2100 N Trekell Rd #155 · Casa Grande, AZ 85122

$44,500

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 188 Days on market

Built 1977 Est $40k · 11% over ↓ 26% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• ARV discount +2.7/15.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to effortless living in this beautifully updated 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home, perfectly designed with a comfortable split floor plan and modern touches throughout. Recent upgrades—including new flooring, an updated roof, and an efficient HVAC system—ensure you can enjoy a low-maintenance lifestyle from day one. A powered workshop offers the ideal space for hobbies or projects, while the screened-in patio provides a peaceful spot to unwind and enjoy the Arizona weather. Located in a secure, gated 55+ community with an extensive list of amenities, this fully furnished, move-in-ready home allows you to settle in with ease. Comfort, convenience, and community all come togethe

Key facts

• 2 parking spots
• Community pool
• Built 1977

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Land lease $480 per month; No association fees; Community pool; Gated community; Heated community spa; Community laundry; Tennis courts; Biking/walking path

Exterior

• Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
• Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
• Construction: Steel frame construction; Painted exterior; Rolled/hot mop roof; Building area per builder
• Exterior features: Screened-in patio(s); Gravel/stone front and back

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Disposal
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full bath in primary bedroom; Dual-pane windows; Disposal

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $842 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 29.0% vs local median 4.1% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools F.
• Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $308 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $39,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 29.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 81.13%
• DSCR: 4.61
• GRM: 2.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $40,180
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2100 N Trekell Rd #363	0.00mi	2/2.0	980 (0%)	3mo	$40,000	$41	97
2100 N Trekell Rd #330	0.00mi	2/2.0	980 (0%)	7mo	$16,500	$17	94
2100 N Trekell Rd #50	0.00mi	2/2.0	980 (0%)	8mo	$35,500	$36	93
2100 N Trekell Rd #20	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,040 (+6%)	0mo	$40,000	$38	89
2100 N Trekell Rd #194	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,000 (+2%)	9mo	$39,000	$39	89
2100 N Trekell Rd #265	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,024 (+4%)	14mo	$55,000	$54	81
2100 Trekell Rd #283	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,056 (+8%)	8mo	$65,000	$62	80
2100 N Trekell Rd #347	0.00mi	2/1.0	896 (-9%)	2mo	$28,000	$31	80
2100 N Trekell Rd #59	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,056 (+8%)	13mo	$74,000	$70	76
2100 N Trekell Rd #148	0.00mi	2/1.0	840 (-14%)	3mo	$32,000	$38	70
2140 N Cajeme Ave	0.15mi	2/2.0	1,105 (+13%)	4mo	$53,900	$49	68
2100 N Trekell Rd #219	0.00mi	1/1.0 (-1)	896 (-9%)	14mo	$53,000	$59	66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 83.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.92×
• Total profit: $48,844
• Equity at exit: $6,635

10-year hold

• IRR: 86.8%
• Equity multiple: 10.78×
• Total profit: $121,801
• Equity at exit: $3,848

Cash invested: $12,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85122

• Home prices YoY: -22.4%
• Rents YoY: 4.6%
• Active inventory: 628
• Price-to-rent: 2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,456 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$233
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$56 /mo · $668/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$306
• Net cashflow: $842

Break-even live

Break-even rent $389

Max offer price $44,500

Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,125
• Closing costs: $1,335
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 12 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2060 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	1.0–2.0	670	$1,300	$1.94	24d	4	0.26mi
1936 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1033	$1,492	$1.44	2d	29	0.50mi
1926 N Avenida de Palmas Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	2.0	1106	$1,199	$1.08	22d	3	0.66mi
1292 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1005	$1,500	$1.49	5d	1	0.72mi
700 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	1.0–2.0	828	$1,436	$1.73	3d	25	0.89mi
1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ	2.0–4.0	2.0	1144	$1,295	$1.13	3d	12	1.02mi
1650 N Kadota Ave Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	612	$1,170	$1.91	1d	5	1.24mi
1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1090	$2,165	$1.99	1d	1	1.28mi
1641 N Kadota Ave Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	750	$1,100	$1.47	1d	3	1.39mi
1450 E Cottonwood Ln Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	821	$1,995	$2.43	2d	18	1.40mi
1715 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ	2.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1221	$1,465	$1.20	2d	22	1.44mi
290 W Viola St Unit 4 Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	1.0	800	$1,250	$1.56	15d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $44,500 Active 188 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $44,500 Active 187 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $44,500 Active 186 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $44,500 Active 185 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $44,500 Active 183 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $44,500 Active 182 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $44,500 Active 179 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $44,500 Active 178 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $44,500 Active 177 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $44,500 Active 174 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,500 Active 173 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,500 Active 172 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,500 Active 171 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,500 Active 170 DOM
15. 2026-04-29
    status Active
16. 2026-04-27
    historical Contract Contingent on Buyer Sale
17. 2026-03-17
    price $44,500
18. 2025-12-12
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,467
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,493
• − Property taxes: −$668
• − Insurance: −$222
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,397
• − Management: −$1,397
• − Depreciation: −$1,295
• Taxable income: $9,995
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,399
• After-tax cash flow: $7,710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
• NCES district ID: 0401740
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $45,373
• Composite: 15.38/100
• National rank: #9319
• State rank: #193 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Casa Grande

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #220
• US rank: #21534

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Casa Grande, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 69,701
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 61,624
• Household income: $68,443
• Rent vs Own: 28.6% rent · 71.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1250.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 40%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada
• Languages at home: 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.32%
• Current HPI: 233.148
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.60%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-25.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-29 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-04-27 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2026-03-17 Price Changed $44,500 ARMLS
• 2025-12-12 Listed $59,900 ARMLS