with plenty of green space behind you and on the side, the path that travels down to 3 pipes on the the banks of the AuSable River is just out your back door! New Furnace and water heater. Pecan hardwood floors throughout. Full basement. Central AC. $72 a month HOA dues which covers trash removal and lawn care. Has been a vacation home for the last twenty years, so very lightly used and ready for you to make your memories here!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$600 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,101 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$501/yr (+$42/mo · 83.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,624
− Mortgage interest
−$5,826
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$520
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,170
− Management
−$1,170
− HOA
−$864
− Depreciation
−$3,025
Taxable income
$1,450
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$348
After-tax cash flow
$2,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oscoda Area Schools
NCES district ID
2626970
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,275
Composite
28.6/100
National rank
#6714
State rank
#313 of 540 in MI

Livability — Oscoda

Score
57/100
State rank
#641
US rank
#21680

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,281

Population outlook (Iosco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,366 people
By 2030
23,622 · -3.1%
By 2040
22,021 · -9.6%
By 2050
20,877 · -14.3%
By 2075
18,792 · -22.9%
By 2100
15,465 · -36.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Iosco

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.6) · D 34.0% · R 64.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -30.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.6 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.75%
Current HPI
157.6759
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $108,500 Public Records
  • 2025-10-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $104,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
  • 2024-05-20 Sold (MLS) $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-22 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-07 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $600 · +134.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…